UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Saturday, September 26, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Albania vs Belarus: 2-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Albania 2-0 Belarus. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Albania was the model's favourite outcome (44%). The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.8%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.
Match analysis
Albania vs Belarus was played on Saturday, September 26, 2026 (UEFA Nations League). Venue: Arena Kombëtare, Tirana. Before kick-off, our model gave Albania a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Belarus 30%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.4%), ahead of 1-0 (10.8%) and 2-1 (9.0%).
Albania have not won any of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 5 defeats), scoring 1 and conceding 7. Belarus are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 9 and conceding 4. Recent momentum is clearly with Belarus. On average Albania score 0.20 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Belarus score 1.80 and concede 0.80.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Albania, 0 for Belarus and 0 draws. The most recent ended Albania 3-2 Belarus (Nov 18, 2020). In double chance terms, "Albania or draw" stands at 70%, "Belarus or draw" at 56% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Albania are tipped by our AI model in this Albania v Belarus (44%). On recent form, Albania are struggling (5 losses in 5) while Belarus have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Albania – Belarus. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Albania 1-1 Belarus | 12.4% |
| Albania 1-0 Belarus | 10.8% |
| Albania 2-1 Belarus | 9.0% |
| Albania 0-1 Belarus | 8.5% |
| Albania 2-0 Belarus | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.60 goals in total (1.45 for Albania, 1.15 for Belarus): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 52%. Albania keep a clean sheet in 32% of scenarios, Belarus in 24%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Albania expected goals | 1.45 |
| Belarus expected goals | 1.15 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Albania clean sheet | 32% |
| Belarus clean sheet | 24% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Albania
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 6, 2026 | Luxembourg · International Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Israel · International Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Ukraine · International Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Poland · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 1-2 | L |
| Nov 16, 2025 | England · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 0-2 | L |
Belarus
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Burkina Faso · International Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Syria · International Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Armenia · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Cyprus · International Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Greece · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Albania | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Belarus | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2020 | Albania 3-2 Belarus | UEFA Nations League |
| Sep 4, 2020 | Belarus 0-2 Albania | UEFA Nations League |
Out and doubtful
Albania
No absences reported.
Belarus
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Albania
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Hoxha5/5
- B. Djimsiti5/5
- E. Hysaj5/5
- K. Asllani5/5
- Q. Laci5/5
- M. Mitaj4/5
- M. Uzuni4/5
- N. Bajrami3/5
- T. Strakosha3/5
- Y. Ramadani3/5
- A. Ajeti2/5
Belarus
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- M. Ebong5/5
- A. Shumansky4/5
- E. Yablonskiy4/5
- V. Gromyko4/5
- Z. Volkov4/5
- F. Lapoukhov3/5
- K. Pechenin3/5
- P. Pavlyuchenko2/5
- P. Zabelin2/5
- R. Begunov2/5
- R. Lisakovich2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Slovenia 0-0 ScotlandSep 26, 2026
- San Marino 0-7 FinlandSep 26, 2026
- Bulgaria 1-2 LuxembourgSep 26, 2026
- Iceland 1-1 EstoniaSep 26, 2026
- Faroe Islands 1-1 KazakhstanSep 26, 2026
- Slovakia 2-0 MoldovaSep 26, 2026
- Czechia 1-2 CroatiaSep 26, 2026
- North Macedonia 0-3 SwitzerlandSep 26, 2026
- England 2-3 SpainSep 26, 2026
- Lithuania 1-1 AzerbaijanSep 27, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Albania vs Belarus prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Albania a 44% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Belarus 30%. Albania are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 2-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Albania vs Belarus?
1-1 (12.4%), followed by 1-0 (10.8%), 2-1 (9.0%), 0-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in Albania vs Belarus?
The probability that both Albania and Belarus score is 52%. Albania have a 32% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Belarus 24%.
How many goals should we expect in Albania vs Belarus?
The model expects 2.60 goals (1.45 for Albania, 1.15 for Belarus). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is Albania vs Belarus played?
Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League. Venue: Arena Kombëtare, Tirana.
What form are Albania and Belarus in?
Albania: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches (1 scored, 7 conceded). Belarus: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Albania and Belarus?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Albania, 0 for Belarus and 0 draws. The most recent ended Albania 3-2 Belarus (Nov 18, 2020).
What was the Albania vs Belarus result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Albania 2-0 Belarus. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Albania was the model's favourite outcome (44%). The final score ranked 5th among the most likely scorelines (7.8%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): correct.
How is the Albania vs Belarus prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.45 for Albania, 1.15 for Belarus) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Albania predictions
- All Belarus predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology