La Liga· Kick-off : Sunday, September 13, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)
Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Getafe 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Deportivo La Coruna (48%), while a draw was rated at only 31%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (12.4%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (34%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (28%): correct.
Match analysis
Getafe and Deportivo La Coruna met on Sunday, September 13, 2026, a La Liga, matchday 5 fixture. Venue: Coliseum, Getafe. Before kick-off, our model gave Getafe a 21% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Deportivo La Coruna 48%. On the correct score, 0-1 comes out on top (18.6%), followed by 0-0 (15.9%) and 1-1 (12.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Getafe have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Deportivo La Coruna have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Getafe score 1.20 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Deportivo La Coruna score 1.60 and concede 1.20. In the table, Getafe sit 14th with 4 points from 4 games, Deportivo La Coruna 6th with 8 points from 4. 8 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Getafe have averaged 0.86 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.92 for Deportivo La Coruna.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Getafe, 1 for Deportivo La Coruna and 1 draw. Getafe out or doubtful: A. Abqar, Juanmi, Kiko Femenia, Z. Romero and C. Uche. Deportivo La Coruna: J. Asp. In double chance terms, "Getafe or draw" stands at 52%, "Deportivo La Coruna or draw" at 79% and "no draw" at 69%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Getafe – Deportivo La Coruna. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (18.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 68% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Getafe 0-1 Deportivo La Coruna | 18.6% |
| Getafe 0-0 Deportivo La Coruna | 15.9% |
| Getafe 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna | 12.4% |
| Getafe 0-2 Deportivo La Coruna | 10.9% |
| Getafe 1-0 Deportivo La Coruna | 10.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.67 expected goals for Getafe and 1.17 for Deportivo La Coruna, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 28% and "both teams to score" at 34%. Few goals are expected here. Getafe keep a clean sheet in 31% of scenarios, Deportivo La Coruna in 51%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Getafe expected goals | 0.67 |
| Deportivo La Coruna expected goals | 1.17 |
| Both teams to score | 34% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 55% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 28% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 12% |
| Getafe clean sheet | 31% |
| Deportivo La Coruna clean sheet | 51% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Getafe
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2026 | Celta Vigo · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Osasuna · La Liga | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 27, 2026 | FK Partizan · UEFA Conference League | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Racing Santander · La Liga | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 20, 2026 | FK Partizan · UEFA Conference League | 3-1 | W |
Deportivo La Coruna
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Villarreal · La Liga | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Valencia · La Liga | 3-1 | W |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Malaga · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Elche · La Liga | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Real Madrid · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Getafe | 14 | 4 | 4 |
| Deportivo La Coruna | 6 | 8 | 4 |
Head-to-head
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Getafe, 1 for Deportivo La Coruna and 1 draw.
Out and doubtful
Getafe
- A. Abqar (out)
- Juanmi (out)
- Kiko Femenia (out)
- Z. Romero (out)
- C. Uche (out)
Deportivo La Coruna
- J. Asp (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Sevilla 1-0 ValenciaSep 11, 2026
- Racing Santander 2-1 AlavesSep 12, 2026
- Osasuna 0-2 EspanyolSep 12, 2026
- Athletic Club 1-1 ElcheSep 12, 2026
- Real Madrid 4-1 Rayo VallecanoSep 12, 2026
- Celta Vigo 1-1 MalagaSep 13, 2026
- Levante 2-4 BarcelonaSep 13, 2026
- Real Sociedad 0-3 Atletico MadridSep 13, 2026
- Villarreal 1-2 Real BetisSep 14, 2026
- Rayo Vallecano 2-1 EspanyolSep 15, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Getafe a 21% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Deportivo La Coruna 48%. Deportivo La Coruna are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna?
0-1 (18.6%), followed by 0-0 (15.9%), 1-1 (12.4%), 0-2 (10.9%) and 1-0 (10.6%).
Will both teams score in Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna?
The probability that both Getafe and Deportivo La Coruna score is 34%. Getafe have a 31% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Deportivo La Coruna 51%.
How many goals should we expect in Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna?
The model expects 1.84 goals (0.67 for Getafe, 1.17 for Deportivo La Coruna). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 55%, over 2.5 goals 28%, over 3.5 goals 12%.
When and where is Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna played?
Sunday, September 13, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), La Liga, matchday 5. Venue: Coliseum, Getafe.
What form are Getafe and Deportivo La Coruna in?
Getafe: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 5 conceded). Deportivo La Coruna: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Getafe and Deportivo La Coruna?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Getafe, 1 for Deportivo La Coruna and 1 draw.
What was the Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Getafe 1-1 Deportivo La Coruna. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Deportivo La Coruna (48%), while a draw was rated at only 31%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (12.4%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (34%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (28%): correct.
How is the Getafe vs Deportivo La Coruna prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.67 for Getafe, 1.17 for Deportivo La Coruna) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Getafe predictions
- All Deportivo La Coruna predictions
- La Liga predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology