UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Saturday, September 26, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Slovenia vs Scotland: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Slovenia 0-0 Scotland. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Slovenia (36%), while a draw was rated at only 30%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (12.7%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (41%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (34%): correct.
Match analysis
Slovenia and Scotland met on Saturday, September 26, 2026, a UEFA Nations League fixture. Venue: Stožice Stadium, Ljubljana. Before kick-off, our model gave Slovenia a 36% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Scotland 33%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (13.5%), followed by 1-1 (13.5%) and 0-0 (12.7%).
Slovenia have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Scotland have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Scotland therefore arrive in far better shape than Slovenia. On average Slovenia score 1.20 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Scotland score 1.80 and concede 1.00.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Slovenia, 1 for Scotland and 1 draw. The most recent ended Slovenia 2-2 Scotland (Oct 8, 2017). In double chance terms, "Slovenia or draw" stands at 67%, "Scotland or draw" at 64% and "no draw" at 70%.
In short : An evenly-matched game between Slovenia and Scotland: our model sees no clear favourite. On recent form, Slovenia have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 while Scotland have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5. The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Slovenia – Scotland. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 60% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Slovenia 1-0 Scotland | 13.5% |
| Slovenia 1-1 Scotland | 13.5% |
| Slovenia 0-0 Scotland | 12.7% |
| Slovenia 0-1 Scotland | 12.7% |
| Slovenia 2-0 Scotland | 7.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.06 expected goals for Slovenia and 1.00 for Scotland, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 34% and "both teams to score" at 41%. Few goals are expected here. Slovenia keep a clean sheet in 37% of scenarios, Scotland in 35%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Slovenia expected goals | 1.06 |
| Scotland expected goals | 1.00 |
| Both teams to score | 41% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 61% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 34% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 15% |
| Slovenia clean sheet | 37% |
| Scotland clean sheet | 35% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Slovenia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 2026 | Croatia · International Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Cyprus · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Montenegro · International Friendlies | 3-2 | W |
| Mar 28, 2026 | Hungary · International Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Sweden · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 1-1 | D |
Scotland
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2026 | Brazil · FIFA World Cup | 0-3 | L |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Morocco · FIFA World Cup | 0-1 | L |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Haiti · FIFA World Cup | 1-0 | W |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Bolivia · International Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
| May 30, 2026 | Curaçao · International Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slovenia | 4 | 0 | 0 |
| Scotland | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 8, 2017 | Slovenia 2-2 Scotland | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 26, 2017 | Scotland 1-0 Slovenia | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
Out and doubtful
Slovenia
No absences reported.
Scotland
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Slovenia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Sturm5/5
- J. Bijol5/5
- A. Gnezda Cerin4/5
- E. Janza4/5
- V. Drkusic4/5
- Z. Vipotnik4/5
- I. Vekic3/5
- M. Ratnik3/5
- T. Elsnik3/5
- Z. Karnicnik3/5
- A. Sporar2/5
Scotland
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Robertson5/5
- A. Gunn4/5
- B. Gannon-Doak4/5
- J. Hendry4/5
- L. Ferguson4/5
- L. Shankland4/5
- S. McTominay4/5
- A. Hickey3/5
- C. Adams3/5
- G. Hanley3/5
- J. McGinn3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Hungary 0-1 UkraineSep 25, 2026
- San Marino 0-7 FinlandSep 26, 2026
- Bulgaria 1-2 LuxembourgSep 26, 2026
- Iceland 1-1 EstoniaSep 26, 2026
- Faroe Islands 1-1 KazakhstanSep 26, 2026
- Slovakia 2-0 MoldovaSep 26, 2026
- Czechia 1-2 CroatiaSep 26, 2026
- North Macedonia 0-3 SwitzerlandSep 26, 2026
- England 2-3 SpainSep 26, 2026
- Albania 2-0 BelarusSep 26, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Slovenia vs Scotland prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Slovenia a 36% chance of winning, the draw 30% and Scotland 33%. Slovenia are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Slovenia vs Scotland?
1-0 (13.5%), followed by 1-1 (13.5%), 0-0 (12.7%), 0-1 (12.7%) and 2-0 (7.2%).
Will both teams score in Slovenia vs Scotland?
The probability that both Slovenia and Scotland score is 41%. Slovenia have a 37% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Scotland 35%.
How many goals should we expect in Slovenia vs Scotland?
The model expects 2.06 goals (1.06 for Slovenia, 1.00 for Scotland). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 61%, over 2.5 goals 34%, over 3.5 goals 15%.
When and where is Slovenia vs Scotland played?
Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), UEFA Nations League. Venue: Stožice Stadium, Ljubljana.
What form are Slovenia and Scotland in?
Slovenia: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 7 conceded). Scotland: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Slovenia and Scotland?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Slovenia, 1 for Scotland and 1 draw. The most recent ended Slovenia 2-2 Scotland (Oct 8, 2017).
What was the Slovenia vs Scotland result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Slovenia 0-0 Scotland. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Slovenia (36%), while a draw was rated at only 30%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (12.7%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (41%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (34%): correct.
How is the Slovenia vs Scotland prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.06 for Slovenia, 1.00 for Scotland) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Slovenia predictions
- All Scotland predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology