UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Tuesday, September 29, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Slovakia vs Kazakhstan prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Nations League: Slovakia vs Kazakhstan kicks off on Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Slovakia start as favourites with a 51% chance of victory; Kazakhstan are given 24% and the draw 25%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%) and 2-1 (9.5%).
Over their last 5 matches, Slovakia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 13. Over their last 5 matches, Kazakhstan have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Slovakia score 1.80 and concede 2.60 goals per game; Kazakhstan score 1.00 and concede 1.00.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Slovakia and Kazakhstan: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Slovakia or draw" stands at 76%, "Kazakhstan or draw" at 49% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Slovakia are favourites for this Slovakia v Kazakhstan, with a 51% win probability from our model. On recent form, Slovakia have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Kazakhstan have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Slovakia – Kazakhstan. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Slovakia 1-1 Kazakhstan | 11.8% |
| Slovakia 1-0 Kazakhstan | 11.4% |
| Slovakia 2-1 Kazakhstan | 9.5% |
| Slovakia 2-0 Kazakhstan | 9.3% |
| Slovakia 0-1 Kazakhstan | 7.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.62 expected goals for Slovakia and 1.03 for Kazakhstan, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. Slovakia keep a clean sheet in 36% of scenarios, Kazakhstan in 20%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Slovakia expected goals | 1.62 |
| Kazakhstan expected goals | 1.03 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 49% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 28% |
| Slovakia clean sheet | 36% |
| Kazakhstan clean sheet | 20% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Slovakia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 5, 2026 | Montenegro · International Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Malta · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Romania · International Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Kosovo · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 3-4 | L |
| Nov 17, 2025 | Germany · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 0-6 | L |
Kazakhstan
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 9, 2026 | Hungary · International Friendlies | 1-3 | L |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Armenia · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Comoros · FIFA Series | 1-0 | W |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Namibia · FIFA Series | 2-0 | W |
| Nov 18, 2025 | Faroe Islands · International Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slovakia | 1 | 0 | 0 |
| Kazakhstan | 4 | 0 | 0 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Slovakia and Kazakhstan: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Slovakia
No absences reported.
Kazakhstan
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Slovakia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Obert5/5
- D. Strelec4/5
- O. Duda4/5
- D. Hancko3/5
- D. Vavro3/5
- L. Haraslin3/5
- M. Bero3/5
- M. Valjent3/5
- S. Lobotka3/5
- T. Suslov3/5
- L. Benes2/5
Kazakhstan
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- G. Kenzhebek4/5
- I. Kuat4/5
- M. Samorodov4/5
- N. Alip4/5
- R. Orazov4/5
- Y. Vorogovskiy4/5
- A. Kasym3/5
- T. Anarbekov3/5
- A. Ashirbek2/5
- A. Mrynskiy2/5
- D. Satpaev2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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- Finland – BelarusSep 29, 2026
- Moldova – Faroe IslandsSep 29, 2026
- San Marino – AlbaniaSep 29, 2026
- Scotland – SwitzerlandSep 29, 2026
- Spain – CroatiaSep 29, 2026
- Slovenia – North MacedoniaSep 29, 2026
- Bulgaria – EstoniaSep 29, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Slovakia vs Kazakhstan prediction?
Our AI gives Slovakia a 51% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Kazakhstan 24%. Slovakia are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Slovakia vs Kazakhstan?
1-1 (11.8%), followed by 1-0 (11.4%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.3%) and 0-1 (7.3%).
Will both teams score in Slovakia vs Kazakhstan?
The probability that both Slovakia and Kazakhstan score is 52%. Slovakia have a 36% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Kazakhstan 20%.
How many goals should we expect in Slovakia vs Kazakhstan?
The model expects 2.65 goals (1.62 for Slovakia, 1.03 for Kazakhstan). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 28%.
When and where is Slovakia vs Kazakhstan played?
Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.
What form are Slovakia and Kazakhstan in?
Slovakia: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 13 conceded). Kazakhstan: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 5 conceded).
How is the Slovakia vs Kazakhstan prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.62 for Slovakia, 1.03 for Kazakhstan) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Slovakia predictions
- All Kazakhstan predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology