UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Monday, September 28, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Latvia vs Cyprus: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Latvia 0-0 Cyprus. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Latvia (37%), while a draw was rated at only 31%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (13.8%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (39%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (32%): correct.
Match analysis
Latvia and Cyprus met on Monday, September 28, 2026, a UEFA Nations League fixture. Venue: Skonto, Riga. Before kick-off, our model gave Latvia a 37% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Cyprus 32%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (14.4%), followed by 0-0 (13.8%) and 1-1 (13.5%).
Over their last 5 matches, Latvia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 3 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Cyprus have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 7 and conceding 6. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Latvia score 0.60 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Cyprus score 1.40 and concede 1.20. In the table, Latvia sit 4th with 0 points from 1 games, Cyprus 3rd with 0 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Latvia, 0 for Cyprus and 1 draw. The most recent ended Cyprus 1-1 Latvia (Mar 21, 2024). In double chance terms, "Latvia or draw" stands at 68%, "Cyprus or draw" at 63% and "no draw" at 69%.
In short : Latvia host Cyprus in a tight contest where a draw stays on the table (31%). In the table, Latvia (4th, 0 pts) host Cyprus (3rd, 0 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Latvia – Cyprus. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (14.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 62% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Latvia 1-0 Cyprus | 14.4% |
| Latvia 0-0 Cyprus | 13.8% |
| Latvia 1-1 Cyprus | 13.5% |
| Latvia 0-1 Cyprus | 13.0% |
| Latvia 2-0 Cyprus | 7.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.04 expected goals for Latvia and 0.94 for Cyprus, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 32% and "both teams to score" at 39%. Few goals are expected here. Latvia keep a clean sheet in 39% of scenarios, Cyprus in 35%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Latvia expected goals | 1.04 |
| Cyprus expected goals | 0.94 |
| Both teams to score | 39% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 59% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 32% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 14% |
| Latvia clean sheet | 39% |
| Cyprus clean sheet | 35% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Latvia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Armenia · UEFA Nations League | 0-2 | L |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Faroe Islands · Baltic Cup | 0-1 | L |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Lithuania · Baltic Cup | 1-1 | D |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Gibraltar · UEFA Nations League | 1-0 | W |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Gibraltar · UEFA Nations League | 1-0 | W |
Cyprus
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2026 | Montenegro · UEFA Nations League | 1-2 | L |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Liechtenstein · International Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Slovenia · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Moldova · International Friendlies | 3-2 | W |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Belarus · International Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Latvia | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Cyprus | 3 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2024 | Cyprus 1-1 Latvia | International Friendlies |
Out and doubtful
Latvia
No absences reported.
Cyprus
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Latvia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- L. Vapne3/5
- R. Jurkovskis3/5
- A. Cernomordijs2/5
- A. Ciganiks2/5
- Andrejs Cigaņiks2/5
- Antonijs Černomordijs2/5
- Dmitrijs Zelenkovs2/5
- E. Emsis2/5
- F. Orols2/5
- Jānis Ikaunieks2/5
- K. Grabovskis2/5
Cyprus
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- G. Kastanos5/5
- I. Pittas4/5
- A. Shikkis3/5
- M. Tzionis3/5
- N. Panagiotou3/5
- P. Andreou3/5
- A. Kakoullis2/5
- A. Paraskevas2/5
- C. Charalampous2/5
- C. Kyriakou2/5
- C. Sielis2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Germany 0-1 GreeceSep 27, 2026
- Norway 1-2 PortugalSep 27, 2026
- Israel 0-3 IrelandSep 27, 2026
- Armenia 2-3 MontenegroSep 28, 2026
- Georgia 0-0 UkraineSep 28, 2026
- Sweden 3-1 PolandSep 28, 2026
- Northern Ireland 0-0 HungarySep 28, 2026
- Türkiye 1-4 ItalySep 28, 2026
- Romania 2-4 Bosnia & HerzegovinaSep 28, 2026
- Belgium 0-1 FranceSep 28, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Latvia vs Cyprus prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Latvia a 37% chance of winning, the draw 31% and Cyprus 32%. Latvia are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Latvia vs Cyprus?
1-0 (14.4%), followed by 0-0 (13.8%), 1-1 (13.5%), 0-1 (13.0%) and 2-0 (7.5%).
Will both teams score in Latvia vs Cyprus?
The probability that both Latvia and Cyprus score is 39%. Latvia have a 39% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Cyprus 35%.
How many goals should we expect in Latvia vs Cyprus?
The model expects 1.98 goals (1.04 for Latvia, 0.94 for Cyprus). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 59%, over 2.5 goals 32%, over 3.5 goals 14%.
When and where is Latvia vs Cyprus played?
Monday, September 28, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Nations League. Venue: Skonto, Riga.
What form are Latvia and Cyprus in?
Latvia: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 4 conceded). Cyprus: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Latvia and Cyprus?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Latvia, 0 for Cyprus and 1 draw. The most recent ended Cyprus 1-1 Latvia (Mar 21, 2024).
What was the Latvia vs Cyprus result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Latvia 0-0 Cyprus. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Latvia (37%), while a draw was rated at only 31%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (13.8%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (39%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (32%): correct.
How is the Latvia vs Cyprus prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.04 for Latvia, 0.94 for Cyprus) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Latvia predictions
- All Cyprus predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology