UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Tuesday, September 29, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Scotland vs Switzerland: 0-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Scotland 0-3 Switzerland. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Switzerland was the model's favourite outcome (52%). The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (5.2%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (42%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (39%): missed.
Match analysis
Scotland vs Switzerland was played on Tuesday, September 29, 2026 (UEFA Nations League). Venue: Hampden Park Stadium, Glasgow. Before kick-off, our model gave Scotland a 21% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Switzerland 52%. The most likely correct score is 0-1 (15.4%), ahead of 1-1 (12.3%) and 0-2 (11.0%).
Over their last 5 matches, Scotland have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Switzerland have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 4. Recent momentum is clearly with Switzerland. On average Scotland score 1.00 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Switzerland score 1.60 and concede 0.80. In the table, Scotland sit 3rd with 1 points from 1 games, Switzerland 1st with 3 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Scotland have averaged 0.87 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.13 for Switzerland.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Scotland, 0 for Switzerland and 1 draw. The most recent ended Scotland 1-1 Switzerland (Jun 19, 2024). In double chance terms, "Scotland or draw" stands at 48%, "Switzerland or draw" at 79% and "no draw" at 73%.
In short : Our model backs Switzerland to edge Scotland (52% probability). In the table, Scotland (3rd, 1 pts) host Switzerland (1st, 3 pts). The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Scotland – Switzerland. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (15.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 58% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Scotland 0-1 Switzerland | 15.4% |
| Scotland 1-1 Switzerland | 12.3% |
| Scotland 0-2 Switzerland | 11.0% |
| Scotland 0-0 Switzerland | 10.8% |
| Scotland 1-2 Switzerland | 8.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.23 goals in total (0.80 for Scotland, 1.43 for Switzerland): over 2.5 goals has a 39% probability and both teams to score 42%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Scotland keep a clean sheet in 24% of scenarios, Switzerland in 45%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Scotland expected goals | 0.80 |
| Switzerland expected goals | 1.43 |
| Both teams to score | 42% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% |
| Scotland clean sheet | 24% |
| Switzerland clean sheet | 45% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Scotland
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Slovenia · UEFA Nations League | 0-0 | D |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Brazil · FIFA World Cup | 0-3 | L |
| Jun 19, 2026 | Morocco · FIFA World Cup | 0-1 | L |
| Jun 14, 2026 | Haiti · FIFA World Cup | 1-0 | W |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Bolivia · International Friendlies | 4-0 | W |
Switzerland
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | North Macedonia · UEFA Nations League | 3-0 | W |
| Jul 12, 2026 | Argentina · FIFA World Cup | 1-3 | L |
| Jul 7, 2026 | Colombia · FIFA World Cup | 0-0 | D |
| Jul 3, 2026 | Algeria · FIFA World Cup | 2-0 | W |
| Jun 24, 2026 | Canada · FIFA World Cup | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Scotland | 3 | 1 | 1 |
| Switzerland | 1 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 19, 2024 | Scotland 1-1 Switzerland | Euro Championship |
Out and doubtful
Scotland
No absences reported.
Switzerland
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Scotland
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Gunn5/5
- A. Robertson5/5
- J. Hendry5/5
- L. Ferguson5/5
- S. McTominay4/5
- A. Hickey3/5
- B. Gannon-Doak3/5
- C. Adams3/5
- G. Hanley3/5
- J. McGinn3/5
- L. Shankland3/5
Switzerland
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- G. Kobel5/5
- M. Akanji5/5
- N. Elvedi5/5
- R. Freuler5/5
- B. Embolo4/5
- D. Ndoye4/5
- G. Xhaka4/5
- R. Rodriguez4/5
- D. Zakaria3/5
- F. Rieder3/5
- J. Manzambi3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Sweden 3-1 PolandSep 28, 2026
- Northern Ireland 0-0 HungarySep 28, 2026
- Türkiye 1-4 ItalySep 28, 2026
- Finland 0-0 BelarusSep 29, 2026
- Moldova 1-1 Faroe IslandsSep 29, 2026
- San Marino 0-3 AlbaniaSep 29, 2026
- Slovakia 2-1 KazakhstanSep 29, 2026
- Spain 4-1 CroatiaSep 29, 2026
- Slovenia 2-0 North MacedoniaSep 29, 2026
- Bulgaria 0-0 EstoniaSep 29, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Scotland vs Switzerland prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Scotland a 21% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Switzerland 52%. Switzerland are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-3.
What is the most likely correct score for Scotland vs Switzerland?
0-1 (15.4%), followed by 1-1 (12.3%), 0-2 (11.0%), 0-0 (10.8%) and 1-2 (8.8%).
Will both teams score in Scotland vs Switzerland?
The probability that both Scotland and Switzerland score is 42%. Scotland have a 24% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Switzerland 45%.
How many goals should we expect in Scotland vs Switzerland?
The model expects 2.23 goals (0.80 for Scotland, 1.43 for Switzerland). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 65%, over 2.5 goals 39%, over 3.5 goals 19%.
When and where is Scotland vs Switzerland played?
Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League. Venue: Hampden Park Stadium, Glasgow.
What form are Scotland and Switzerland in?
Scotland: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 4 conceded). Switzerland: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Scotland and Switzerland?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Scotland, 0 for Switzerland and 1 draw. The most recent ended Scotland 1-1 Switzerland (Jun 19, 2024).
What was the Scotland vs Switzerland result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Scotland 0-3 Switzerland. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Switzerland was the model's favourite outcome (52%). The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (5.2%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (42%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (39%): missed.
How is the Scotland vs Switzerland prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.80 for Scotland, 1.43 for Switzerland) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Scotland predictions
- All Switzerland predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology