UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Saturday, September 26, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Nations League: the Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan match is scheduled on Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time). The edge goes to Faroe Islands (53%), ahead of the draw (24%) and a Kazakhstan win (23%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.6%), ahead of 1-0 (11.5%) and 2-1 (9.6%).
Over their last 5 matches, Faroe Islands have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Kazakhstan have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Faroe Islands score 1.00 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Kazakhstan score 1.00 and concede 1.00.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Faroe Islands, 0 for Kazakhstan and 0 draws. The most recent ended Faroe Islands 1-0 Kazakhstan (Nov 18, 2025). In double chance terms, "Faroe Islands or draw" stands at 77%, "Kazakhstan or draw" at 47% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Faroe Islands are favourites for this Faroe Islands v Kazakhstan, with a 53% win probability from our model. On recent form, Faroe Islands have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Kazakhstan have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Faroe Islands – Kazakhstan. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Faroe Islands 1-1 Kazakhstan | 11.6% |
| Faroe Islands 1-0 Kazakhstan | 11.5% |
| Faroe Islands 2-1 Kazakhstan | 9.6% |
| Faroe Islands 2-0 Kazakhstan | 9.5% |
| Faroe Islands 0-1 Kazakhstan | 7.0% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.67 goals in total (1.66 for Faroe Islands, 1.01 for Kazakhstan): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 52%. Faroe Islands keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Kazakhstan in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Faroe Islands expected goals | 1.66 |
| Kazakhstan expected goals | 1.01 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Faroe Islands clean sheet | 36% |
| Kazakhstan clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Faroe Islands
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Latvia · Baltic Cup | 1-0 | W |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Estonia · Baltic Cup | 0-1 | L |
| Mar 28, 2026 | San Marino · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Kazakhstan · International Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Croatia · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 1-3 | L |
Kazakhstan
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Hungary · International Friendlies | 1-3 | L |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Armenia · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Comoros · FIFA Series | 1-0 | W |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Namibia · FIFA Series | 2-0 | W |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Faroe Islands · International Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Faroe Islands | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Kazakhstan | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 18, 2025 | Faroe Islands 1-0 Kazakhstan | International Friendlies |
Out and doubtful
Faroe Islands
No absences reported.
Kazakhstan
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Faroe Islands
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Frederiksberg4/5
- G. Vatnhamar4/5
- J. Andreasen4/5
- G. D. Turi3/5
- H. Sorensen3/5
- M. Agnarsson3/5
- S. Chukwudi3/5
- V. Davidsen3/5
- B. Reynatrod2/5
- J. Danielsen2/5
- M. Lamhauge2/5
Kazakhstan
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- G. Kenzhebek4/5
- I. Kuat4/5
- M. Samorodov4/5
- N. Alip4/5
- R. Orazov4/5
- Y. Vorogovskiy4/5
- A. Kasym3/5
- T. Anarbekov3/5
- A. Ashirbek2/5
- A. Mrynskiy2/5
- D. Satpaev2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan prediction?
Our AI gives Faroe Islands a 53% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Kazakhstan 23%. Faroe Islands are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?
1-1 (11.6%), followed by 1-0 (11.5%), 2-1 (9.6%), 2-0 (9.5%) and 0-1 (7.0%).
Will both teams score in Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?
The probability that both Faroe Islands and Kazakhstan score is 52%. Faroe Islands have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Kazakhstan 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan?
The model expects 2.67 goals (1.66 for Faroe Islands, 1.01 for Kazakhstan). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan played?
Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.
What form are Faroe Islands and Kazakhstan in?
Faroe Islands: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 5 conceded). Kazakhstan: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Faroe Islands and Kazakhstan?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Faroe Islands, 0 for Kazakhstan and 0 draws. The most recent ended Faroe Islands 1-0 Kazakhstan (Nov 18, 2025).
How is the Faroe Islands vs Kazakhstan prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.66 for Faroe Islands, 1.01 for Kazakhstan) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Faroe Islands predictions
- All Kazakhstan predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology