La Liga· Kick-off : Wednesday, September 16, 2026, 18:00 (UK time)
Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla: 0-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Deportivo La Coruna 0-1 Sevilla. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Deportivo La Coruna (34%), while victory for Sevilla was rated at only 34%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (14.1%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (38%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (30%): correct.
Match analysis
Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla was played on Wednesday, September 16, 2026 (La Liga, matchday 6). Venue: Estadio Municipal de Riazor, La Coruna. Before kick-off, our model gave Deportivo La Coruna a 34% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Sevilla 34%. The most likely correct score is 0-0 (14.7%), ahead of 1-0 (14.1%) and 0-1 (14.1%).
Deportivo La Coruna are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 9 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Sevilla have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Deportivo La Coruna score 1.80 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Sevilla score 1.60 and concede 1.20. In the table, Deportivo La Coruna sit 7th with 9 points from 5 games, Sevilla 6th with 10 points from 5. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Deportivo La Coruna have averaged 0.91 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.01 for Sevilla.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Deportivo La Coruna, 3 for Sevilla and 2 draws. Deportivo La Coruna out or doubtful: N. Carrillo. Sevilla: A. Sangante and R. Vargas. In double chance terms, "Deportivo La Coruna or draw" stands at 66%, "Sevilla or draw" at 66% and "no draw" at 68%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Deportivo La Coruna – Sevilla. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (14.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 63% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna 0-0 Sevilla | 14.7% |
| Deportivo La Coruna 1-0 Sevilla | 14.1% |
| Deportivo La Coruna 0-1 Sevilla | 14.1% |
| Deportivo La Coruna 1-1 Sevilla | 13.5% |
| Deportivo La Coruna 2-0 Sevilla | 6.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 1.92 goals in total (0.96 for Deportivo La Coruna, 0.96 for Sevilla): over 2.5 goals has a 30% probability and both teams to score 38%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Deportivo La Coruna keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Sevilla in 38%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna expected goals | 0.96 |
| Sevilla expected goals | 0.96 |
| Both teams to score | 38% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 57% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13% |
| Deportivo La Coruna clean sheet | 38% |
| Sevilla clean sheet | 38% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Deportivo La Coruna
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Getafe · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Villarreal · La Liga | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Valencia · La Liga | 3-1 | W |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Malaga · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Elche · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
Sevilla
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Valencia · La Liga | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Espanyol · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Atletico Madrid · La Liga | 1-3 | L |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Athletic Club · La Liga | 3-1 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Rayo Vallecano · La Liga | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Deportivo La Coruna | 7 | 9 | 5 |
| Sevilla | 6 | 10 | 5 |
Head-to-head
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Deportivo La Coruna, 3 for Sevilla and 2 draws.
Out and doubtful
Deportivo La Coruna
- N. Carrillo (out)
Sevilla
- A. Sangante (out)
- R. Vargas (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Villarreal 1-2 Real BetisSep 14, 2026
- Rayo Vallecano 2-1 EspanyolSep 15, 2026
- Alaves 0-1 ValenciaSep 15, 2026
- Elche 2-3 Real MadridSep 15, 2026
- Atletico Madrid 4-0 OsasunaSep 16, 2026
- Barcelona 7-2 Racing SantanderSep 16, 2026
- Real Betis 1-0 GetafeSep 17, 2026
- Malaga 1-3 VillarrealSep 17, 2026
- Espanyol 1-3 ElcheSep 18, 2026
- Osasuna 1-1 Rayo VallecanoSep 19, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Deportivo La Coruna a 34% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Sevilla 34%. Deportivo La Coruna are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla?
0-0 (14.7%), followed by 1-0 (14.1%), 0-1 (14.1%), 1-1 (13.5%) and 2-0 (6.8%).
Will both teams score in Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla?
The probability that both Deportivo La Coruna and Sevilla score is 38%. Deportivo La Coruna have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Sevilla 38%.
How many goals should we expect in Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla?
The model expects 1.92 goals (0.96 for Deportivo La Coruna, 0.96 for Sevilla). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 57%, over 2.5 goals 30%, over 3.5 goals 13%.
When and where is Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla played?
Wednesday, September 16, 2026 at 18:00 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 6. Venue: Estadio Municipal de Riazor, La Coruna.
What form are Deportivo La Coruna and Sevilla in?
Deportivo La Coruna: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 6 conceded). Sevilla: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Deportivo La Coruna and Sevilla?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Deportivo La Coruna, 3 for Sevilla and 2 draws.
What was the Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Deportivo La Coruna 0-1 Sevilla. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Deportivo La Coruna (34%), while victory for Sevilla was rated at only 34%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (14.1%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (38%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (30%): correct.
How is the Deportivo La Coruna vs Sevilla prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.96 for Deportivo La Coruna, 0.96 for Sevilla) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Deportivo La Coruna predictions
- All Sevilla predictions
- La Liga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology