Serie A· Kick-off : Friday, October 16, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Frosinone vs Sassuolo prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Serie A, matchday 7: Frosinone vs Sassuolo kicks off on Friday, October 16, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Venue: Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone. Our model makes Frosinone clear favourites: a 73% chance of winning, against 15% for the draw and 12% for Sassuolo. On the correct score, 2-1 comes out on top (8.8%), followed by 2-0 (8.2%) and 3-1 (8.1%).
Frosinone are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 9 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Sassuolo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 8. Frosinone therefore arrive in far better shape than Sassuolo. On average Frosinone score 1.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Sassuolo score 1.80 and concede 1.60. In the table, Frosinone sit 6th with 10 points from 5 games, Sassuolo 10th with 7 points from 5. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Frosinone have averaged 2.00 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.49 for Sassuolo.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Frosinone, 2 for Sassuolo and 1 draw. The most recent ended Sassuolo 0-1 Frosinone (May 13, 2025). Frosinone out or doubtful: D. Birligea, F. Grillitsch and A. Raimondo (doubtful). Sassuolo: I. Koné, E. Pieragnolo, S. Walukiewicz, Fali Candé, D. Boloca and Y. Paz. In double chance terms, "Frosinone or draw" stands at 88%, "Sassuolo or draw" at 27% and "no draw" at 85%.
In short : Frosinone are tipped by our AI model in this Frosinone v Sassuolo (73%). On recent form, Frosinone have 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in 5 while Sassuolo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Frosinone – Sassuolo. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (8.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 39% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Frosinone 2-1 Sassuolo | 8.8% |
| Frosinone 2-0 Sassuolo | 8.2% |
| Frosinone 3-1 Sassuolo | 8.1% |
| Frosinone 3-0 Sassuolo | 7.5% |
| Frosinone 1-1 Sassuolo | 6.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.76 expected goals for Frosinone and 1.08 for Sassuolo, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 74% and "both teams to score" at 62%. Goals look likely in this one. Frosinone keep a clean sheet in 34% of scenarios, Sassuolo in 6%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Frosinone expected goals | 2.76 |
| Sassuolo expected goals | 1.08 |
| Both teams to score | 62% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 54% |
| Frosinone clean sheet | 34% |
| Sassuolo clean sheet | 6% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Frosinone
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Benevento · Club Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Como · Serie A | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Genoa · Serie A | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Venezia · Serie A | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Sassuolo · Coppa Italia | 1-1 | D |
Sassuolo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 2026 | Monza · Serie A | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Juventus · Serie A | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Bologna · Serie A | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Frosinone · Coppa Italia | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Torino · Serie A | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone | 6 | 10 | 5 |
| Sassuolo | 10 | 7 | 5 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 13, 2025 | Sassuolo 0-1 Frosinone | Serie B |
| Dec 14, 2024 | Frosinone 1-2 Sassuolo | Serie B |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Sassuolo 1-0 Frosinone | Serie A |
| Sep 17, 2023 | Frosinone 4-2 Sassuolo | Serie A |
| May 5, 2019 | Sassuolo 2-2 Frosinone | Serie A |
Out and doubtful
Frosinone
- D. Birligea (out)
- F. Grillitsch (out)
- A. Raimondo (doubtful)
Sassuolo
- I. Koné (out)
- E. Pieragnolo (out)
- S. Walukiewicz (out)
- Fali Candé (out)
- D. Boloca (out)
- Y. Paz (out)
Most regular starters
Frosinone
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Oyono3/4
- A. Raimondo3/4
- G. Bracaglia3/4
- G. Calo3/4
- G. Calvani3/4
- G. Kvernadze3/4
- L. Palmisani3/4
- P. Masini3/4
- R. Schmid3/4
- F. Ghedjemis2/4
- G. Cittadini2/4
Sassuolo
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- F. Leysen5/5
- S. Cinquegrano5/5
- A. Lauriente4/5
- A. Muric4/5
- J. Doig4/5
- N. Matic4/5
- C. Volpato3/5
- J. Idzes3/5
- K. Bowie3/5
- K. Thorstvedt3/5
- L. Lipani3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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- Venezia – NapoliOct 17, 2026
- Bologna – InterOct 17, 2026
- AS Roma – GenoaOct 17, 2026
- Udinese – LecceOct 18, 2026
- Fiorentina – ComoOct 18, 2026
- AC Milan – AtalantaOct 18, 2026
- Juventus – LazioOct 18, 2026
- Monza – CagliariOct 19, 2026
- Parma – TorinoOct 19, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Frosinone vs Sassuolo prediction?
Our AI gives Frosinone a 73% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Sassuolo 12%. Frosinone are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
2-1 (8.8%), followed by 2-0 (8.2%), 3-1 (8.1%), 3-0 (7.5%) and 1-1 (6.4%).
Will both teams score in Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
The probability that both Frosinone and Sassuolo score is 62%. Frosinone have a 34% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Sassuolo 6%.
How many goals should we expect in Frosinone vs Sassuolo?
The model expects 3.84 goals (2.76 for Frosinone, 1.08 for Sassuolo). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 90%, over 2.5 goals 74%, over 3.5 goals 54%.
When and where is Frosinone vs Sassuolo played?
Friday, October 16, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 7. Venue: Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone.
What form are Frosinone and Sassuolo in?
Frosinone: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded). Sassuolo: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Frosinone and Sassuolo?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Frosinone, 2 for Sassuolo and 1 draw. The most recent ended Sassuolo 0-1 Frosinone (May 13, 2025).
How is the Frosinone vs Sassuolo prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.76 for Frosinone, 1.08 for Sassuolo) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Frosinone predictions
- All Sassuolo predictions
- Serie A predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology