UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Tuesday, September 29, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Slovakia vs Kazakhstan: 2-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Slovakia 2-1 Kazakhstan. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Slovakia at 77%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (8.2%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (36%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (52%): correct.
Match analysis
Slovakia and Kazakhstan met on Tuesday, September 29, 2026, a UEFA Nations League fixture. Venue: Kosicka futbalova arena, Kosice. Before kick-off, our model gave Slovakia a 77% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Kazakhstan 7%. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (15.9%), followed by 1-0 (14.1%) and 3-0 (11.9%).
Over their last 5 matches, Slovakia have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 11 and conceding 7. Over their last 5 matches, Kazakhstan have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Slovakia score 2.20 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Kazakhstan score 1.20 and concede 1.00. In the table, Slovakia sit 1st with 3 points from 1 games, Kazakhstan 2nd with 1 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Slovakia, 2 for Kazakhstan and 0 draws. The most recent ended Kazakhstan 2-1 Slovakia (Jun 13, 2022). In double chance terms, "Slovakia or draw" stands at 93%, "Kazakhstan or draw" at 23% and "no draw" at 84%.
In short : Slovakia are favourites for this Slovakia v Kazakhstan, with a 77% win probability from our model. On recent form, Slovakia have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Kazakhstan have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Slovakia – Kazakhstan. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (15.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 57% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Slovakia 2-0 Kazakhstan | 15.9% |
| Slovakia 1-0 Kazakhstan | 14.1% |
| Slovakia 3-0 Kazakhstan | 11.9% |
| Slovakia 2-1 Kazakhstan | 8.2% |
| Slovakia 1-1 Kazakhstan | 7.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.25 expected goals for Slovakia and 0.52 for Kazakhstan, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 52% and "both teams to score" at 36%. Slovakia keep a clean sheet in 60% of scenarios, Kazakhstan in 11%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Slovakia expected goals | 2.25 |
| Kazakhstan expected goals | 0.52 |
| Both teams to score | 36% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% |
| Slovakia clean sheet | 60% |
| Kazakhstan clean sheet | 11% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Slovakia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Moldova · UEFA Nations League | 2-0 | W |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Montenegro · International Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Jun 1, 2026 | Malta · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Romania · International Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Kosovo · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 3-4 | L |
Kazakhstan
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Faroe Islands · UEFA Nations League | 1-1 | D |
| Jun 9, 2026 | Hungary · International Friendlies | 1-3 | L |
| Jun 6, 2026 | Armenia · International Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Comoros · FIFA Series | 1-0 | W |
| Mar 25, 2026 | Namibia · FIFA Series | 2-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Slovakia | 1 | 3 | 1 |
| Kazakhstan | 2 | 1 | 1 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jun 13, 2022 | Kazakhstan 2-1 Slovakia | UEFA Nations League |
| Jun 6, 2022 | Slovakia 0-1 Kazakhstan | UEFA Nations League |
Out and doubtful
Slovakia
No absences reported.
Kazakhstan
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Slovakia
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Obert5/5
- D. Strelec4/5
- O. Duda4/5
- T. Suslov4/5
- D. Hancko3/5
- D. Vavro3/5
- L. Haraslin3/5
- M. Valjent3/5
- S. Lobotka3/5
- L. Benes2/5
- M. Bero2/5
Kazakhstan
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- G. Kenzhebek5/5
- I. Kuat5/5
- N. Alip5/5
- Y. Vorogovskiy5/5
- M. Samorodov4/5
- R. Orazov4/5
- A. Kasym3/5
- A. Mrynskiy3/5
- T. Anarbekov3/5
- A. Ashirbek2/5
- D. Karaman2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Sweden 3-1 PolandSep 28, 2026
- Northern Ireland 0-0 HungarySep 28, 2026
- Türkiye 1-4 ItalySep 28, 2026
- Finland 0-0 BelarusSep 29, 2026
- Moldova 1-1 Faroe IslandsSep 29, 2026
- San Marino 0-3 AlbaniaSep 29, 2026
- Scotland 0-3 SwitzerlandSep 29, 2026
- Spain 4-1 CroatiaSep 29, 2026
- Slovenia 2-0 North MacedoniaSep 29, 2026
- Bulgaria 0-0 EstoniaSep 29, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Slovakia vs Kazakhstan prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Slovakia a 77% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Kazakhstan 7%. Slovakia are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Slovakia vs Kazakhstan?
2-0 (15.9%), followed by 1-0 (14.1%), 3-0 (11.9%), 2-1 (8.2%) and 1-1 (7.3%).
Will both teams score in Slovakia vs Kazakhstan?
The probability that both Slovakia and Kazakhstan score is 36%. Slovakia have a 60% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Kazakhstan 11%.
How many goals should we expect in Slovakia vs Kazakhstan?
The model expects 2.77 goals (2.25 for Slovakia, 0.52 for Kazakhstan). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 76%, over 2.5 goals 52%, over 3.5 goals 30%.
When and where is Slovakia vs Kazakhstan played?
Tuesday, September 29, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League. Venue: Kosicka futbalova arena, Kosice.
What form are Slovakia and Kazakhstan in?
Slovakia: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 7 conceded). Kazakhstan: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Slovakia and Kazakhstan?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Slovakia, 2 for Kazakhstan and 0 draws. The most recent ended Kazakhstan 2-1 Slovakia (Jun 13, 2022).
What was the Slovakia vs Kazakhstan result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Slovakia 2-1 Kazakhstan. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Slovakia at 77%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (8.2%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (36%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (52%): correct.
How is the Slovakia vs Kazakhstan prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.25 for Slovakia, 0.52 for Kazakhstan) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Slovakia predictions
- All Kazakhstan predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology