Serie A· Kick-off : Monday, October 19, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Parma vs Torino prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Serie A, matchday 7: Parma vs Torino kicks off on Monday, October 19, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Venue: Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Parma 29%, Torino 36% and the draw 35%. The most likely correct score is 0-0 (20.0%), ahead of 0-1 (17.2%) and 1-0 (15.0%).
Parma have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 8. Torino have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Parma score 0.80 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Torino score 0.80 and concede 1.40. In the table, Parma sit 15th with 4 points from 5 games, Torino 14th with 4 points from 5. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Parma have averaged 0.67 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.96 for Torino.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Parma, 1 for Torino and 0 draws. The most recent ended Torino 4-1 Parma (Mar 13, 2026). Parma out or doubtful: P. Almqvist, H. Nicolussi Caviglia, A. Bernabe (doubtful) and D. Drobnic (doubtful). Torino: F. Israel, C. Casadei and P. Pellegri. In double chance terms, "Parma or draw" stands at 64%, "Torino or draw" at 71% and "no draw" at 65%.
In short : Parma host Torino in a tight contest where a draw stays on the table (35%). In the table, Parma (15th, 4 pts) host Torino (14th, 4 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Parma – Torino. 0-0 is the single most likely scoreline (20.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 73% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Parma 0-0 Torino | 20.0% |
| Parma 0-1 Torino | 17.2% |
| Parma 1-0 Torino | 15.0% |
| Parma 1-1 Torino | 12.9% |
| Parma 0-2 Torino | 7.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 1.61 goals in total (0.75 for Parma, 0.86 for Torino): over 2.5 goals has a 22% probability and both teams to score 30%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Parma keep a clean sheet in 42% of scenarios, Torino in 47%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Parma expected goals | 0.75 |
| Torino expected goals | 0.86 |
| Both teams to score | 30% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 22% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 8% |
| Parma clean sheet | 42% |
| Torino clean sheet | 47% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Parma
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | Genoa · Serie A | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Como · Serie A | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Monza · Serie A | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Cremonese · Coppa Italia | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Juventus · Serie A | 0-2 | L |
Torino
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Bologna · Serie A | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 14, 2026 | AS Roma · Serie A | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Fiorentina · Serie A | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Monza · Coppa Italia | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Sassuolo · Serie A | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma | 15 | 4 | 5 |
| Torino | 14 | 4 | 5 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Torino 4-1 Parma | Serie A |
| Sep 29, 2025 | Parma 2-1 Torino | Serie A |
Out and doubtful
Parma
- P. Almqvist (out)
- H. Nicolussi Caviglia (out)
- A. Bernabe (doubtful)
- D. Drobnic (doubtful)
Torino
- F. Israel (out)
- C. Casadei (out)
- P. Pellegri (out)
Most regular starters
Parma
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- S. Britschgi4/5
- C. Ordonez3/5
- Diego Carlos3/5
- E. B. Toure3/5
- E. Corvi3/5
- E. Delprato3/5
- E. Valeri3/5
- M. Keita3/5
- M. Troilo3/5
- D. Drobnic2/5
- G. Fabbian2/5
Torino
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- N. Fortini5/5
- S. Coco5/5
- A. Cacciamani4/5
- E. Comert4/5
- G. Gineitis4/5
- G. Simeone4/5
- K. Fitz-Jim4/5
- Lucas Perri4/5
- N. Vlasic4/5
- P. Comuzzo4/5
- R. Mandragora3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Frosinone – SassuoloOct 16, 2026
- Venezia – NapoliOct 17, 2026
- Bologna – InterOct 17, 2026
- AS Roma – GenoaOct 17, 2026
- Udinese – LecceOct 18, 2026
- Fiorentina – ComoOct 18, 2026
- AC Milan – AtalantaOct 18, 2026
- Juventus – LazioOct 18, 2026
- Monza – CagliariOct 19, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Parma vs Torino prediction?
Our AI gives Parma a 29% chance of winning, the draw 35% and Torino 36%. Torino are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Parma vs Torino?
0-0 (20.0%), followed by 0-1 (17.2%), 1-0 (15.0%), 1-1 (12.9%) and 0-2 (7.4%).
Will both teams score in Parma vs Torino?
The probability that both Parma and Torino score is 30%. Parma have a 42% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Torino 47%.
How many goals should we expect in Parma vs Torino?
The model expects 1.61 goals (0.75 for Parma, 0.86 for Torino). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 48%, over 2.5 goals 22%, over 3.5 goals 8%.
When and where is Parma vs Torino played?
Monday, October 19, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 7. Venue: Stadio Ennio Tardini, Parma.
What form are Parma and Torino in?
Parma: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 8 conceded). Torino: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Parma and Torino?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Parma, 1 for Torino and 0 draws. The most recent ended Torino 4-1 Parma (Mar 13, 2026).
How is the Parma vs Torino prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.75 for Parma, 0.86 for Torino) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.