UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Saturday, September 26, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Czechia vs Croatia: 1-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Czechia 1-2 Croatia. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Croatia at 36%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.3%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (35%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (27%): missed.
Match analysis
Czechia and Croatia met on Saturday, September 26, 2026, a UEFA Nations League fixture. Venue: Sinobo Stadium, Prague. Before kick-off, our model gave Czechia a 31% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Croatia 36%. On the correct score, 0-0 comes out on top (16.7%), followed by 0-1 (15.7%) and 1-0 (14.2%).
Over their last 5 matches, Czechia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Croatia have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 8. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Czechia score 1.40 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Croatia score 1.60 and concede 1.60. Over their recent games, Czechia have averaged 0.77 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.03 for Croatia.
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Czechia, 1 for Croatia and 3 draws. The most recent ended Czechia 0-0 Croatia (Oct 9, 2025). In double chance terms, "Czechia or draw" stands at 64%, "Croatia or draw" at 69% and "no draw" at 67%.
In short : Czechia host Croatia in a tight contest where a draw stays on the table (33%). On recent form, Czechia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Croatia have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Czechia – Croatia. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (16.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 67% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Czechia 0-0 Croatia | 16.7% |
| Czechia 0-1 Croatia | 15.7% |
| Czechia 1-0 Croatia | 14.2% |
| Czechia 1-1 Croatia | 13.3% |
| Czechia 0-2 Croatia | 7.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.85 expected goals for Czechia and 0.94 for Croatia, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 27% and "both teams to score" at 35%. Few goals are expected here. Czechia keep a clean sheet in 39% of scenarios, Croatia in 43%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Czechia expected goals | 0.85 |
| Croatia expected goals | 0.94 |
| Both teams to score | 35% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 53% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 27% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 11% |
| Czechia clean sheet | 39% |
| Croatia clean sheet | 43% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Czechia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 25, 2026 | Mexico · FIFA World Cup | 0-3 | L |
| Jun 18, 2026 | South Africa · FIFA World Cup | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 12, 2026 | South Korea · FIFA World Cup | 1-2 | L |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Guatemala · International Friendlies | 3-1 | W |
| May 31, 2026 | Kosovo · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
Croatia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 2026 | Portugal · FIFA World Cup | 1-2 | L |
| Jun 27, 2026 | Ghana · FIFA World Cup | 2-1 | W |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Panama · FIFA World Cup | 1-0 | W |
| Jun 17, 2026 | England · FIFA World Cup | 2-4 | L |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Slovenia · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Czechia | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Croatia | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 9, 2025 | Czechia 0-0 Croatia | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 9, 2025 | Croatia 5-1 Czechia | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Jun 18, 2021 | Croatia 1-1 Czechia | Euro Championship |
| Jun 17, 2016 | Czechia 2-2 Croatia | Euro Championship |
Out and doubtful
Czechia
No absences reported.
Croatia
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Czechia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- L. Krejci5/5
- R. Hranac5/5
- M. Kovar4/5
- V. Coufal4/5
- A. Hlozek3/5
- A. Sojka3/5
- L. Cerv3/5
- M. Sadilek3/5
- P. Schick3/5
- P. Sulc3/5
- S. Chaloupek3/5
Croatia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Livakovic5/5
- I. Perisic5/5
- J. Stanisic5/5
- L. Modric5/5
- J. Sutalo4/5
- M. Baturina4/5
- M. Kovacic4/5
- M. Pongracic4/5
- A. Budimir3/5
- J. Gvardiol3/5
- M. Pasalic3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Slovenia 0-0 ScotlandSep 26, 2026
- San Marino 0-7 FinlandSep 26, 2026
- Bulgaria 1-2 LuxembourgSep 26, 2026
- Iceland 1-1 EstoniaSep 26, 2026
- Faroe Islands 1-1 KazakhstanSep 26, 2026
- Slovakia 2-0 MoldovaSep 26, 2026
- North Macedonia 0-3 SwitzerlandSep 26, 2026
- England 2-3 SpainSep 26, 2026
- Albania 2-0 BelarusSep 26, 2026
- Lithuania 1-1 AzerbaijanSep 27, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Czechia vs Croatia prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Czechia a 31% chance of winning, the draw 33% and Croatia 36%. Croatia are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Czechia vs Croatia?
0-0 (16.7%), followed by 0-1 (15.7%), 1-0 (14.2%), 1-1 (13.3%) and 0-2 (7.4%).
Will both teams score in Czechia vs Croatia?
The probability that both Czechia and Croatia score is 35%. Czechia have a 39% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Croatia 43%.
How many goals should we expect in Czechia vs Croatia?
The model expects 1.79 goals (0.85 for Czechia, 0.94 for Croatia). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 53%, over 2.5 goals 27%, over 3.5 goals 11%.
When and where is Czechia vs Croatia played?
Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League. Venue: Sinobo Stadium, Prague.
What form are Czechia and Croatia in?
Czechia: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 8 conceded). Croatia: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Czechia and Croatia?
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Czechia, 1 for Croatia and 3 draws. The most recent ended Czechia 0-0 Croatia (Oct 9, 2025).
What was the Czechia vs Croatia result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Czechia 1-2 Croatia. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Croatia at 36%. The final score ranked 6th among the most likely scorelines (6.3%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (35%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (27%): missed.
How is the Czechia vs Croatia prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.85 for Czechia, 0.94 for Croatia) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Czechia predictions
- All Croatia predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology