UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Saturday, September 26, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Slovakia vs Moldova: 2-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Slovakia 2-0 Moldova. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Slovakia was the model's favourite outcome (55%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (10.0%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): missed.
Match analysis
Slovakia vs Moldova was played on Saturday, September 26, 2026 (UEFA Nations League). Venue: Štadión Tatran, Prešov. Before kick-off, our model gave Slovakia a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Moldova 21%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.7%), ahead of 1-1 (11.4%) and 2-0 (10.0%).
Over their last 5 matches, Slovakia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Moldova have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 12. Recent momentum is clearly with Slovakia. On average Slovakia score 1.80 and concede 2.60 goals per game; Moldova score 1.20 and concede 2.40.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Slovakia and Moldova: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Slovakia or draw" stands at 79%, "Moldova or draw" at 45% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Our model backs Slovakia to edge Moldova (55% probability). On recent form, Slovakia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Moldova have 0 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in 5. Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 51%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Slovakia – Moldova. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Slovakia 1-0 Moldova | 11.7% |
| Slovakia 1-1 Moldova | 11.4% |
| Slovakia 2-0 Moldova | 10.0% |
| Slovakia 2-1 Moldova | 9.7% |
| Slovakia 0-0 Moldova | 6.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.68 goals in total (1.71 for Slovakia, 0.97 for Moldova): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 51%. Slovakia keep a clean sheet in 38% of scenarios, Moldova in 18%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Slovakia expected goals | 1.71 |
| Moldova expected goals | 0.97 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 75% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 50% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Slovakia clean sheet | 38% |
| Moldova clean sheet | 18% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Slovakia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Montenegro · International Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Malta · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Romania · International Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Kosovo · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 3-4 | L |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Germany · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 0-6 | L |
Moldova
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Armenia · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Bulgaria · International Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Cyprus · International Friendlies | 2-3 | L |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Lithuania · International Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Israel · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 1-4 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slovakia | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Moldova | 2 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Slovakia and Moldova: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Slovakia
No absences reported.
Moldova
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Slovakia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Obert5/5
- D. Strelec4/5
- O. Duda4/5
- D. Hancko3/5
- D. Vavro3/5
- L. Haraslin3/5
- M. Bero3/5
- M. Valjent3/5
- S. Lobotka3/5
- T. Suslov3/5
- L. Benes2/5
Moldova
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- M. Gherasimencov5/5
- V. Baboglo5/5
- D. Forov4/5
- I. Revenco4/5
- C. Cucos3/5
- P. Popescu3/5
- S. Perciun3/5
- V. Postolachi3/5
- D. Celeadnic2/5
- D. Puscas2/5
- E. Timbur2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Slovenia 0-0 ScotlandSep 26, 2026
- San Marino 0-7 FinlandSep 26, 2026
- Bulgaria 1-2 LuxembourgSep 26, 2026
- Iceland 1-1 EstoniaSep 26, 2026
- Faroe Islands 1-1 KazakhstanSep 26, 2026
- Czechia 1-2 CroatiaSep 26, 2026
- North Macedonia 0-3 SwitzerlandSep 26, 2026
- England 2-3 SpainSep 26, 2026
- Albania 2-0 BelarusSep 26, 2026
- Lithuania 1-1 AzerbaijanSep 27, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Slovakia vs Moldova prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Slovakia a 55% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Moldova 21%. Slovakia are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Slovakia vs Moldova?
1-0 (11.7%), followed by 1-1 (11.4%), 2-0 (10.0%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (6.9%).
Will both teams score in Slovakia vs Moldova?
The probability that both Slovakia and Moldova score is 51%. Slovakia have a 38% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Moldova 18%.
How many goals should we expect in Slovakia vs Moldova?
The model expects 2.68 goals (1.71 for Slovakia, 0.97 for Moldova). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Slovakia vs Moldova played?
Saturday, September 26, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League. Venue: Štadión Tatran, Prešov.
What form are Slovakia and Moldova in?
Slovakia: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 13 conceded). Moldova: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 12 conceded).
What was the Slovakia vs Moldova result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Slovakia 2-0 Moldova. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Slovakia was the model's favourite outcome (55%). The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (10.0%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): missed.
How is the Slovakia vs Moldova prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.71 for Slovakia, 0.97 for Moldova) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Slovakia predictions
- All Moldova predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology