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Serie ASerie A· Kick-off : Sunday, September 20, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)

Juventus vs Atalanta: 2-0 result and AI prediction review

JuventusJuventus2 – 0AtalantaAtalanta

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-0

Final score: Juventus 2-0 Atalanta. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Juventus was the model's favourite outcome (67%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (13.3%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (44%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

Match analysis

Juventus vs Atalanta was played on Sunday, September 20, 2026 (Serie A, matchday 5). Venue: Allianz Stadium, Turin. Before kick-off, our model gave Juventus a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Atalanta 13%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (13.5%), ahead of 2-0 (13.3%) and 1-1 (9.6%).

Over their last 5 matches, Juventus have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 11 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Atalanta have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Juventus score 2.20 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Atalanta score 1.20 and concede 1.00. In the table, Juventus sit 8th with 7 points from 4 games, Atalanta 11th with 6 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Juventus have averaged 1.61 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.87 for Atalanta.

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Juventus, 1 for Atalanta and 1 draw. The most recent ended Atalanta 0-1 Juventus (Apr 11, 2026). Juventus out or doubtful: J. Boga, J. Cabal, A. Cambiaso, A. Durmisi and J. Ekhator. Atalanta: I. Hien and K. Sulemana. In double chance terms, "Juventus or draw" stands at 87%, "Atalanta or draw" at 33% and "no draw" at 80%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

67%
Juventus (Win)
20%
Draw
13%
Atalanta (Win)

Double chance

87%
Juventus or draw
33%
Atalanta or draw
80%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Juventus – Atalanta. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 54% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Juventus 1-0 Atalanta13.5%
Juventus 2-0 Atalanta13.3%
Juventus 1-1 Atalanta9.6%
Juventus 2-1 Atalanta9.4%
Juventus 3-0 Atalanta8.7%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

The model expects 2.68 goals in total (1.97 for Juventus, 0.71 for Atalanta): over 2.5 goals has a 50% probability and both teams to score 44%. Juventus keep a clean sheet in 49% of scenarios, Atalanta in 14%.

Probability
Juventus expected goals1.97
Atalanta expected goals0.71
Both teams to score44%
Over 1.5 goals75%
Over 2.5 goals50%
Over 3.5 goals28%
Juventus clean sheet49%
Atalanta clean sheet14%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Juventus

DateOpponentScore
Sep 17, 2026NEC Nijmegen · UEFA Europa League5-0W
Sep 13, 2026Sassuolo · Serie A2-3L
Sep 6, 2026AC Milan · Serie A1-1D
Aug 29, 2026Parma · Serie A2-0W
Aug 23, 2026Frosinone · Serie A1-0W

Atalanta

DateOpponentScore
Sep 12, 2026Cagliari · Serie A1-2L
Sep 5, 2026AS Roma · Serie A1-2L
Aug 31, 2026Bologna · Serie A1-0W
Aug 27, 2026Hapoel Tel Aviv · UEFA Conference League1-0W
Aug 23, 2026Sassuolo · Serie A2-1W

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Juventus874
Atalanta1164

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 11, 2026Atalanta 0-1 JuventusSerie A
Feb 5, 2026Atalanta 3-0 JuventusCoppa Italia
Sep 27, 2025Juventus 1-1 AtalantaSerie A

Out and doubtful

Juventus

  • J. Boga (out)
  • J. Cabal (out)
  • A. Cambiaso (out)
  • A. Durmisi (out)
  • J. Ekhator (out)

Atalanta

  • I. Hien (out)
  • K. Sulemana (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Juventus vs Atalanta prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Juventus a 67% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Atalanta 13%. Juventus are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-0.

What is the most likely correct score for Juventus vs Atalanta?

1-0 (13.5%), followed by 2-0 (13.3%), 1-1 (9.6%), 2-1 (9.4%) and 3-0 (8.7%).

Will both teams score in Juventus vs Atalanta?

The probability that both Juventus and Atalanta score is 44%. Juventus have a 49% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Atalanta 14%.

How many goals should we expect in Juventus vs Atalanta?

The model expects 2.68 goals (1.97 for Juventus, 0.71 for Atalanta). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 75%, over 2.5 goals 50%, over 3.5 goals 28%.

When and where is Juventus vs Atalanta played?

Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 5. Venue: Allianz Stadium, Turin.

What form are Juventus and Atalanta in?

Juventus: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (11 scored, 4 conceded). Atalanta: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 5 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Juventus and Atalanta?

In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Juventus, 1 for Atalanta and 1 draw. The most recent ended Atalanta 0-1 Juventus (Apr 11, 2026).

What was the Juventus vs Atalanta result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Juventus 2-0 Atalanta. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Juventus was the model's favourite outcome (67%). The final score ranked 2nd among the most likely scorelines (13.3%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (44%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (50%): missed.

How is the Juventus vs Atalanta prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.97 for Juventus, 0.71 for Atalanta) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained