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La LigaLa Liga· Kick-off : Sunday, September 13, 2026, 15:15 (UK time)

Levante vs Barcelona: 2-4 result and AI prediction review

LevanteLevante2 – 4BarcelonaBarcelona

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 0-3

Final score: Levante 2-4 Barcelona. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Barcelona was the model's favourite outcome (88%). The model considered this score unlikely (3.5%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (61%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (87%): correct.

Match analysis

Levante vs Barcelona was played on Sunday, September 13, 2026 (La Liga, matchday 5). Venue: Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia. Before kick-off, our model gave Levante a 5% chance of winning, the draw 7% and Barcelona 88%. The most likely correct score is 0-3 (7.4%), ahead of 0-4 (7.4%) and 1-3 (7.2%).

Over their last 5 matches, Levante have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Barcelona are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (5 wins, 0 draws), scoring 22 and conceding 3. Recent momentum is clearly with Barcelona. On average Levante score 1.60 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Barcelona score 4.40 and concede 0.60. In the table, Levante sit 13th with 5 points from 4 games, Barcelona 1st with 12 points from 4. 12 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Levante have averaged 1.28 xG (expected goals) per match, against 3.88 for Barcelona.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Levante, 2 for Barcelona and 0 draws. The most recent ended Barcelona 3-0 Levante (Feb 22, 2026). Levante out or doubtful: K. Etta Eyong and A. Primo. Barcelona: R. Bardghji, F. de Jong and E. Garcia. In double chance terms, "Levante or draw" stands at 12%, "Barcelona or draw" at 95% and "no draw" at 93%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

5%
Levante (Win)
7%
Draw
88%
Barcelona (Win)

Double chance

12%
Levante or draw
95%
Barcelona or draw
93%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Levante – Barcelona. 0-3 is the single most likely scoreline (7.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 35% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Levante 0-3 Barcelona7.4%
Levante 0-4 Barcelona7.4%
Levante 1-3 Barcelona7.2%
Levante 1-4 Barcelona7.2%
Levante 0-5 Barcelona5.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 4.97 goals in total (0.97 for Levante, 4.00 for Barcelona): over 2.5 goals has a 87% probability and both teams to score 61%. Everything points to an open game. Levante keep a clean sheet in 2% of scenarios, Barcelona in 38%.

Probability
Levante expected goals0.97
Barcelona expected goals4.00
Both teams to score61%
Over 1.5 goals96%
Over 2.5 goals87%
Over 3.5 goals73%
Levante clean sheet2%
Barcelona clean sheet38%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Levante

DateOpponentScore
Sep 6, 2026Malaga · La Liga0-0D
Aug 29, 2026Real Betis · La Liga5-2W
Aug 24, 2026Osasuna · La Liga0-0D
Aug 16, 2026Espanyol · La Liga0-3L
Aug 8, 2026Castellón · Club Friendlies3-1W

Barcelona

DateOpponentScore
Sep 9, 2026Feyenoord · UEFA Champions League5-1W
Sep 6, 2026Valencia · La Liga5-0W
Aug 31, 2026Rayo Vallecano · La Liga5-2W
Aug 27, 2026Athletic Club · La Liga2-0W
Aug 23, 2026Elche · La Liga5-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Levante1354
Barcelona1124

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Feb 22, 2026Barcelona 3-0 LevanteLa Liga
Aug 23, 2025Levante 2-3 BarcelonaLa Liga

Out and doubtful

Levante

  • K. Etta Eyong (out)
  • A. Primo (out)

Barcelona

  • R. Bardghji (out)
  • F. de Jong (out)
  • E. Garcia (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Levante vs Barcelona prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Levante a 5% chance of winning, the draw 7% and Barcelona 88%. Barcelona are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-4.

What is the most likely correct score for Levante vs Barcelona?

0-3 (7.4%), followed by 0-4 (7.4%), 1-3 (7.2%), 1-4 (7.2%) and 0-5 (5.9%).

Will both teams score in Levante vs Barcelona?

The probability that both Levante and Barcelona score is 61%. Levante have a 2% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Barcelona 38%.

How many goals should we expect in Levante vs Barcelona?

The model expects 4.97 goals (0.97 for Levante, 4.00 for Barcelona). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 96%, over 2.5 goals 87%, over 3.5 goals 73%.

When and where is Levante vs Barcelona played?

Sunday, September 13, 2026 at 15:15 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 5. Venue: Estadio Ciudad de Valencia, Valencia.

What form are Levante and Barcelona in?

Levante: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 6 conceded). Barcelona: 5 wins, 0 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (22 scored, 3 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Levante and Barcelona?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Levante, 2 for Barcelona and 0 draws. The most recent ended Barcelona 3-0 Levante (Feb 22, 2026).

What was the Levante vs Barcelona result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Levante 2-4 Barcelona. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Barcelona was the model's favourite outcome (88%). The model considered this score unlikely (3.5%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (61%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (87%): correct.

How is the Levante vs Barcelona prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.97 for Levante, 4.00 for Barcelona) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained