UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Tuesday, September 29, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Scotland vs Switzerland prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Nations League: Scotland vs Switzerland kicks off on Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Scotland 30%, Switzerland 41% and the draw 29%. The most likely correct score is 0-1 (13.7%), ahead of 1-1 (13.3%) and 0-0 (11.5%).
Over their last 5 matches, Scotland have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Switzerland have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Scotland score 1.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Switzerland score 1.80 and concede 1.00. Over their recent games, Scotland have averaged 0.87 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.32 for Switzerland.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Scotland and Switzerland: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Scotland or draw" stands at 59%, "Switzerland or draw" at 70% and "no draw" at 71%.
In short : Our model backs Switzerland to edge Scotland (41% probability). On recent form, Scotland have 3 wins, 0 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Switzerland have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Scotland – Switzerland. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 58% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Scotland 0-1 Switzerland | 13.7% |
| Scotland 1-1 Switzerland | 13.3% |
| Scotland 0-0 Switzerland | 11.5% |
| Scotland 1-0 Switzerland | 11.2% |
| Scotland 0-2 Switzerland | 8.2% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.16 goals in total (0.97 for Scotland, 1.19 for Switzerland): over 2.5 goals has a 37% probability and both teams to score 43%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Scotland keep a clean sheet in 30% of scenarios, Switzerland in 38%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Scotland expected goals | 0.97 |
| Switzerland expected goals | 1.19 |
| Both teams to score | 43% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 64% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 37% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 17% |
| Scotland clean sheet | 30% |
| Switzerland clean sheet | 38% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Scotland
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 24, 2026 | Brazil · FIFA World Cup | 0-3 | L |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Morocco · FIFA World Cup | 0-1 | L |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Haiti · FIFA World Cup | 1-0 | W |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Bolivia · International Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
| May 30, 2026 | Curaçao · International Friendlies | 4-1 | W |
Switzerland
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 12, 2026 | Argentina · FIFA World Cup | 1-3 | L |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Colombia · FIFA World Cup | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Algeria · FIFA World Cup | 2-0 | W |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Canada · FIFA World Cup | 2-1 | W |
| Jun 18, 2026 | Bosnia & Herzegovina · FIFA World Cup | 4-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scotland | 3 | 0 | 0 |
| Switzerland | 1 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Scotland and Switzerland: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Scotland
No absences reported.
Switzerland
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Scotland
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Robertson5/5
- A. Gunn4/5
- B. Gannon-Doak4/5
- J. Hendry4/5
- L. Ferguson4/5
- L. Shankland4/5
- S. McTominay4/5
- A. Hickey3/5
- C. Adams3/5
- G. Hanley3/5
- J. McGinn3/5
Switzerland
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Embolo4/5
- G. Kobel4/5
- G. Xhaka4/5
- M. Akanji4/5
- N. Elvedi4/5
- R. Freuler4/5
- R. Rodriguez4/5
- D. Ndoye3/5
- D. Zakaria2/5
- F. Rieder2/5
- J. Manzambi2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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- Slovakia – KazakhstanSep 29, 2026
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Scotland vs Switzerland prediction?
Our AI gives Scotland a 30% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Switzerland 41%. Switzerland are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Scotland vs Switzerland?
0-1 (13.7%), followed by 1-1 (13.3%), 0-0 (11.5%), 1-0 (11.2%) and 0-2 (8.2%).
Will both teams score in Scotland vs Switzerland?
The probability that both Scotland and Switzerland score is 43%. Scotland have a 30% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Switzerland 38%.
How many goals should we expect in Scotland vs Switzerland?
The model expects 2.16 goals (0.97 for Scotland, 1.19 for Switzerland). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 64%, over 2.5 goals 37%, over 3.5 goals 17%.
When and where is Scotland vs Switzerland played?
Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.
What form are Scotland and Switzerland in?
Scotland: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded). Switzerland: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded).
How is the Scotland vs Switzerland prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.97 for Scotland, 1.19 for Switzerland) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Scotland predictions
- All Switzerland predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology