Serie A· Kick-off : Sunday, October 18, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Fiorentina vs Como prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Fiorentina take on Como on Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), a Serie A, matchday 7 fixture. Venue: Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence. With a 69% win probability, Como go in as strong favourites against Fiorentina (16%), with the draw rated at 15%. The most likely correct score is 1-2 (7.9%), ahead of 1-3 (7.8%) and 0-2 (5.7%).
Over their last 5 matches, Fiorentina have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Como have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Recent momentum is clearly with Como. On average Fiorentina score 1.80 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Como score 2.40 and concede 1.20. In the table, Fiorentina sit 17th with 4 points from 5 games, Como 8th with 10 points from 5. 9 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Fiorentina have averaged 2.06 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.98 for Como.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Fiorentina, 3 for Como and 0 draws. The most recent ended Como 1-2 Fiorentina (Feb 14, 2026). Fiorentina out or doubtful: R. Sottil and F. Parisi. Como: M. Kean (doubtful) and I. Smolcic (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Fiorentina or draw" stands at 31%, "Como or draw" at 84% and "no draw" at 85%.
In short : Como are tipped by our AI model in this Fiorentina v Como (69%). In the table, Fiorentina (17th, 4 pts) host Como (8th, 10 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-2.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Fiorentina – Como. 1-2 is the single most likely scoreline (7.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 33% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Fiorentina 1-2 Como | 7.9% |
| Fiorentina 1-3 Como | 7.8% |
| Fiorentina 0-2 Como | 5.7% |
| Fiorentina 1-4 Como | 5.7% |
| Fiorentina 0-3 Como | 5.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 4.32 goals in total (1.39 for Fiorentina, 2.93 for Como): over 2.5 goals has a 81% probability and both teams to score 71%. Everything points to an open game. Fiorentina keep a clean sheet in 5% of scenarios, Como in 25%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Fiorentina expected goals | 1.39 |
| Como expected goals | 2.93 |
| Both teams to score | 71% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 93% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 81% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 63% |
| Fiorentina clean sheet | 5% |
| Como clean sheet | 25% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Fiorentina
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Napoli · Serie A | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Pisa · Coppa Italia | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Venezia · Serie A | 4-2 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Torino · Serie A | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Frosinone · Serie A | 0-3 | L |
Como
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Frosinone · Serie A | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Parma · Serie A | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 10, 2026 | RB Leipzig · UEFA Champions League | 4-1 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Genoa · Serie A | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Napoli · Serie A | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fiorentina | 17 | 4 | 5 |
| Como | 8 | 10 | 5 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 14, 2026 | Como 1-2 Fiorentina | Serie A |
| Jan 27, 2026 | Fiorentina 1-3 Como | Coppa Italia |
| Sep 21, 2025 | Fiorentina 1-2 Como | Serie A |
| Feb 16, 2025 | Fiorentina 0-2 Como | Serie A |
| Nov 24, 2024 | Como 0-2 Fiorentina | Serie A |
Out and doubtful
Fiorentina
- R. Sottil (out)
- F. Parisi (out)
Como
- M. Kean (doubtful)
- I. Smolcic (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Fiorentina
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Ndour3/5
- D. de Gea3/5
- F. Mastantuono3/5
- R. Dragusin3/5
- Viery3/5
- A. Atta2/5
- A. Jimenez2/5
- A. Njie2/5
- C. Inao Oulai2/5
- Franco Mastantuono2/5
- M. Brescianini2/5
Como
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- M. Baturina5/5
- N. Paz5/5
- A. Diao4/5
- J. Butez4/5
- J. Ramon4/5
- L. Da Cunha4/5
- T. Chalobah4/5
- Y. Couto4/5
- A. Douvikas3/5
- A. Valle3/5
- L. Milla2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Frosinone – SassuoloOct 16, 2026
- Venezia – NapoliOct 17, 2026
- Bologna – InterOct 17, 2026
- AS Roma – GenoaOct 17, 2026
- Udinese – LecceOct 18, 2026
- AC Milan – AtalantaOct 18, 2026
- Juventus – LazioOct 18, 2026
- Monza – CagliariOct 19, 2026
- Parma – TorinoOct 19, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Fiorentina vs Como prediction?
Our AI gives Fiorentina a 16% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Como 69%. Como are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Fiorentina vs Como?
1-2 (7.9%), followed by 1-3 (7.8%), 0-2 (5.7%), 1-4 (5.7%) and 0-3 (5.6%).
Will both teams score in Fiorentina vs Como?
The probability that both Fiorentina and Como score is 71%. Fiorentina have a 5% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Como 25%.
How many goals should we expect in Fiorentina vs Como?
The model expects 4.32 goals (1.39 for Fiorentina, 2.93 for Como). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 93%, over 2.5 goals 81%, over 3.5 goals 63%.
When and where is Fiorentina vs Como played?
Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 7. Venue: Stadio Artemio Franchi, Florence.
What form are Fiorentina and Como in?
Fiorentina: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 8 conceded). Como: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Fiorentina and Como?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Fiorentina, 3 for Como and 0 draws. The most recent ended Como 1-2 Fiorentina (Feb 14, 2026).
How is the Fiorentina vs Como prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.39 for Fiorentina, 2.93 for Como) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.