UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Saturday, September 26, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Albania vs Belarus prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Nations League: the Albania vs Belarus match is scheduled on Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Albania 44%, Belarus 30% and the draw 26%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.4%), ahead of 1-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.0%).
Albania have not won any of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 5 defeats), scoring 1 and conceding 7. Belarus are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 9 and conceding 4. Recent momentum is clearly with Belarus. On average Albania score 0.20 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Belarus score 1.80 and concede 0.80.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Albania, 0 for Belarus and 0 draws. The most recent ended Albania 3-2 Belarus (Nov 18, 2020). In double chance terms, "Albania or draw" stands at 70%, "Belarus or draw" at 56% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Albania are tipped by our AI model in this Albania v Belarus (44%). On recent form, Albania are struggling (5 losses in 5) while Belarus have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Albania – Belarus. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Albania 1-1 Belarus | 12.4% |
| Albania 1-0 Belarus | 10.8% |
| Albania 2-1 Belarus | 9.0% |
| Albania 0-1 Belarus | 8.5% |
| Albania 2-0 Belarus | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.60 goals in total (1.45 for Albania, 1.15 for Belarus): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 52%. Albania keep a clean sheet in 32% of scenarios, Belarus in 24%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Albania expected goals | 1.45 |
| Belarus expected goals | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Albania clean sheet | 32% |
| Belarus clean sheet | 24% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Albania
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Luxembourg · International Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Israel · International Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Ukraine · International Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Poland · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 1-2 | L |
| Nov 16, 2025 | England · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 0-2 | L |
Belarus
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Burkina Faso · International Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Syria · International Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Armenia · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Cyprus · International Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Greece · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Albania | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Belarus | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2020 | Albania 3-2 Belarus | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 4, 2020 | Belarus 0-2 Albania | UEFA Nations League |
Out and doubtful
Albania
No absences reported.
Belarus
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Albania
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Hoxha5/5
- B. Djimsiti5/5
- E. Hysaj5/5
- K. Asllani5/5
- Q. Laci5/5
- M. Mitaj4/5
- M. Uzuni4/5
- N. Bajrami3/5
- T. Strakosha3/5
- Y. Ramadani3/5
- A. Ajeti2/5
Belarus
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- M. Ebong5/5
- A. Shumansky4/5
- E. Yablonskiy4/5
- V. Gromyko4/5
- Z. Volkov4/5
- F. Lapoukhov3/5
- K. Pechenin3/5
- P. Pavlyuchenko2/5
- P. Zabelin2/5
- R. Begunov2/5
- R. Lisakovich2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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- Iceland – EstoniaSep 26, 2026
- Faroe Islands – KazakhstanSep 26, 2026
- Slovakia – MoldovaSep 26, 2026
- Czechia – CroatiaSep 26, 2026
- North Macedonia – SwitzerlandSep 26, 2026
- England – SpainSep 26, 2026
- Lithuania – AzerbaijanSep 27, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Albania vs Belarus prediction?
Our AI gives Albania a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Belarus 30%. Albania are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Albania vs Belarus?
1-1 (12.4%), followed by 1-0 (10.8%), 2-1 (9.0%), 0-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in Albania vs Belarus?
The probability that both Albania and Belarus score is 52%. Albania have a 32% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Belarus 24%.
How many goals should we expect in Albania vs Belarus?
The model expects 2.60 goals (1.45 for Albania, 1.15 for Belarus). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is Albania vs Belarus played?
Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.
What form are Albania and Belarus in?
Albania: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches (1 scored, 7 conceded). Belarus: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Albania and Belarus?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Albania, 0 for Belarus and 0 draws. The most recent ended Albania 3-2 Belarus (Nov 18, 2020).
How is the Albania vs Belarus prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.45 for Albania, 1.15 for Belarus) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Albania predictions
- All Belarus predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology