Serie A· Kick-off : Sunday, October 18, 2026, 11:30 (UK time)
Udinese vs Lecce prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Udinese take on Lecce on Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 11:30 (UK time), a Serie A, matchday 7 fixture. Venue: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udine. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Udinese 36%, Lecce 36% and the draw 28%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (13.1%), ahead of 1-0 (11.1%) and 0-1 (11.1%).
Udinese have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 7 and conceding 10. Over their last 5 matches, Lecce have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 10. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Udinese score 1.40 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Lecce score 1.00 and concede 2.00. In the table, Udinese sit 13th with 4 points from 5 games, Lecce 12th with 6 points from 5. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Udinese have averaged 1.30 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.05 for Lecce.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for Udinese, 1 for Lecce and 0 draws. The most recent ended Lecce 2-1 Udinese (Feb 8, 2026). Udinese out or doubtful: J. Arizala and M. Palma. In double chance terms, "Udinese or draw" stands at 64%, "Lecce or draw" at 64% and "no draw" at 72%.
In short : An evenly-matched game between Udinese and Lecce: our model sees no clear favourite. In the table, Udinese (13th, 4 pts) host Lecce (12th, 6 pts). The model leans towards a tight, low-scoring game.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Udinese – Lecce. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 52% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Udinese 1-1 Lecce | 13.1% |
| Udinese 1-0 Lecce | 11.1% |
| Udinese 0-1 Lecce | 11.1% |
| Udinese 0-0 Lecce | 9.4% |
| Udinese 2-1 Lecce | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.36 goals in total (1.18 for Udinese, 1.18 for Lecce): over 2.5 goals has a 42% probability and both teams to score 48%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Udinese keep a clean sheet in 31% of scenarios, Lecce in 31%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Udinese expected goals | 1.18 |
| Lecce expected goals | 1.18 |
| Both teams to score | 48% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 68% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 42% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 21% |
| Udinese clean sheet | 31% |
| Lecce clean sheet | 31% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Udinese
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Pogon Szczecin · Club Friendlies | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cagliari · Serie A | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Inter · Serie A | 3-5 | L |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Lazio · Serie A | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Venezia · Coppa Italia | 2-1 | W |
Lecce
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | AC Milan · Serie A | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Monza · Serie A | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Cagliari · Serie A | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 31, 2026 | AS Roma · Serie A | 0-4 | L |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Venezia · Serie A | 2-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Udinese | 13 | 4 | 5 |
| Lecce | 12 | 6 | 5 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 8, 2026 | Lecce 2-1 Udinese | Serie A |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Udinese 3-2 Lecce | Serie A |
| Feb 21, 2025 | Lecce 0-1 Udinese | Serie A |
| Oct 5, 2024 | Udinese 1-0 Lecce | Serie A |
| May 13, 2024 | Lecce 0-2 Udinese | Serie A |
Out and doubtful
Udinese
- J. Arizala (out)
- M. Palma (out)
Lecce
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Udinese
Starts over the last 4 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Karlstrom4/4
- K. Davis4/4
- M. Vojvoda4/4
- C. Kabasele3/4
- E. Ebosse3/4
- H. Kamara3/4
- J. Abankwah3/4
- J. Ekkelenkamp3/4
- L. Miller3/4
- M. Okoye3/4
- U. Gomez3/4
Lecce
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Veiga5/5
- L. Coulibaly5/5
- W. Falcone5/5
- A. Gallo4/5
- J. Siebert4/5
- K. Gaspar4/5
- S. Pierotti4/5
- I. Ilic3/5
- J. Monteiro3/5
- N. Stulic3/5
- O. Ngom3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Frosinone – SassuoloOct 16, 2026
- Venezia – NapoliOct 17, 2026
- Bologna – InterOct 17, 2026
- AS Roma – GenoaOct 17, 2026
- Fiorentina – ComoOct 18, 2026
- AC Milan – AtalantaOct 18, 2026
- Juventus – LazioOct 18, 2026
- Monza – CagliariOct 19, 2026
- Parma – TorinoOct 19, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Udinese vs Lecce prediction?
Our AI gives Udinese a 36% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Lecce 36%. Udinese are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Udinese vs Lecce?
1-1 (13.1%), followed by 1-0 (11.1%), 0-1 (11.1%), 0-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in Udinese vs Lecce?
The probability that both Udinese and Lecce score is 48%. Udinese have a 31% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Lecce 31%.
How many goals should we expect in Udinese vs Lecce?
The model expects 2.36 goals (1.18 for Udinese, 1.18 for Lecce). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 68%, over 2.5 goals 42%, over 3.5 goals 21%.
When and where is Udinese vs Lecce played?
Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 11:30 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 7. Venue: Bluenergy Stadium - Stadio Friuli, Udine.
What form are Udinese and Lecce in?
Udinese: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 10 conceded). Lecce: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 10 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Udinese and Lecce?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for Udinese, 1 for Lecce and 0 draws. The most recent ended Lecce 2-1 Udinese (Feb 8, 2026).
How is the Udinese vs Lecce prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.18 for Udinese, 1.18 for Lecce) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.