Serie A· Kick-off : Saturday, October 17, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Bologna vs Inter prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Serie A, matchday 7: the Bologna vs Inter match is scheduled on Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time). With a 91% win probability, Inter go in as strong favourites against Bologna (3%), with the draw rated at 6%. The most likely correct score is 0-3 (9.8%), ahead of 0-4 (9.8%) and 0-5 (7.8%).
Bologna have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 3 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Inter have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 13 and conceding 9. Recent momentum is clearly with Inter. On average Bologna score 0.60 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Inter score 2.60 and concede 1.80. In the table, Bologna sit 18th with 2 points from 5 games, Inter 2nd with 13 points from 5. 16 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Bologna have averaged 1.18 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.90 for Inter.
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Bologna, 1 for Inter and 2 draws. The most recent ended Bologna 3-3 Inter (May 23, 2026). Inter: H. Calhanoglu (doubtful) and J. Stones (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Bologna or draw" stands at 9%, "Inter or draw" at 97% and "no draw" at 94%.
In short : Inter are favourites for this Bologna v Inter, with a 91% win probability from our model. On recent form, Bologna have 0 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in 5 while Inter have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. One to watch: Inter will be without H. Calhanoglu and J. Stones.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Bologna – Inter. 0-3 is the single most likely scoreline (9.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 42% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Bologna 0-3 Inter | 9.8% |
| Bologna 0-4 Inter | 9.8% |
| Bologna 0-5 Inter | 7.8% |
| Bologna 0-2 Inter | 7.3% |
| Bologna 1-3 Inter | 6.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 4.69 goals in total (0.69 for Bologna, 4.00 for Inter): over 2.5 goals has a 85% probability and both teams to score 49%. Everything points to an open game. Bologna keep a clean sheet in 2% of scenarios, Inter in 50%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Bologna expected goals | 0.69 |
| Inter expected goals | 4.00 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 95% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 85% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 69% |
| Bologna clean sheet | 2% |
| Inter clean sheet | 50% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Bologna
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Torino · Serie A | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Napoli · Serie A | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sassuolo · Serie A | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Atalanta · Serie A | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Lazio · Serie A | 0-1 | L |
Inter
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Lumezzane · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | AS Roma · Serie A | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Udinese · Serie A | 5-3 | W |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Real Madrid · UEFA Champions League | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Napoli · Serie A | 3-2 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 18 | 2 | 5 |
| Inter | 2 | 13 | 5 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 23, 2026 | Bologna 3-3 Inter | Serie A |
| Jan 4, 2026 | Inter 3-1 Bologna | Serie A |
| Dec 19, 2025 | Bologna 1-1 Inter | Italian Super Cup |
Out and doubtful
Bologna
No absences reported.
Inter
- H. Calhanoglu (doubtful)
- J. Stones (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Bologna
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- L. Ferguson5/5
- N. Cambiaghi5/5
- R. Piccoli5/5
- T. Heggem5/5
- F. Bernardeschi4/5
- L. Skorupski4/5
- T. Pobega4/5
- A. Theate3/5
- E. Fauske Helland3/5
- E. Holm3/5
- J. Miranda3/5
Inter
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Bastoni4/5
- A. Diouf4/5
- J. Martinez4/5
- M. Thuram4/5
- N. Barella4/5
- Y. Bisseck4/5
- C. Jones3/5
- Carlos Augusto3/5
- F. Dimarco3/5
- L. Martinez3/5
- M. Akanji3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Frosinone – SassuoloOct 16, 2026
- Venezia – NapoliOct 17, 2026
- AS Roma – GenoaOct 17, 2026
- Udinese – LecceOct 18, 2026
- Fiorentina – ComoOct 18, 2026
- AC Milan – AtalantaOct 18, 2026
- Juventus – LazioOct 18, 2026
- Monza – CagliariOct 19, 2026
- Parma – TorinoOct 19, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Bologna vs Inter prediction?
Our AI gives Bologna a 3% chance of winning, the draw 6% and Inter 91%. Inter are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Bologna vs Inter?
0-3 (9.8%), followed by 0-4 (9.8%), 0-5 (7.8%), 0-2 (7.3%) and 1-3 (6.8%).
Will both teams score in Bologna vs Inter?
The probability that both Bologna and Inter score is 49%. Bologna have a 2% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Inter 50%.
How many goals should we expect in Bologna vs Inter?
The model expects 4.69 goals (0.69 for Bologna, 4.00 for Inter). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 95%, over 2.5 goals 85%, over 3.5 goals 69%.
When and where is Bologna vs Inter played?
Saturday, October 17, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 7.
What form are Bologna and Inter in?
Bologna: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 6 conceded). Inter: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 9 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Bologna and Inter?
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Bologna, 1 for Inter and 2 draws. The most recent ended Bologna 3-3 Inter (May 23, 2026).
How is the Bologna vs Inter prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.69 for Bologna, 4.00 for Inter) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.