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Serie ASerie A· Kick-off : Sunday, September 13, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)

Sassuolo vs Juventus: 3-2 result and AI prediction review

SassuoloSassuolo3 – 2JuventusJuventus

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome missedExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-2

Final score: Sassuolo 3-2 Juventus. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Juventus (48%), while victory for Sassuolo was rated at only 31%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (4.1%), behind 1-2. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (72%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (74%): correct.

Match analysis

Sassuolo and Juventus met on Sunday, September 13, 2026, a Serie A, matchday 4 fixture. Venue: Mapei Stadium, Reggio Emilia. Before kick-off, our model gave Sassuolo a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Juventus 48%. On the correct score, 1-2 comes out on top (8.3%), followed by 1-1 (7.8%) and 2-2 (7.1%).

Over their last 5 matches, Sassuolo have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Juventus have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 3. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Sassuolo score 1.80 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Juventus score 1.40 and concede 0.60. In the table, Sassuolo sit 10th with 4 points from 3 games, Juventus 7th with 7 points from 3. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Sassuolo have averaged 2.06 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.78 for Juventus.

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Sassuolo, 1 for Juventus and 1 draw. The most recent ended Juventus 1-1 Sassuolo (Mar 21, 2026). Sassuolo out or doubtful: D. Boloca, F. Cande, I. Kone, Y. Paz and E. Pieragnolo. Juventus: J. Boga, J. Cabal, J. Ekhator, M. Locatelli and A. Milik. In double chance terms, "Sassuolo or draw" stands at 52%, "Juventus or draw" at 69% and "no draw" at 79%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

31%
Sassuolo (Win)
21%
Draw
48%
Juventus (Win)

Double chance

52%
Sassuolo or draw
69%
Juventus or draw
79%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as Sassuolo – Juventus. 1-2 is the single most likely scoreline (8.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 36% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
Sassuolo 1-2 Juventus8.3%
Sassuolo 1-1 Juventus7.8%
Sassuolo 2-2 Juventus7.1%
Sassuolo 2-1 Juventus6.7%
Sassuolo 1-3 Juventus5.9%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.71 expected goals for Sassuolo and 2.14 for Juventus, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 74% and "both teams to score" at 72%. Goals look likely in this one. Sassuolo keep a clean sheet in 12% of scenarios, Juventus in 18%.

Probability
Sassuolo expected goals1.71
Juventus expected goals2.14
Both teams to score72%
Over 1.5 goals90%
Over 2.5 goals74%
Over 3.5 goals54%
Sassuolo clean sheet12%
Juventus clean sheet18%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

Sassuolo

DateOpponentScore
Sep 6, 2026Bologna · Serie A2-2D
Sep 2, 2026Frosinone · Coppa Italia1-1D
Aug 29, 2026Torino · Serie A2-1W
Aug 23, 2026Atalanta · Serie A1-2L
Aug 17, 2026Cesena · Coppa Italia3-0W

Juventus

DateOpponentScore
Sep 6, 2026AC Milan · Serie A1-1D
Aug 29, 2026Parma · Serie A2-0W
Aug 23, 2026Frosinone · Serie A1-0W
Aug 11, 2026Palermo · Club Friendlies2-0W
Aug 8, 2026Inter · Club Friendlies1-2L

Standings before the match

Pos.PointsPlayed
Sassuolo1043
Juventus773

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Juventus 1-1 SassuoloSerie A
Jan 6, 2026Sassuolo 0-3 JuventusSerie A

Out and doubtful

Sassuolo

  • D. Boloca (out)
  • F. Cande (out)
  • I. Kone (out)
  • Y. Paz (out)
  • E. Pieragnolo (out)

Juventus

  • J. Boga (out)
  • J. Cabal (out)
  • J. Ekhator (out)
  • M. Locatelli (out)
  • A. Milik (out)

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the Sassuolo vs Juventus prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave Sassuolo a 31% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Juventus 48%. Juventus are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-2.

What is the most likely correct score for Sassuolo vs Juventus?

1-2 (8.3%), followed by 1-1 (7.8%), 2-2 (7.1%), 2-1 (6.7%) and 1-3 (5.9%).

Will both teams score in Sassuolo vs Juventus?

The probability that both Sassuolo and Juventus score is 72%. Sassuolo have a 12% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Juventus 18%.

How many goals should we expect in Sassuolo vs Juventus?

The model expects 3.85 goals (1.71 for Sassuolo, 2.14 for Juventus). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 90%, over 2.5 goals 74%, over 3.5 goals 54%.

When and where is Sassuolo vs Juventus played?

Sunday, September 13, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 4. Venue: Mapei Stadium, Reggio Emilia.

What form are Sassuolo and Juventus in?

Sassuolo: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 6 conceded). Juventus: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 3 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between Sassuolo and Juventus?

In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Sassuolo, 1 for Juventus and 1 draw. The most recent ended Juventus 1-1 Sassuolo (Mar 21, 2026).

What was the Sassuolo vs Juventus result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: Sassuolo 3-2 Juventus. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Juventus (48%), while victory for Sassuolo was rated at only 31%. The final score ranked 9th among the most likely scorelines (4.1%), behind 1-2. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (72%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (74%): correct.

How is the Sassuolo vs Juventus prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.71 for Sassuolo, 2.14 for Juventus) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained