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UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Monday, September 28, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Northern Ireland vs Hungary: 0-0 result and AI prediction review

Northern IrelandNorthern Ireland0 – 0HungaryHungary

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score foundMost likely score before kick-off : 0-0

Final score: Northern Ireland 0-0 Hungary. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Hungary (35%), while a draw was rated at only 32%. The exact score 0-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (15.7%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (36%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (28%): correct.

Match analysis

Northern Ireland vs Hungary was played on Monday, September 28, 2026 (UEFA Nations League). Venue: Puskás Aréna, Budapest. Before kick-off, our model gave Northern Ireland a 32% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Hungary 35%. The most likely correct score is 0-0 (15.7%), ahead of 0-1 (14.9%) and 1-0 (14.2%).

Over their last 5 matches, Northern Ireland have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 4 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Hungary have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 3. Recent momentum is clearly with Hungary. On average Northern Ireland score 0.80 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Hungary score 1.20 and concede 0.60. In the table, Northern Ireland sit 2nd with 3 points from 1 games, Hungary 3rd with 0 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Northern Ireland, 1 for Hungary and 0 draws. The most recent ended Northern Ireland 0-1 Hungary (Mar 29, 2022). In double chance terms, "Northern Ireland or draw" stands at 65%, "Hungary or draw" at 68% and "no draw" at 68%.

In short : Northern Ireland and Hungary meet in a wide-open clash with no clear favourite (draw at 32%). On recent form, Northern Ireland have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Hungary have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

32%
Northern Ireland (Win)
32%
Draw
35%
Hungary (Win)

Double chance

65%
Northern Ireland or draw
68%
Hungary or draw
68%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Northern Ireland – Hungary. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (15.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 65% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Northern Ireland 0-0 Hungary15.7%
Northern Ireland 0-1 Hungary14.9%
Northern Ireland 1-0 Hungary14.2%
Northern Ireland 1-1 Hungary13.4%
Northern Ireland 0-2 Hungary7.1%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 1.85 goals in total (0.90 for Northern Ireland, 0.95 for Hungary): over 2.5 goals has a 28% probability and both teams to score 36%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Northern Ireland keep a clean sheet in 39% of scenarios, Hungary in 41%.

Probability
Northern Ireland expected goals0.90
Hungary expected goals0.95
Both teams to score36%
Over 1.5 goals55%
Over 2.5 goals28%
Over 3.5 goals12%
Northern Ireland clean sheet39%
Hungary clean sheet41%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Northern Ireland

DateOpponentScore
Sep 25, 2026Georgia · UEFA Nations League1-0W
Jun 8, 2026France · International Friendlies1-3L
Jun 4, 2026Guinea · International Friendlies1-0W
Mar 31, 2026Wales · International Friendlies1-1D
Mar 26, 2026Italy · World Cup - Qualification Europe0-2L

Hungary

DateOpponentScore
Sep 25, 2026Ukraine · UEFA Nations League0-1L
Jun 9, 2026Kazakhstan · International Friendlies3-1W
Jun 5, 2026Finland · International Friendlies2-1W
Mar 31, 2026Greece · International Friendlies0-0D
Mar 28, 2026Slovenia · International Friendlies1-0W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Northern Ireland231
Hungary301

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 29, 2022Northern Ireland 0-1 HungaryInternational Friendlies

Out and doubtful

Northern Ireland

No absences reported.

Hungary

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Northern Ireland

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • I. Price5/5
  • J. Devenny5/5
  • J. Donley5/5
  • S. Charles5/5
  • C. Brown4/5
  • P. Charles4/5
  • T. Hume4/5
  • E. Galbraith3/5
  • R. McConville3/5
  • B. Spencer2/5
  • P. Kelly2/5

Hungary

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • D. Szoboszlai5/5
  • A. Schafer4/5
  • A. Toth4/5
  • M. Kerkez4/5
  • M. Vitalis4/5
  • W. Orban4/5
  • B. Bolla3/5
  • B. Toth3/5
  • D. Redzic3/5
  • R. Sallai3/5
  • A. Osvath2/5

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Northern Ireland vs Hungary prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Northern Ireland a 32% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Hungary 35%. Hungary are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Northern Ireland vs Hungary?

0-0 (15.7%), followed by 0-1 (14.9%), 1-0 (14.2%), 1-1 (13.4%) and 0-2 (7.1%).

Will both teams score in Northern Ireland vs Hungary?

The probability that both Northern Ireland and Hungary score is 36%. Northern Ireland have a 39% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Hungary 41%.

How many goals should we expect in Northern Ireland vs Hungary?

The model expects 1.85 goals (0.90 for Northern Ireland, 0.95 for Hungary). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 55%, over 2.5 goals 28%, over 3.5 goals 12%.

When and where is Northern Ireland vs Hungary played?

Monday, September 28, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League. Venue: Puskás Aréna, Budapest.

What form are Northern Ireland and Hungary in?

Northern Ireland: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 6 conceded). Hungary: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 3 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Northern Ireland and Hungary?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Northern Ireland, 1 for Hungary and 0 draws. The most recent ended Northern Ireland 0-1 Hungary (Mar 29, 2022).

What was the Northern Ireland vs Hungary result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Northern Ireland 0-0 Hungary. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Hungary (35%), while a draw was rated at only 32%. The exact score 0-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (15.7%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (36%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (28%): correct.

How is the Northern Ireland vs Hungary prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.90 for Northern Ireland, 0.95 for Hungary) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained