Serie A· Kick-off : Saturday, September 19, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Venezia vs Lazio: 0-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Venezia 0-2 Lazio. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Lazio at 77%. The exact score 0-2 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (11.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (67%): missed.
Match analysis
Venezia and Lazio met on Saturday, September 19, 2026, a Serie A, matchday 5 fixture. Venue: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice. Before kick-off, our model gave Venezia a 9% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Lazio 77%. On the correct score, 0-2 comes out on top (11.3%), followed by 0-3 (9.9%) and 1-2 (8.9%).
Venezia have not won any of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 5 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 13. Over their last 5 matches, Lazio have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 5. Lazio therefore arrive in far better shape than Venezia. On average Venezia score 1.00 and concede 2.60 goals per game; Lazio score 1.20 and concede 1.00. In the table, Venezia sit 20th with 0 points from 4 games, Lazio 4th with 10 points from 4. 16 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Venezia have averaged 1.38 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.52 for Lazio.
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Venezia, 3 for Lazio and 1 draw. Venezia out or doubtful: A. Adorante, T. Basic, A. Bella-Kotchap, G. Busio and M. Dagasso. Lazio: A. Furlanetto, Patric, L. Pellegrini, N. Rovella and F. Dele-Bashiru. In double chance terms, "Venezia or draw" stands at 23%, "Lazio or draw" at 91% and "no draw" at 86%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Venezia – Lazio. 0-2 is the single most likely scoreline (11.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 47% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Venezia 0-2 Lazio | 11.3% |
| Venezia 0-3 Lazio | 9.9% |
| Venezia 1-2 Lazio | 8.9% |
| Venezia 0-1 Lazio | 8.5% |
| Venezia 1-3 Lazio | 7.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 0.79 expected goals for Venezia and 2.65 for Lazio, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 67% and "both teams to score" at 51%. Goals look likely in this one. Venezia keep a clean sheet in 7% of scenarios, Lazio in 45%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Venezia expected goals | 0.79 |
| Lazio expected goals | 2.65 |
| Both teams to score | 51% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 86% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 67% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 45% |
| Venezia clean sheet | 7% |
| Lazio clean sheet | 45% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Venezia
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 11, 2026 | Fiorentina · Serie A | 2-4 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Frosinone · Serie A | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Udinese · Coppa Italia | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 28, 2026 | AC Milan · Serie A | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Lecce · Serie A | 0-2 | L |
Lazio
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | AC Milan · Serie A | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Udinese · Serie A | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Genoa · Serie A | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Bologna · Serie A | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Mantova · Coppa Italia | 0-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Venezia | 20 | 0 | 4 |
| Lazio | 4 | 10 | 4 |
Head-to-head
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Venezia, 3 for Lazio and 1 draw.
Out and doubtful
Venezia
- A. Adorante (out)
- T. Basic (out)
- A. Bella-Kotchap (out)
- G. Busio (out)
- M. Dagasso (out)
Lazio
- A. Furlanetto (out)
- Patric (out)
- L. Pellegrini (out)
- N. Rovella (out)
- F. Dele-Bashiru (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Monza 2-1 SassuoloSep 18, 2026
- Udinese 0-1 CagliariSep 19, 2026
- Bologna 1-1 TorinoSep 19, 2026
- AS Roma 2-2 InterSep 19, 2026
- Fiorentina 1-1 NapoliSep 20, 2026
- Parma 2-1 GenoaSep 20, 2026
- Frosinone 2-0 ComoSep 20, 2026
- Juventus 2-0 AtalantaSep 20, 2026
- AC Milan 3-0 LecceSep 20, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Venezia vs Lazio prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Venezia a 9% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Lazio 77%. Lazio are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Venezia vs Lazio?
0-2 (11.3%), followed by 0-3 (9.9%), 1-2 (8.9%), 0-1 (8.5%) and 1-3 (7.9%).
Will both teams score in Venezia vs Lazio?
The probability that both Venezia and Lazio score is 51%. Venezia have a 7% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Lazio 45%.
How many goals should we expect in Venezia vs Lazio?
The model expects 3.44 goals (0.79 for Venezia, 2.65 for Lazio). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 86%, over 2.5 goals 67%, over 3.5 goals 45%.
When and where is Venezia vs Lazio played?
Saturday, September 19, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 5. Venue: Stadio Pierluigi Penzo, Venice.
What form are Venezia and Lazio in?
Venezia: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 13 conceded). Lazio: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Venezia and Lazio?
In the last 4 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Venezia, 3 for Lazio and 1 draw.
What was the Venezia vs Lazio result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Venezia 0-2 Lazio. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Lazio at 77%. The exact score 0-2 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (11.3%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (51%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (67%): missed.
How is the Venezia vs Lazio prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.79 for Venezia, 2.65 for Lazio) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.