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La LigaLa Liga· Kick-off : Saturday, September 12, 2026, 15:15 (UK time)

Osasuna vs Espanyol: 0-2 result and AI prediction review

OsasunaOsasuna0 – 2EspanyolEspanyol

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 2-0

Final score: Osasuna 0-2 Espanyol. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Osasuna (76%), while victory for Espanyol was rated at only 9%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.1%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (64%): missed.

Match analysis

Osasuna vs Espanyol was played on Saturday, September 12, 2026 (La Liga, matchday 5). Venue: Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona. Before kick-off, our model gave Osasuna a 76% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Espanyol 9%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (12.1%), ahead of 3-0 (10.1%) and 1-0 (9.6%).

Over their last 5 matches, Osasuna have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 8. Espanyol have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 8. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Osasuna score 1.00 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Espanyol score 1.40 and concede 1.60. In the table, Osasuna sit 8th with 7 points from 4 games, Espanyol 12th with 4 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Osasuna have averaged 1.65 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.15 for Espanyol.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Osasuna, 2 for Espanyol and 0 draws. The most recent ended Osasuna 1-2 Espanyol (May 17, 2026). Osasuna out or doubtful: M. Gomez, J. Herrando, A. Oroz and V. Rosier. Espanyol: K. Garcia, A. Gorosabel and J. Puado. In double chance terms, "Osasuna or draw" stands at 91%, "Espanyol or draw" at 24% and "no draw" at 85%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

76%
Osasuna (Win)
15%
Draw
9%
Espanyol (Win)

Double chance

91%
Osasuna or draw
24%
Espanyol or draw
85%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Osasuna – Espanyol. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Osasuna 2-0 Espanyol12.1%
Osasuna 3-0 Espanyol10.1%
Osasuna 1-0 Espanyol9.6%
Osasuna 2-1 Espanyol9.1%
Osasuna 3-1 Espanyol7.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 3.27 goals in total (2.52 for Osasuna, 0.75 for Espanyol): over 2.5 goals has a 64% probability and both teams to score 49%. Everything points to an open game. Osasuna keep a clean sheet in 47% of scenarios, Espanyol in 8%.

Probability
Osasuna expected goals2.52
Espanyol expected goals0.75
Both teams to score49%
Over 1.5 goals84%
Over 2.5 goals64%
Over 3.5 goals41%
Osasuna clean sheet47%
Espanyol clean sheet8%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Osasuna

DateOpponentScore
Sep 6, 2026Alaves · La Liga2-5L
Aug 31, 2026Getafe · La Liga1-0W
Aug 27, 2026Celta Vigo · La Liga2-1W
Aug 24, 2026Levante · La Liga0-0D
Aug 8, 2026Al Ain · Club Friendlies0-2L

Espanyol

DateOpponentScore
Sep 6, 2026Sevilla · La Liga1-1D
Aug 29, 2026Real Sociedad · La Liga1-2L
Aug 22, 2026Real Madrid · La Liga1-2L
Aug 16, 2026Levante · La Liga3-0W
Aug 8, 2026Coventry · Club Friendlies1-3L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Osasuna874
Espanyol1244

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
May 17, 2026Osasuna 1-2 EspanyolLa Liga
Aug 31, 2025Espanyol 1-0 OsasunaLa Liga

Out and doubtful

Osasuna

  • M. Gomez (out)
  • J. Herrando (out)
  • A. Oroz (out)
  • V. Rosier (out)

Espanyol

  • K. Garcia (out)
  • A. Gorosabel (out)
  • J. Puado (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Osasuna vs Espanyol prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Osasuna a 76% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Espanyol 9%. Osasuna are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Osasuna vs Espanyol?

2-0 (12.1%), followed by 3-0 (10.1%), 1-0 (9.6%), 2-1 (9.1%) and 3-1 (7.6%).

Will both teams score in Osasuna vs Espanyol?

The probability that both Osasuna and Espanyol score is 49%. Osasuna have a 47% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Espanyol 8%.

How many goals should we expect in Osasuna vs Espanyol?

The model expects 3.27 goals (2.52 for Osasuna, 0.75 for Espanyol). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 84%, over 2.5 goals 64%, over 3.5 goals 41%.

When and where is Osasuna vs Espanyol played?

Saturday, September 12, 2026 at 15:15 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 5. Venue: Estadio El Sadar, Pamplona.

What form are Osasuna and Espanyol in?

Osasuna: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 8 conceded). Espanyol: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 8 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Osasuna and Espanyol?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Osasuna, 2 for Espanyol and 0 draws. The most recent ended Osasuna 1-2 Espanyol (May 17, 2026).

What was the Osasuna vs Espanyol result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Osasuna 0-2 Espanyol. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Osasuna (76%), while victory for Espanyol was rated at only 9%. The model considered this score unlikely (1.1%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (49%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (64%): missed.

How is the Osasuna vs Espanyol prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.52 for Osasuna, 0.75 for Espanyol) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained