UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Sunday, September 27, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Austria vs Kosovo prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Nations League: the Austria vs Kosovo match is scheduled on Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time). It is a tight call: 36% for Austria, 30% for the draw and 34% for Kosovo. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (13.5%), followed by 1-0 (12.8%) and 0-1 (12.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Austria have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Over their last 5 matches, Kosovo have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Austria score 1.80 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Kosovo score 1.80 and concede 1.20. In the table, Austria sit 1st with 3 points from 1 games, Kosovo 2nd with 3 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Austria and Kosovo: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Austria or draw" stands at 66%, "Kosovo or draw" at 64% and "no draw" at 70%.
In short : Austria and Kosovo meet in a wide-open clash with no clear favourite (draw at 30%). In the table, Austria (1st, 3 pts) host Kosovo (2nd, 3 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Austria – Kosovo. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 58% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Austria 1-1 Kosovo | 13.5% |
| Austria 1-0 Kosovo | 12.8% |
| Austria 0-1 Kosovo | 12.4% |
| Austria 0-0 Kosovo | 11.8% |
| Austria 2-1 Kosovo | 7.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.09 expected goals for Austria and 1.05 for Kosovo, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 36% and "both teams to score" at 43%. Few goals are expected here. Austria keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Kosovo in 34%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Austria expected goals | 1.09 |
| Kosovo expected goals | 1.05 |
| Both teams to score | 43% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 63% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 36% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% |
| Austria clean sheet | 35% |
| Kosovo clean sheet | 34% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Austria
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Israel · UEFA Nations League | 3-1 | W |
| Jul 2, 2026 | Spain · FIFA World Cup | 0-3 | L |
| Jun 28, 2026 | Algeria · FIFA World Cup | 3-3 | D |
| Jun 22, 2026 | Argentina · FIFA World Cup | 0-2 | L |
| Jun 17, 2026 | Jordan · FIFA World Cup | 3-1 | W |
Kosovo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Ireland · UEFA Nations League | 1-0 | W |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Andorra · International Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| May 31, 2026 | Czechia · International Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Türkiye · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 0-1 | L |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Slovakia · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 4-3 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Austria | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Kosovo | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Austria and Kosovo: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Austria
No absences reported.
Kosovo
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Austria
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Schlager5/5
- N. Seiwald5/5
- R. Schmid5/5
- S. Posch5/5
- X. Schlager5/5
- D. Alaba4/5
- K. Laimer4/5
- M. Sabitzer4/5
- K. Danso3/5
- M. Gregoritsch3/5
- P. Lienhart3/5
Kosovo
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Hajdari5/5
- D. Gallapeni5/5
- M. Vojvoda5/5
- F. Asllani4/5
- A. Muric3/5
- E. Rexhbecaj3/5
- I. Krasniqi3/5
- L. Avdullahu3/5
- L. Dellova3/5
- V. Hodza3/5
- V. Muriqi3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Slovakia – MoldovaSep 26, 2026
- Czechia – CroatiaSep 26, 2026
- North Macedonia – SwitzerlandSep 26, 2026
- Lithuania – AzerbaijanSep 27, 2026
- Serbia – NetherlandsSep 27, 2026
- Gibraltar – AndorraSep 27, 2026
- Denmark – WalesSep 27, 2026
- Germany – GreeceSep 27, 2026
- Norway – PortugalSep 27, 2026
- Israel – IrelandSep 27, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Austria vs Kosovo prediction?
Our AI gives Austria a 36% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Kosovo 34%. Austria are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Austria vs Kosovo?
1-1 (13.5%), followed by 1-0 (12.8%), 0-1 (12.4%), 0-0 (11.8%) and 2-1 (7.3%).
Will both teams score in Austria vs Kosovo?
The probability that both Austria and Kosovo score is 43%. Austria have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Kosovo 34%.
How many goals should we expect in Austria vs Kosovo?
The model expects 2.14 goals (1.09 for Austria, 1.05 for Kosovo). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 63%, over 2.5 goals 36%, over 3.5 goals 17%.
When and where is Austria vs Kosovo played?
Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.
What form are Austria and Kosovo in?
Austria: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 10 conceded). Kosovo: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 6 conceded).
How is the Austria vs Kosovo prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.09 for Austria, 1.05 for Kosovo) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Austria predictions
- All Kosovo predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology