UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Sunday, September 27, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Gibraltar vs Andorra: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Gibraltar 0-0 Andorra. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Gibraltar (72%), while a draw was rated at only 17%. The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (5.0%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (58%): missed.
Match analysis
Gibraltar vs Andorra was played on Sunday, September 27, 2026 (UEFA Nations League). Venue: Europa Sports Park, Gibraltar. Before kick-off, our model gave Gibraltar a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Andorra 11%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (12.7%), ahead of 1-0 (11.3%) and 3-0 (9.6%).
Over their last 5 matches, Gibraltar have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Andorra have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Gibraltar score 1.60 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Andorra score 0.60 and concede 1.20.
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Gibraltar, 0 for Andorra and 1 draw. The most recent ended Gibraltar 1-0 Andorra (Sep 4, 2024). In double chance terms, "Gibraltar or draw" stands at 89%, "Andorra or draw" at 28% and "no draw" at 83%.
In short : Gibraltar are favourites for this Gibraltar v Andorra, with a 72% win probability from our model. On recent form, Gibraltar have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Andorra have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Gibraltar – Andorra. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Gibraltar 2-0 Andorra | 12.7% |
| Gibraltar 1-0 Andorra | 11.3% |
| Gibraltar 3-0 Andorra | 9.6% |
| Gibraltar 2-1 Andorra | 9.4% |
| Gibraltar 1-1 Andorra | 8.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.00 goals in total (2.26 for Gibraltar, 0.74 for Andorra): over 2.5 goals has a 58% probability and both teams to score 47%. Gibraltar keep a clean sheet in 48% of scenarios, Andorra in 10%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Gibraltar expected goals | 2.26 |
| Andorra expected goals | 0.74 |
| Both teams to score | 47% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% |
| Gibraltar clean sheet | 48% |
| Andorra clean sheet | 10% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Gibraltar
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sao Tome and Principe · International Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Cayman Islands · International Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
| Jun 3, 2026 | British Virgin Islands · International Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Latvia · UEFA Nations League | 0-1 | L |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Latvia · UEFA Nations League | 0-1 | L |
Andorra
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Malta · UEFA Nations League | 1-2 | L |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Kosovo · International Friendlies | 0-3 | L |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Liechtenstein · International Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| May 29, 2026 | Iraq · International Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Mar 31, 2026 | San Marino · International Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2024 | Gibraltar 1-0 Andorra | International Friendlies |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Gibraltar 1-0 Andorra | International Friendlies |
| Jun 7, 2021 | Andorra 0-0 Gibraltar | International Friendlies |
Out and doubtful
Gibraltar
No absences reported.
Andorra
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Gibraltar
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Bernardo Lopes3/5
- James Scanlon3/5
- Nicholas Pozo3/5
- B. Banda2/5
- B. Lopes2/5
- Carlos Richards2/5
- D. Bent2/5
- Dan Bent2/5
- E. Jolley2/5
- Ethan Jolley2/5
- Graeme Torrilla2/5
Andorra
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- I. Oliveira4/5
- M. San Nicolas4/5
- E. Izquierdo3/5
- G. Lopez3/5
- M. Llovera3/5
- O. Remolins3/5
- P. Babot3/5
- A. Martinez2/5
- A. Rodrigo Tapia2/5
- A. Ruiz2/5
- B. Borra Font2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Slovakia 2-0 MoldovaSep 26, 2026
- Czechia 1-2 CroatiaSep 26, 2026
- North Macedonia 0-3 SwitzerlandSep 26, 2026
- Lithuania 1-1 AzerbaijanSep 27, 2026
- Serbia 1-2 NetherlandsSep 27, 2026
- Austria 3-1 KosovoSep 27, 2026
- Denmark 2-0 WalesSep 27, 2026
- Germany 0-1 GreeceSep 27, 2026
- Norway 1-2 PortugalSep 27, 2026
- Israel 0-3 IrelandSep 27, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Gibraltar vs Andorra prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Gibraltar a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Andorra 11%. Gibraltar are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Gibraltar vs Andorra?
2-0 (12.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 3-0 (9.6%), 2-1 (9.4%) and 1-1 (8.3%).
Will both teams score in Gibraltar vs Andorra?
The probability that both Gibraltar and Andorra score is 47%. Gibraltar have a 48% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Andorra 10%.
How many goals should we expect in Gibraltar vs Andorra?
The model expects 3.00 goals (2.26 for Gibraltar, 0.74 for Andorra). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 80%, over 2.5 goals 58%, over 3.5 goals 35%.
When and where is Gibraltar vs Andorra played?
Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Nations League. Venue: Europa Sports Park, Gibraltar.
What form are Gibraltar and Andorra in?
Gibraltar: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 3 conceded). Andorra: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Gibraltar and Andorra?
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Gibraltar, 0 for Andorra and 1 draw. The most recent ended Gibraltar 1-0 Andorra (Sep 4, 2024).
What was the Gibraltar vs Andorra result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Gibraltar 0-0 Andorra. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Gibraltar (72%), while a draw was rated at only 17%. The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (5.0%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (58%): missed.
How is the Gibraltar vs Andorra prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.26 for Gibraltar, 0.74 for Andorra) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Gibraltar predictions
- All Andorra predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology