UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Tuesday, September 29, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Moldova vs Faroe Islands: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Moldova 1-1 Faroe Islands. The outcome was missed: the model favoured a draw (34%), while a draw was rated at only 34%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (13.3%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (34%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (25%): correct.
Match analysis
Moldova and Faroe Islands met on Tuesday, September 29, 2026, a UEFA Nations League fixture. Venue: Zimbru, Chisinau. Before kick-off, our model gave Moldova a 33% chance of winning, the draw 34% and Faroe Islands 34%. On the correct score, 0-0 comes out on top (17.6%), followed by 0-1 (15.4%) and 1-0 (15.1%).
Moldova have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 10. Over their last 5 matches, Faroe Islands have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 5 and conceding 3. Faroe Islands therefore arrive in far better shape than Moldova. On average Moldova score 1.00 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Faroe Islands score 1.00 and concede 0.60. In the table, Moldova sit 4th with 0 points from 1 games, Faroe Islands 3rd with 1 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Moldova, 1 for Faroe Islands and 2 draws. The most recent ended Faroe Islands 0-1 Moldova (Sep 10, 2023). In double chance terms, "Moldova or draw" stands at 66%, "Faroe Islands or draw" at 67% and "no draw" at 66%.
In short : Moldova host Faroe Islands in a tight contest where a draw stays on the table (34%). On recent form, Moldova have 0 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in 5 while Faroe Islands have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Moldova – Faroe Islands. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (17.6%); the 5 scores below add up to 68% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Moldova 0-0 Faroe Islands | 17.6% |
| Moldova 0-1 Faroe Islands | 15.4% |
| Moldova 1-0 Faroe Islands | 15.1% |
| Moldova 1-1 Faroe Islands | 13.3% |
| Moldova 0-2 Faroe Islands | 6.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.86 expected goals for Moldova and 0.88 for Faroe Islands, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 25% and "both teams to score" at 34%. Few goals are expected here. Moldova keep a clean sheet in 42% of scenarios, Faroe Islands in 42%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Moldova expected goals | 0.86 |
| Faroe Islands expected goals | 0.88 |
| Both teams to score | 34% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 52% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 25% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 10% |
| Moldova clean sheet | 42% |
| Faroe Islands clean sheet | 42% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Moldova
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Slovakia · UEFA Nations League | 0-2 | L |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Armenia · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Bulgaria · International Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Cyprus · International Friendlies | 2-3 | L |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Lithuania · International Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
Faroe Islands
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Kazakhstan · UEFA Nations League | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Latvia · Baltic Cup | 1-0 | W |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Estonia · Baltic Cup | 0-1 | L |
| Mar 28, 2026 | San Marino · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Kazakhstan · International Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Faroe Islands | 3 | 1 | 1 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2023 | Faroe Islands 0-1 Moldova | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 24, 2023 | Moldova 1-1 Faroe Islands | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Sep 7, 2021 | Faroe Islands 2-1 Moldova | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
| Mar 25, 2021 | Moldova 1-1 Faroe Islands | World Cup - Qualification Europe |
Out and doubtful
Moldova
No absences reported.
Faroe Islands
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Moldova
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- M. Gherasimencov5/5
- V. Baboglo5/5
- D. Forov4/5
- I. Revenco4/5
- D. Celeadnic3/5
- P. Popescu3/5
- C. Cucos2/5
- D. Puscas2/5
- S. Bodisteanu2/5
- S. Perciun2/5
- T. Lungu2/5
Faroe Islands
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- G. Vatnhamar4/5
- M. Agnarsson4/5
- A. Frederiksberg3/5
- J. Andreasen3/5
- J. Danielsen3/5
- P. Knudsen3/5
- S. Chukwudi3/5
- B. Reynatrod2/5
- G. D. Turi2/5
- H. Sorensen2/5
- M. Lamhauge2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Sweden 3-1 PolandSep 28, 2026
- Northern Ireland 0-0 HungarySep 28, 2026
- Finland 0-0 BelarusSep 29, 2026
- San Marino 0-3 AlbaniaSep 29, 2026
- Scotland 0-3 SwitzerlandSep 29, 2026
- Slovakia 2-1 KazakhstanSep 29, 2026
- Spain 4-1 CroatiaSep 29, 2026
- Slovenia 2-0 North MacedoniaSep 29, 2026
- Bulgaria 0-0 EstoniaSep 29, 2026
- Luxembourg 0-3 IcelandSep 29, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Moldova vs Faroe Islands prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Moldova a 33% chance of winning, the draw 34% and Faroe Islands 34%. A draw is therefore the most likely outcome. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
0-0 (17.6%), followed by 0-1 (15.4%), 1-0 (15.1%), 1-1 (13.3%) and 0-2 (6.8%).
Will both teams score in Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
The probability that both Moldova and Faroe Islands score is 34%. Moldova have a 42% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Faroe Islands 42%.
How many goals should we expect in Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
The model expects 1.74 goals (0.86 for Moldova, 0.88 for Faroe Islands). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 52%, over 2.5 goals 25%, over 3.5 goals 10%.
When and where is Moldova vs Faroe Islands played?
Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Nations League. Venue: Zimbru, Chisinau.
What form are Moldova and Faroe Islands in?
Moldova: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 10 conceded). Faroe Islands: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 3 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Moldova and Faroe Islands?
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Moldova, 1 for Faroe Islands and 2 draws. The most recent ended Faroe Islands 0-1 Moldova (Sep 10, 2023).
What was the Moldova vs Faroe Islands result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Moldova 1-1 Faroe Islands. The outcome was missed: the model favoured a draw (34%), while a draw was rated at only 34%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (13.3%), behind 0-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (34%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (25%): correct.
How is the Moldova vs Faroe Islands prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.86 for Moldova, 0.88 for Faroe Islands) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Moldova predictions
- All Faroe Islands predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology