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UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Saturday, September 26, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

North Macedonia vs Switzerland prediction: correct score and AI tips

North MacedoniaNorth Macedonia–SwitzerlandSwitzerland

Match analysis

UEFA Nations League: North Macedonia vs Switzerland kicks off on Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives North Macedonia 42%, Switzerland 33% and the draw 25%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.9%), ahead of 1-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (8.9%).

North Macedonia have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 1 and conceding 15. Over their last 5 matches, Switzerland have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Recent momentum is clearly with Switzerland. On average North Macedonia score 0.20 and concede 3.00 goals per game; Switzerland score 1.80 and concede 1.00.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between North Macedonia and Switzerland: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "North Macedonia or draw" stands at 67%, "Switzerland or draw" at 58% and "no draw" at 75%.

In short : North Macedonia are favourites for this North Macedonia v Switzerland, with a 42% win probability from our model. On recent form, North Macedonia have 0 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in 5 while Switzerland have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

42%
North Macedonia (Win)
25%
Draw
33%
Switzerland (Win)

Double chance

67%
North Macedonia or draw
58%
Switzerland or draw
75%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as North Macedonia – Switzerland. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 46% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
North Macedonia 1-1 Switzerland11.9%
North Macedonia 1-0 Switzerland9.3%
North Macedonia 2-1 Switzerland8.9%
North Macedonia 0-1 Switzerland7.9%
North Macedonia 1-2 Switzerland7.6%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.78 goals in total (1.50 for North Macedonia, 1.28 for Switzerland): over 2.5 goals has a 53% probability and both teams to score 56%. North Macedonia keep a clean sheet in 28% of scenarios, Switzerland in 22%.

Probability
North Macedonia expected goals1.50
Switzerland expected goals1.28
Both teams to score56%
Over 1.5 goals77%
Over 2.5 goals53%
Over 3.5 goals30%
North Macedonia clean sheet28%
Switzerland clean sheet22%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

North Macedonia

DateOpponentScore
Jun 1, 2026Türkiye · International Friendlies0-4L
May 29, 2026Bosnia & Herzegovina · International Friendlies0-0D
Mar 31, 2026Ireland · International Friendlies0-0D
Mar 26, 2026Denmark · World Cup - Qualification Europe0-4L
Nov 18, 2025Wales · World Cup - Qualification Europe1-7L

Switzerland

DateOpponentScore
Jul 12, 2026Argentina · FIFA World Cup1-3L
Jul 7, 2026Colombia · FIFA World Cup0-0D
Jul 3, 2026Algeria · FIFA World Cup2-0W
Jun 24, 2026Canada · FIFA World Cup2-1W
Jun 18, 2026Bosnia & Herzegovina · FIFA World Cup4-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
North Macedonia200
Switzerland100

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between North Macedonia and Switzerland: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

North Macedonia

No absences reported.

Switzerland

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

North Macedonia

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • E. Elmas5/5
  • G. Zajkov5/5
  • S. Dimitrievski5/5
  • D. Velkovski4/5
  • B. Miovski3/5
  • E. Bardhi3/5
  • E. Rastoder3/5
  • J. Atanasov3/5
  • S. Herrera3/5
  • A. Stojcevski2/5
  • D. Churlinov2/5

Switzerland

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • B. Embolo4/5
  • G. Kobel4/5
  • G. Xhaka4/5
  • M. Akanji4/5
  • N. Elvedi4/5
  • R. Freuler4/5
  • R. Rodriguez4/5
  • D. Ndoye3/5
  • D. Zakaria2/5
  • F. Rieder2/5
  • J. Manzambi2/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the North Macedonia vs Switzerland prediction?

Our AI gives North Macedonia a 42% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Switzerland 33%. North Macedonia are therefore slight favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for North Macedonia vs Switzerland?

1-1 (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (9.3%), 2-1 (8.9%), 0-1 (7.9%) and 1-2 (7.6%).

Will both teams score in North Macedonia vs Switzerland?

The probability that both North Macedonia and Switzerland score is 56%. North Macedonia have a 28% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Switzerland 22%.

How many goals should we expect in North Macedonia vs Switzerland?

The model expects 2.78 goals (1.50 for North Macedonia, 1.28 for Switzerland). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 53%, over 3.5 goals 30%.

When and where is North Macedonia vs Switzerland played?

Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.

What form are North Macedonia and Switzerland in?

North Macedonia: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (1 scored, 15 conceded). Switzerland: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded).

How is the North Macedonia vs Switzerland prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.50 for North Macedonia, 1.28 for Switzerland) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained