Serie A· Kick-off : Saturday, September 19, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Bologna vs Torino: 1-1 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Bologna 1-1 Torino. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Bologna (50%), while a draw was rated at only 27%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (12.8%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (40%): correct.
Match analysis
Bologna and Torino met on Saturday, September 19, 2026, a Serie A, matchday 5 fixture. Venue: Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna. Before kick-off, our model gave Bologna a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Torino 23%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (14.0%), followed by 1-1 (12.8%) and 0-0 (10.2%).
Bologna have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 6. Torino have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 8. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Bologna score 0.40 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Torino score 0.80 and concede 1.60. In the table, Bologna sit 17th with 1 points from 4 games, Torino 15th with 3 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Bologna have averaged 1.25 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.00 for Torino.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Bologna, 0 for Torino and 1 draw. The most recent ended Torino 1-2 Bologna (Feb 15, 2026). Bologna out or doubtful: A. Dovbyk. Torino: C. Adams, C. Casadei, F. Israel and P. Pellegri. In double chance terms, "Bologna or draw" stands at 77%, "Torino or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 73%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Bologna – Torino. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (14.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 56% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Bologna 1-0 Torino | 14.0% |
| Bologna 1-1 Torino | 12.8% |
| Bologna 0-0 Torino | 10.2% |
| Bologna 2-0 Torino | 9.6% |
| Bologna 0-1 Torino | 9.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.37 expected goals for Bologna and 0.91 for Torino, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 40% and "both teams to score" at 45%. Few goals are expected here. Bologna keep a clean sheet in 40% of scenarios, Torino in 25%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Bologna expected goals | 1.37 |
| Torino expected goals | 0.91 |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 67% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 40% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 20% |
| Bologna clean sheet | 40% |
| Torino clean sheet | 25% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Bologna
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Napoli · Serie A | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Sassuolo · Serie A | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Atalanta · Serie A | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Lazio · Serie A | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Brighton · Club Friendlies | 0-1 | L |
Torino
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | AS Roma · Serie A | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Fiorentina · Serie A | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Monza · Coppa Italia | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Sassuolo · Serie A | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 23, 2026 | AC Milan · Serie A | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bologna | 17 | 1 | 4 |
| Torino | 15 | 3 | 4 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 15, 2026 | Torino 1-2 Bologna | Serie A |
| Oct 29, 2025 | Bologna 0-0 Torino | Serie A |
Out and doubtful
Bologna
- A. Dovbyk (out)
Torino
- C. Adams (out)
- C. Casadei (out)
- F. Israel (out)
- P. Pellegri (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Monza 2-1 SassuoloSep 18, 2026
- Udinese 0-1 CagliariSep 19, 2026
- AS Roma 2-2 InterSep 19, 2026
- Venezia 0-2 LazioSep 19, 2026
- Fiorentina 1-1 NapoliSep 20, 2026
- Parma 2-1 GenoaSep 20, 2026
- Frosinone 2-0 ComoSep 20, 2026
- Juventus 2-0 AtalantaSep 20, 2026
- AC Milan 3-0 LecceSep 20, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Bologna vs Torino prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Bologna a 50% chance of winning, the draw 27% and Torino 23%. Bologna are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-1.
What is the most likely correct score for Bologna vs Torino?
1-0 (14.0%), followed by 1-1 (12.8%), 0-0 (10.2%), 2-0 (9.6%) and 0-1 (9.3%).
Will both teams score in Bologna vs Torino?
The probability that both Bologna and Torino score is 45%. Bologna have a 40% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Torino 25%.
How many goals should we expect in Bologna vs Torino?
The model expects 2.28 goals (1.37 for Bologna, 0.91 for Torino). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 67%, over 2.5 goals 40%, over 3.5 goals 20%.
When and where is Bologna vs Torino played?
Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 5. Venue: Renato Dall'Ara, Bologna.
What form are Bologna and Torino in?
Bologna: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 6 conceded). Torino: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Bologna and Torino?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Bologna, 0 for Torino and 1 draw. The most recent ended Torino 1-2 Bologna (Feb 15, 2026).
What was the Bologna vs Torino result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Bologna 1-1 Torino. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Bologna (50%), while a draw was rated at only 27%. The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (12.8%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (40%): correct.
How is the Bologna vs Torino prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.37 for Bologna, 0.91 for Torino) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.