UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Saturday, September 26, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Czechia vs Croatia prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Nations League: the Czechia vs Croatia match is scheduled on Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). It is a tight call: 31% for Czechia, 33% for the draw and 36% for Croatia. On the correct score, 0-0 comes out on top (16.7%), followed by 0-1 (15.7%) and 1-0 (14.2%).
Over their last 5 matches, Czechia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Croatia have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Czechia score 1.40 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Croatia score 1.60 and concede 1.60. Over their recent games, Czechia have averaged 0.77 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.03 for Croatia.
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Czechia, 1 for Croatia and 3 draws. The most recent ended Czechia 0-0 Croatia (Oct 9, 2025). In double chance terms, "Czechia or draw" stands at 64%, "Croatia or draw" at 69% and "no draw" at 67%.
In short : Czechia host Croatia in a tight contest where a draw stays on the table (33%). On recent form, Czechia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Croatia have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Czechia – Croatia. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (16.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 67% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Czechia 0-0 Croatia | 16.7% |
| Czechia 0-1 Croatia | 15.7% |
| Czechia 1-0 Croatia | 14.2% |
| Czechia 1-1 Croatia | 13.3% |
| Czechia 0-2 Croatia | 7.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.85 expected goals for Czechia and 0.94 for Croatia, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 27% and "both teams to score" at 35%. Few goals are expected here. Czechia keep a clean sheet in 39% of scenarios, Croatia in 43%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Czechia expected goals | 0.85 |
| Croatia expected goals | 0.94 |
| Both teams to score | 35% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 11% |
| Czechia clean sheet | 39% |
| Croatia clean sheet | 43% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Czechia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2026 | Mexico · FIFA World Cup | 0-3 | L |
| Jun 18, 2026 | South Africa · FIFA World Cup | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 12, 2026 | South Korea · FIFA World Cup | 1-2 | L |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Guatemala · International Friendlies | 3-1 | W |
| May 31, 2026 | Kosovo · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
Croatia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2026 | Portugal · FIFA World Cup | 1-2 | L |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Ghana · FIFA World Cup | 2-1 | W |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Panama · FIFA World Cup | 1-0 | W |
| Jun 17, 2026 | England · FIFA World Cup | 2-4 | L |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Slovenia · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Czechia | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Croatia | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | Czechia 0-0 Croatia | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Croatia 5-1 Czechia | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 18, 2021 | Croatia 1-1 Czechia | Euro Championship |
| Jun 17, 2016 | Czechia 2-2 Croatia | Euro Championship |
Out and doubtful
Czechia
No absences reported.
Croatia
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Czechia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- L. Krejci5/5
- R. Hranac5/5
- M. Kovar4/5
- V. Coufal4/5
- A. Hlozek3/5
- A. Sojka3/5
- L. Cerv3/5
- M. Sadilek3/5
- P. Schick3/5
- P. Sulc3/5
- S. Chaloupek3/5
Croatia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Livakovic5/5
- I. Perisic5/5
- J. Stanisic5/5
- L. Modric5/5
- J. Sutalo4/5
- M. Baturina4/5
- M. Kovacic4/5
- M. Pongracic4/5
- A. Budimir3/5
- J. Gvardiol3/5
- M. Pasalic3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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- Iceland – EstoniaSep 26, 2026
- Faroe Islands – KazakhstanSep 26, 2026
- Slovakia – MoldovaSep 26, 2026
- North Macedonia – SwitzerlandSep 26, 2026
- England – SpainSep 26, 2026
- Albania – BelarusSep 26, 2026
- Lithuania – AzerbaijanSep 27, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Czechia vs Croatia prediction?
Our AI gives Czechia a 31% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Croatia 36%. Croatia are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Czechia vs Croatia?
0-0 (16.7%), followed by 0-1 (15.7%), 1-0 (14.2%), 1-1 (13.3%) and 0-2 (7.4%).
Will both teams score in Czechia vs Croatia?
The probability that both Czechia and Croatia score is 35%. Czechia have a 39% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Croatia 43%.
How many goals should we expect in Czechia vs Croatia?
The model expects 1.79 goals (0.85 for Czechia, 0.94 for Croatia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 53%, over 2.5 goals 27%, over 3.5 goals 11%.
When and where is Czechia vs Croatia played?
Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.
What form are Czechia and Croatia in?
Czechia: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 8 conceded). Croatia: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Czechia and Croatia?
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Czechia, 1 for Croatia and 3 draws. The most recent ended Czechia 0-0 Croatia (Oct 9, 2025).
How is the Czechia vs Croatia prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.85 for Czechia, 0.94 for Croatia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Czechia predictions
- All Croatia predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology