Serie A· Kick-off : Sunday, September 20, 2026, 14:00 (UK time)
Frosinone vs Como: 2-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Frosinone 2-0 Como. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Como (66%), while victory for Frosinone was rated at only 14%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (61%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (63%): missed.
Match analysis
Frosinone and Como met on Sunday, September 20, 2026, a Serie A, matchday 5 fixture. Venue: Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone. Before kick-off, our model gave Frosinone a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Como 66%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (9.7%), followed by 1-2 (9.7%) and 0-1 (7.9%).
Over their last 5 matches, Frosinone have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 5. Como are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 13 and conceding 5. Como therefore arrive in far better shape than Frosinone. On average Frosinone score 1.60 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Como score 2.60 and concede 1.00. In the table, Frosinone sit 7th with 7 points from 4 games, Como 5th with 10 points from 4. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Frosinone have averaged 1.34 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.83 for Como.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for Frosinone, 1 for Como and 0 draws. Frosinone out or doubtful: F. Grillitsch. Como: J. Addai. In double chance terms, "Frosinone or draw" stands at 34%, "Como or draw" at 86% and "no draw" at 80%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Frosinone – Como. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (9.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 42% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Frosinone 1-1 Como | 9.7% |
| Frosinone 1-2 Como | 9.7% |
| Frosinone 0-1 Como | 7.9% |
| Frosinone 0-2 Como | 7.9% |
| Frosinone 1-3 Como | 6.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.23 expected goals for Frosinone and 2.00 for Como, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 63% and "both teams to score" at 61%. Goals look likely in this one. Frosinone keep a clean sheet in 14% of scenarios, Como in 29%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Frosinone expected goals | 1.23 |
| Como expected goals | 2.00 |
| Both teams to score | 61% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 63% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 40% |
| Frosinone clean sheet | 14% |
| Como clean sheet | 29% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Frosinone
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Genoa · Serie A | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Venezia · Serie A | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Sassuolo · Coppa Italia | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Fiorentina · Serie A | 3-0 | W |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Juventus · Serie A | 0-1 | L |
Como
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | Parma · Serie A | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 10, 2026 | RB Leipzig · UEFA Champions League | 4-1 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Genoa · Serie A | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Napoli · Serie A | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Udinese · Serie A | 1-1 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Frosinone | 7 | 7 | 4 |
| Como | 5 | 10 | 4 |
Head-to-head
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for Frosinone, 1 for Como and 0 draws.
Out and doubtful
Frosinone
- F. Grillitsch (out)
Como
- J. Addai (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Monza 2-1 SassuoloSep 18, 2026
- Udinese 0-1 CagliariSep 19, 2026
- Bologna 1-1 TorinoSep 19, 2026
- AS Roma 2-2 InterSep 19, 2026
- Venezia 0-2 LazioSep 19, 2026
- Fiorentina 1-1 NapoliSep 20, 2026
- Parma 2-1 GenoaSep 20, 2026
- Juventus 2-0 AtalantaSep 20, 2026
- AC Milan 3-0 LecceSep 20, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Frosinone vs Como prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Frosinone a 14% chance of winning, the draw 20% and Como 66%. Como are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Frosinone vs Como?
1-1 (9.7%), followed by 1-2 (9.7%), 0-1 (7.9%), 0-2 (7.9%) and 1-3 (6.5%).
Will both teams score in Frosinone vs Como?
The probability that both Frosinone and Como score is 61%. Frosinone have a 14% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Como 29%.
How many goals should we expect in Frosinone vs Como?
The model expects 3.23 goals (1.23 for Frosinone, 2.00 for Como). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 83%, over 2.5 goals 63%, over 3.5 goals 40%.
When and where is Frosinone vs Como played?
Sunday, September 20, 2026 at 14:00 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 5. Venue: Stadio Benito Stirpe, Frosinone.
What form are Frosinone and Como in?
Frosinone: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 5 conceded). Como: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Frosinone and Como?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for Frosinone, 1 for Como and 0 draws.
What was the Frosinone vs Como result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Frosinone 2-0 Como. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Como (66%), while victory for Frosinone was rated at only 14%. The model considered this score unlikely (3.0%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (61%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (63%): missed.
How is the Frosinone vs Como prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.23 for Frosinone, 2.00 for Como) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.