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UEFA Nations LeagueUEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Monday, September 28, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction: correct score and AI tips

RomaniaRomania–Bosnia & HerzegovinaBosnia & Herzegovina

Match analysis

UEFA Nations League: Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina kicks off on Monday, September 28, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). With a 67% win probability, Romania go in as strong favourites against Bosnia & Herzegovina (10%), with the draw rated at 23%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (19.9%), ahead of 2-0 (16.5%) and 0-0 (12.0%).

Over their last 5 matches, Romania have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Bosnia & Herzegovina have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 9. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Romania score 2.00 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Bosnia & Herzegovina score 1.20 and concede 1.80.

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Romania and Bosnia & Herzegovina: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Romania or draw" stands at 90%, "Bosnia & Herzegovina or draw" at 33% and "no draw" at 77%.

In short : Romania are favourites for this Romania v Bosnia & Herzegovina, with a 67% win probability from our model. On recent form, Romania have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Bosnia & Herzegovina have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

67%
Romania (Win)
23%
Draw
10%
Bosnia & Herzegovina (Win)

Double chance

90%
Romania or draw
33%
Bosnia & Herzegovina or draw
77%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Romania – Bosnia & Herzegovina. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (19.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 67% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Romania 1-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina19.9%
Romania 2-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina16.5%
Romania 0-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina12.0%
Romania 1-1 Bosnia & Herzegovina9.2%
Romania 3-0 Bosnia & Herzegovina9.2%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.12 goals in total (1.66 for Romania, 0.46 for Bosnia & Herzegovina): over 2.5 goals has a 36% probability and both teams to score 30%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Romania keep a clean sheet in 63% of scenarios, Bosnia & Herzegovina in 19%.

Probability
Romania expected goals1.66
Bosnia & Herzegovina expected goals0.46
Both teams to score30%
Over 1.5 goals63%
Over 2.5 goals36%
Over 3.5 goals17%
Romania clean sheet63%
Bosnia & Herzegovina clean sheet19%

Recent form

Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.

Romania

DateOpponentScore
Jun 6, 2026Wales · International Friendlies2-1W
Jun 2, 2026Georgia · International Friendlies1-1D
Mar 31, 2026Slovakia · International Friendlies0-2L
Mar 26, 2026Türkiye · World Cup - Qualification Europe0-1L
Nov 18, 2025San Marino · World Cup - Qualification Europe7-1W

Bosnia & Herzegovina

DateOpponentScore
Jul 2, 2026United States · FIFA World Cup0-2L
Jun 24, 2026Qatar · FIFA World Cup3-1W
Jun 18, 2026Switzerland · FIFA World Cup1-4L
Jun 12, 2026Canada · FIFA World Cup1-1D
Jun 6, 2026Panama · International Friendlies1-1D

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Romania300
Bosnia & Herzegovina400

Head-to-head

Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Romania and Bosnia & Herzegovina: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.

Out and doubtful

Romania

No absences reported.

Bosnia & Herzegovina

No absences reported.

Most regular starters

Romania

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • V. Dragomir4/5
  • A. Ratiu3/5
  • D. Birligea3/5
  • D. Man3/5
  • N. Bancu3/5
  • R. Dragusin3/5
  • S. Baiaram3/5
  • V. Ghita3/5
  • A. Burca2/5
  • F. Tanase2/5
  • I. Hagi2/5

Bosnia & Herzegovina

Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).

  • E. Demirovic5/5
  • N. Katic5/5
  • N. Vasilj5/5
  • S. Kolasinac5/5
  • A. Dedic4/5
  • K. Alajbegovic4/5
  • T. Muharemovic4/5
  • B. Tahirovic3/5
  • E. Bajraktarevic3/5
  • E. Dzeko3/5
  • I. Basic3/5

First detailed prediction free, no card required.

See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction?

Our AI gives Romania a 67% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Bosnia & Herzegovina 10%. Romania are therefore favourites.

What is the most likely correct score for Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

1-0 (19.9%), followed by 2-0 (16.5%), 0-0 (12.0%), 1-1 (9.2%) and 3-0 (9.2%).

Will both teams score in Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

The probability that both Romania and Bosnia & Herzegovina score is 30%. Romania have a 63% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Bosnia & Herzegovina 19%.

How many goals should we expect in Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina?

The model expects 2.12 goals (1.66 for Romania, 0.46 for Bosnia & Herzegovina). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 63%, over 2.5 goals 36%, over 3.5 goals 17%.

When and where is Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina played?

Monday, September 28, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.

What form are Romania and Bosnia & Herzegovina in?

Romania: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded). Bosnia & Herzegovina: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 9 conceded).

How is the Romania vs Bosnia & Herzegovina prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.66 for Romania, 0.46 for Bosnia & Herzegovina) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained