UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Tuesday, September 29, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Moldova vs Faroe Islands prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Nations League: the Moldova vs Faroe Islands match is scheduled on Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time). Moldova start as favourites with a 46% chance of victory; Faroe Islands are given 28% and the draw 26%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (12.2%), followed by 1-0 (11.1%) and 2-1 (9.2%).
Moldova have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 12. Over their last 5 matches, Faroe Islands have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Faroe Islands therefore arrive in far better shape than Moldova. On average Moldova score 1.20 and concede 2.40 goals per game; Faroe Islands score 1.00 and concede 1.00.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Moldova and Faroe Islands: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Moldova or draw" stands at 72%, "Faroe Islands or draw" at 54% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Moldova are tipped by our AI model in this Moldova v Faroe Islands (46%). On recent form, Moldova have 0 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in 5 while Faroe Islands have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Moldova – Faroe Islands. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Moldova 1-1 Faroe Islands | 12.2% |
| Moldova 1-0 Faroe Islands | 11.1% |
| Moldova 2-1 Faroe Islands | 9.2% |
| Moldova 2-0 Faroe Islands | 8.4% |
| Moldova 0-1 Faroe Islands | 8.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.51 expected goals for Moldova and 1.10 for Faroe Islands, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 48% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Moldova keep a clean sheet in 33% of scenarios, Faroe Islands in 22%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Moldova expected goals | 1.51 |
| Faroe Islands expected goals | 1.10 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 27% |
| Moldova clean sheet | 33% |
| Faroe Islands clean sheet | 22% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Moldova
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Armenia · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Bulgaria · International Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Cyprus · International Friendlies | 2-3 | L |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Lithuania · International Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Israel · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 1-4 | L |
Faroe Islands
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Latvia · Baltic Cup | 1-0 | W |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Estonia · Baltic Cup | 0-1 | L |
| Mar 28, 2026 | San Marino · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Kazakhstan · International Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Nov 14, 2025 | Croatia · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 1-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Moldova | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Faroe Islands | 3 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Moldova and Faroe Islands: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Moldova
No absences reported.
Faroe Islands
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Moldova
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- M. Gherasimencov5/5
- V. Baboglo5/5
- D. Forov4/5
- I. Revenco4/5
- C. Cucos3/5
- P. Popescu3/5
- S. Perciun3/5
- V. Postolachi3/5
- D. Celeadnic2/5
- D. Puscas2/5
- E. Timbur2/5
Faroe Islands
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Frederiksberg4/5
- G. Vatnhamar4/5
- J. Andreasen4/5
- G. D. Turi3/5
- H. Sorensen3/5
- M. Agnarsson3/5
- S. Chukwudi3/5
- V. Davidsen3/5
- B. Reynatrod2/5
- J. Danielsen2/5
- M. Lamhauge2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Sweden – PolandSep 28, 2026
- Northern Ireland – HungarySep 28, 2026
- Finland – BelarusSep 29, 2026
- San Marino – AlbaniaSep 29, 2026
- Scotland – SwitzerlandSep 29, 2026
- Slovakia – KazakhstanSep 29, 2026
- Spain – CroatiaSep 29, 2026
- Slovenia – North MacedoniaSep 29, 2026
- Bulgaria – EstoniaSep 29, 2026
- Luxembourg – IcelandSep 29, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Moldova vs Faroe Islands prediction?
Our AI gives Moldova a 46% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Faroe Islands 28%. Moldova are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
1-1 (12.2%), followed by 1-0 (11.1%), 2-1 (9.2%), 2-0 (8.4%) and 0-1 (8.1%).
Will both teams score in Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
The probability that both Moldova and Faroe Islands score is 52%. Moldova have a 33% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Faroe Islands 22%.
How many goals should we expect in Moldova vs Faroe Islands?
The model expects 2.61 goals (1.51 for Moldova, 1.10 for Faroe Islands). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 27%.
When and where is Moldova vs Faroe Islands played?
Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.
What form are Moldova and Faroe Islands in?
Moldova: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 12 conceded). Faroe Islands: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 5 conceded).
How is the Moldova vs Faroe Islands prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.51 for Moldova, 1.10 for Faroe Islands) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Moldova predictions
- All Faroe Islands predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology