Serie A· Kick-off : Sunday, October 18, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Juventus vs Lazio prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Serie A, matchday 7: Juventus vs Lazio kicks off on Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). Venue: Allianz Stadium, Turin. The edge goes to Lazio (50%), ahead of the draw (23%) and a Juventus win (27%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (10.4%), ahead of 1-2 (9.5%) and 0-1 (7.9%).
Over their last 5 matches, Juventus have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Lazio are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 11 and conceding 6. Recent momentum is clearly with Lazio. On average Juventus score 2.00 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Lazio score 2.20 and concede 1.20. In the table, Juventus sit 7th with 10 points from 5 games, Lazio 3rd with 13 points from 5. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Juventus have averaged 1.33 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.81 for Lazio.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Juventus, 1 for Lazio and 1 draw. The most recent ended Juventus 2-2 Lazio (Feb 8, 2026). Juventus out or doubtful: K. Yıldız, J. Cabal, J. Boga, K. Thuram, M. Locatelli, J. Ekhator and K. Grabara. Lazio: L. Pellegrini, Patric and A. Furlanetto. In double chance terms, "Juventus or draw" stands at 50%, "Lazio or draw" at 73% and "no draw" at 77%.
In short : Lazio are favourites for this Juventus v Lazio, with a 50% win probability from our model. In the table, Juventus (7th, 10 pts) host Lazio (3rd, 13 pts). One to watch: Juventus will be without K. Yıldız and J. Cabal.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Juventus – Lazio. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (10.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 42% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Juventus 1-1 Lazio | 10.4% |
| Juventus 1-2 Lazio | 9.5% |
| Juventus 0-1 Lazio | 7.9% |
| Juventus 0-2 Lazio | 7.2% |
| Juventus 2-1 Lazio | 6.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.14 goals in total (1.31 for Juventus, 1.83 for Lazio): over 2.5 goals has a 61% probability and both teams to score 61%. Everything points to an open game. Juventus keep a clean sheet in 16% of scenarios, Lazio in 27%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Juventus expected goals | 1.31 |
| Lazio expected goals | 1.83 |
| Both teams to score | 61% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 82% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 38% |
| Juventus clean sheet | 16% |
| Lazio clean sheet | 27% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Juventus
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 2, 2026 | Cremonese · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Atalanta · Serie A | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 17, 2026 | NEC Nijmegen · UEFA Europa League | 5-0 | W |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sassuolo · Serie A | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | AC Milan · Serie A | 1-1 | D |
Lazio
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3, 2026 | Juve Stabia · Club Friendlies | 3-3 | D |
| Sep 27, 2026 | Arezzo · Club Friendlies | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Venezia · Serie A | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | AC Milan · Serie A | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Udinese · Serie A | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Juventus | 7 | 10 | 5 |
| Lazio | 3 | 13 | 5 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Juventus 2-2 Lazio | Serie A |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Lazio 1-0 Juventus | Serie A |
Out and doubtful
Juventus
- K. Yıldız (out)
- J. Cabal (out)
- J. Boga (out)
- K. Thuram (out)
- M. Locatelli (out)
- J. Ekhator (out)
- K. Grabara (out)
Lazio
- L. Pellegrini (out)
- Patric (out)
- A. Furlanetto (out)
Most regular starters
Juventus
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- Douglas Luiz4/4
- P. Kalulu3/4
- Bremer2/4
- F. Conceicao2/4
- G. Vicario2/4
- J. Lucumi2/4
- K. Alajbegovic2/4
- N. Gonzalez2/4
- R. Kolo Muani2/4
- Z. Celik2/4
- F. Gatti1/4
Lazio
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- M. Zaccagni5/5
- R. Belahyane5/5
- R. Floriani5/5
- T. Noslin4/5
- A. Pinamonti3/5
- C. Mandas3/5
- D. Doekhi3/5
- D. Frattesi3/5
- K. Taylor3/5
- N. Tavares3/5
- O. Provstgaard3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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- Venezia – NapoliOct 17, 2026
- Bologna – InterOct 17, 2026
- AS Roma – GenoaOct 17, 2026
- Udinese – LecceOct 18, 2026
- Fiorentina – ComoOct 18, 2026
- AC Milan – AtalantaOct 18, 2026
- Monza – CagliariOct 19, 2026
- Parma – TorinoOct 19, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Juventus vs Lazio prediction?
Our AI gives Juventus a 27% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Lazio 50%. Lazio are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Juventus vs Lazio?
1-1 (10.4%), followed by 1-2 (9.5%), 0-1 (7.9%), 0-2 (7.2%) and 2-1 (6.8%).
Will both teams score in Juventus vs Lazio?
The probability that both Juventus and Lazio score is 61%. Juventus have a 16% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Lazio 27%.
How many goals should we expect in Juventus vs Lazio?
The model expects 3.14 goals (1.31 for Juventus, 1.83 for Lazio). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 82%, over 2.5 goals 61%, over 3.5 goals 38%.
When and where is Juventus vs Lazio played?
Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 7. Venue: Allianz Stadium, Turin.
What form are Juventus and Lazio in?
Juventus: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 5 conceded). Lazio: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Juventus and Lazio?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Juventus, 1 for Lazio and 1 draw. The most recent ended Juventus 2-2 Lazio (Feb 8, 2026).
How is the Juventus vs Lazio prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.31 for Juventus, 1.83 for Lazio) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.