UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Saturday, September 26, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
North Macedonia vs Switzerland: 0-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: North Macedonia 0-3 Switzerland. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Switzerland was the model's favourite outcome (76%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (12.3%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (27%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (42%): missed.
Match analysis
North Macedonia vs Switzerland was played on Saturday, September 26, 2026 (UEFA Nations League). Venue: Nacional Arena Todor Proeski, Skopje. Before kick-off, our model gave North Macedonia a 6% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Switzerland 76%. The most likely correct score is 0-1 (19.0%), ahead of 0-2 (18.7%) and 0-3 (12.3%).
North Macedonia have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 1 and conceding 15. Over their last 5 matches, Switzerland have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Recent momentum is clearly with Switzerland. On average North Macedonia score 0.20 and concede 3.00 goals per game; Switzerland score 1.80 and concede 1.00.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between North Macedonia and Switzerland: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "North Macedonia or draw" stands at 24%, "Switzerland or draw" at 94% and "no draw" at 82%.
In short : Switzerland are favourites for this North Macedonia v Switzerland, with a 76% win probability from our model. On recent form, North Macedonia have 0 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in 5 while Switzerland have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as North Macedonia – Switzerland. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (19.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 67% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| North Macedonia 0-1 Switzerland | 19.0% |
| North Macedonia 0-2 Switzerland | 18.7% |
| North Macedonia 0-3 Switzerland | 12.3% |
| North Macedonia 0-0 Switzerland | 9.6% |
| North Macedonia 1-1 Switzerland | 7.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.34 goals in total (0.37 for North Macedonia, 1.97 for Switzerland): over 2.5 goals has a 42% probability and both teams to score 27%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. North Macedonia keep a clean sheet in 14% of scenarios, Switzerland in 69%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| North Macedonia expected goals | 0.37 |
| Switzerland expected goals | 1.97 |
| Both teams to score | 27% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% |
| North Macedonia clean sheet | 14% |
| Switzerland clean sheet | 69% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
North Macedonia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 1, 2026 | Türkiye · International Friendlies | 0-4 | L |
| May 29, 2026 | Bosnia & Herzegovina · International Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Ireland · International Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Denmark · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 0-4 | L |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Wales · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 1-7 | L |
Switzerland
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2026 | Argentina · FIFA World Cup | 1-3 | L |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Colombia · FIFA World Cup | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Algeria · FIFA World Cup | 2-0 | W |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Canada · FIFA World Cup | 2-1 | W |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Bosnia & Herzegovina · FIFA World Cup | 4-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| North Macedonia | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Switzerland | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between North Macedonia and Switzerland: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
North Macedonia
No absences reported.
Switzerland
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
North Macedonia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- E. Elmas5/5
- G. Zajkov5/5
- S. Dimitrievski5/5
- D. Velkovski4/5
- B. Miovski3/5
- E. Bardhi3/5
- E. Rastoder3/5
- J. Atanasov3/5
- S. Herrera3/5
- A. Stojcevski2/5
- D. Churlinov2/5
Switzerland
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Embolo4/5
- G. Kobel4/5
- G. Xhaka4/5
- M. Akanji4/5
- N. Elvedi4/5
- R. Freuler4/5
- R. Rodriguez4/5
- D. Ndoye3/5
- D. Zakaria2/5
- F. Rieder2/5
- J. Manzambi2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Slovenia 0-0 ScotlandSep 26, 2026
- San Marino 0-7 FinlandSep 26, 2026
- Bulgaria 1-2 LuxembourgSep 26, 2026
- Iceland 1-1 EstoniaSep 26, 2026
- Faroe Islands 1-1 KazakhstanSep 26, 2026
- Slovakia 2-0 MoldovaSep 26, 2026
- Czechia 1-2 CroatiaSep 26, 2026
- England 2-3 SpainSep 26, 2026
- Albania 2-0 BelarusSep 26, 2026
- Lithuania 1-1 AzerbaijanSep 27, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the North Macedonia vs Switzerland prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave North Macedonia a 6% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Switzerland 76%. Switzerland are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-3.
What is the most likely correct score for North Macedonia vs Switzerland?
0-1 (19.0%), followed by 0-2 (18.7%), 0-3 (12.3%), 0-0 (9.6%) and 1-1 (7.0%).
Will both teams score in North Macedonia vs Switzerland?
The probability that both North Macedonia and Switzerland score is 27%. North Macedonia have a 14% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Switzerland 69%.
How many goals should we expect in North Macedonia vs Switzerland?
The model expects 2.34 goals (0.37 for North Macedonia, 1.97 for Switzerland). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 68%, over 2.5 goals 42%, over 3.5 goals 21%.
When and where is North Macedonia vs Switzerland played?
Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League. Venue: Nacional Arena Todor Proeski, Skopje.
What form are North Macedonia and Switzerland in?
North Macedonia: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (1 scored, 15 conceded). Switzerland: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded).
What was the North Macedonia vs Switzerland result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: North Macedonia 0-3 Switzerland. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Switzerland was the model's favourite outcome (76%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (12.3%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (27%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (42%): missed.
How is the North Macedonia vs Switzerland prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.37 for North Macedonia, 1.97 for Switzerland) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All North Macedonia predictions
- All Switzerland predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology