UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Sunday, September 27, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Gibraltar vs Andorra prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Nations League: Gibraltar vs Andorra kicks off on Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time). With a 72% win probability, Gibraltar go in as strong favourites against Andorra (11%), with the draw rated at 17%. The most likely correct score is 2-0 (12.7%), ahead of 1-0 (11.3%) and 3-0 (9.6%).
Over their last 5 matches, Gibraltar have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 3. Andorra have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Gibraltar score 1.60 and concede 0.60 goals per game; Andorra score 0.60 and concede 1.20.
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Gibraltar, 0 for Andorra and 1 draw. The most recent ended Gibraltar 1-0 Andorra (Sep 4, 2024). In double chance terms, "Gibraltar or draw" stands at 89%, "Andorra or draw" at 28% and "no draw" at 83%.
In short : Gibraltar are favourites for this Gibraltar v Andorra, with a 72% win probability from our model. On recent form, Gibraltar have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Andorra have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Gibraltar – Andorra. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Gibraltar 2-0 Andorra | 12.7% |
| Gibraltar 1-0 Andorra | 11.3% |
| Gibraltar 3-0 Andorra | 9.6% |
| Gibraltar 2-1 Andorra | 9.4% |
| Gibraltar 1-1 Andorra | 8.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.00 goals in total (2.26 for Gibraltar, 0.74 for Andorra): over 2.5 goals has a 58% probability and both teams to score 47%. Gibraltar keep a clean sheet in 48% of scenarios, Andorra in 10%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Gibraltar expected goals | 2.26 |
| Andorra expected goals | 0.74 |
| Both teams to score | 47% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 58% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% |
| Gibraltar clean sheet | 48% |
| Andorra clean sheet | 10% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Gibraltar
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | Sao Tome and Principe · International Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Cayman Islands · International Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
| Jun 3, 2026 | British Virgin Islands · International Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Latvia · UEFA Nations League | 0-1 | L |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Latvia · UEFA Nations League | 0-1 | L |
Andorra
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Malta · UEFA Nations League | 1-2 | L |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Kosovo · International Friendlies | 0-3 | L |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Liechtenstein · International Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| May 29, 2026 | Iraq · International Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Mar 31, 2026 | San Marino · International Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Gibraltar | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Andorra | 3 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 2024 | Gibraltar 1-0 Andorra | International Friendlies |
| Nov 19, 2022 | Gibraltar 1-0 Andorra | International Friendlies |
| Jun 7, 2021 | Andorra 0-0 Gibraltar | International Friendlies |
Out and doubtful
Gibraltar
No absences reported.
Andorra
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Gibraltar
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Bernardo Lopes3/5
- James Scanlon3/5
- Nicholas Pozo3/5
- B. Banda2/5
- B. Lopes2/5
- Carlos Richards2/5
- D. Bent2/5
- Dan Bent2/5
- E. Jolley2/5
- Ethan Jolley2/5
- Graeme Torrilla2/5
Andorra
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- I. Oliveira4/5
- M. San Nicolas4/5
- E. Izquierdo3/5
- G. Lopez3/5
- M. Llovera3/5
- O. Remolins3/5
- P. Babot3/5
- A. Martinez2/5
- A. Rodrigo Tapia2/5
- A. Ruiz2/5
- B. Borra Font2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Gibraltar vs Andorra prediction?
Our AI gives Gibraltar a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Andorra 11%. Gibraltar are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Gibraltar vs Andorra?
2-0 (12.7%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 3-0 (9.6%), 2-1 (9.4%) and 1-1 (8.3%).
Will both teams score in Gibraltar vs Andorra?
The probability that both Gibraltar and Andorra score is 47%. Gibraltar have a 48% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Andorra 10%.
How many goals should we expect in Gibraltar vs Andorra?
The model expects 3.00 goals (2.26 for Gibraltar, 0.74 for Andorra). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 80%, over 2.5 goals 58%, over 3.5 goals 35%.
When and where is Gibraltar vs Andorra played?
Sunday, September 27, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.
What form are Gibraltar and Andorra in?
Gibraltar: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 3 conceded). Andorra: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Gibraltar and Andorra?
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Gibraltar, 0 for Andorra and 1 draw. The most recent ended Gibraltar 1-0 Andorra (Sep 4, 2024).
How is the Gibraltar vs Andorra prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.26 for Gibraltar, 0.74 for Andorra) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Gibraltar predictions
- All Andorra predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology