UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Saturday, September 26, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Faroe Islands 1-1 Kazakhstan. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Faroe Islands (40%), while a draw was rated at only 31%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (13.3%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (38%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (30%): correct.
Match analysis
Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan was played on Saturday, September 26, 2026 (UEFA Nations League). Venue: Tórsvøllur. Before kick-off, our model gave Faroe Islands a 40% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Kazakhstan 28%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (15.7%), ahead of 0-0 (14.5%) and 1-1 (13.3%).
Over their last 5 matches, Faroe Islands have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Kazakhstan have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Faroe Islands score 1.00 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Kazakhstan score 1.00 and concede 1.00.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Faroe Islands, 0 for Kazakhstan and 0 draws. The most recent ended Faroe Islands 1-0 Kazakhstan (Nov 18, 2025). In double chance terms, "Faroe Islands or draw" stands at 72%, "Kazakhstan or draw" at 60% and "no draw" at 69%.
In short : Faroe Islands are favourites for this Faroe Islands v Kazakhstan, with a 40% win probability from our model. On recent form, Faroe Islands have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Kazakhstan have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Faroe Islands – Kazakhstan. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (15.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 64% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Faroe Islands 1-0 Kazakhstan | 15.7% |
| Faroe Islands 0-0 Kazakhstan | 14.5% |
| Faroe Islands 1-1 Kazakhstan | 13.3% |
| Faroe Islands 0-1 Kazakhstan | 12.3% |
| Faroe Islands 2-0 Kazakhstan | 8.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 1.93 goals in total (1.08 for Faroe Islands, 0.85 for Kazakhstan): over 2.5 goals has a 30% probability and both teams to score 38%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Faroe Islands keep a clean sheet in 43% of scenarios, Kazakhstan in 34%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Faroe Islands expected goals | 1.08 |
| Kazakhstan expected goals | 0.85 |
| Both teams to score | 38% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 58% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 30% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 13% |
| Faroe Islands clean sheet | 43% |
| Kazakhstan clean sheet | 34% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Faroe Islands
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Latvia · Baltic Cup | 1-0 | W |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Estonia · Baltic Cup | 0-1 | L |
| Mar 28, 2026 | San Marino · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Kazakhstan · International Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Croatia · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 1-3 | L |
Kazakhstan
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Hungary · International Friendlies | 1-3 | L |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Armenia · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Comoros · FIFA Series | 1-0 | W |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Namibia · FIFA Series | 2-0 | W |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Faroe Islands · International Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Faroe Islands | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | Faroe Islands 1-0 Kazakhstan | International Friendlies |
Out and doubtful
Faroe Islands
No absences reported.
Kazakhstan
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Faroe Islands
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Frederiksberg4/5
- G. Vatnhamar4/5
- J. Andreasen4/5
- G. D. Turi3/5
- H. Sorensen3/5
- M. Agnarsson3/5
- S. Chukwudi3/5
- V. Davidsen3/5
- B. Reynatrod2/5
- J. Danielsen2/5
- M. Lamhauge2/5
Kazakhstan
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- G. Kenzhebek4/5
- I. Kuat4/5
- M. Samorodov4/5
- N. Alip4/5
- R. Orazov4/5
- Y. Vorogovskiy4/5
- A. Kasym3/5
- T. Anarbekov3/5
- A. Ashirbek2/5
- A. Mrynskiy2/5
- D. Satpaev2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Slovenia 0-0 ScotlandSep 26, 2026
- San Marino 0-7 FinlandSep 26, 2026
- Bulgaria 1-2 LuxembourgSep 26, 2026
- Iceland 1-1 EstoniaSep 26, 2026
- Slovakia 2-0 MoldovaSep 26, 2026
- Czechia 1-2 CroatiaSep 26, 2026
- North Macedonia 0-3 SwitzerlandSep 26, 2026
- England 2-3 SpainSep 26, 2026
- Albania 2-0 BelarusSep 26, 2026
- Lithuania 1-1 AzerbaijanSep 27, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Faroe Islands a 40% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Kazakhstan 28%. Faroe Islands are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?
1-0 (15.7%), followed by 0-0 (14.5%), 1-1 (13.3%), 0-1 (12.3%) and 2-0 (8.5%).
Will both teams score in Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?
The probability that both Faroe Islands and Kazakhstan score is 38%. Faroe Islands have a 43% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Kazakhstan 34%.
How many goals should we expect in Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?
The model expects 1.93 goals (1.08 for Faroe Islands, 0.85 for Kazakhstan). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 58%, over 2.5 goals 30%, over 3.5 goals 13%.
When and where is Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan played?
Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Nations League. Venue: Tórsvøllur.
What form are Faroe Islands and Kazakhstan in?
Faroe Islands: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 5 conceded). Kazakhstan: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Faroe Islands and Kazakhstan?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Faroe Islands, 0 for Kazakhstan and 0 draws. The most recent ended Faroe Islands 1-0 Kazakhstan (Nov 18, 2025).
What was the Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Faroe Islands 1-1 Kazakhstan. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Faroe Islands (40%), while a draw was rated at only 31%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (13.3%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (38%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (30%): correct.
How is the Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.08 for Faroe Islands, 0.85 for Kazakhstan) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Faroe Islands predictions
- All Kazakhstan predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology