Serie A· Kick-off : Monday, September 14, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Inter vs Udinese: 5-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Inter 5-3 Udinese. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Inter was the model's favourite outcome (78%). The model considered this score unlikely (0.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (57%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (86%): correct.
Match analysis
Inter vs Udinese was played on Monday, September 14, 2026 (Serie A, matchday 4). Venue: San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milano. Before kick-off, our model gave Inter a 78% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Udinese 7%. The most likely correct score is 3-0 (8.3%), ahead of 4-0 (8.2%) and 3-1 (7.2%).
Over their last 5 matches, Inter have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Udinese have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Inter score 2.00 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Udinese score 1.60 and concede 1.20. In the table, Inter sit 3rd with 9 points from 3 games, Udinese 13th with 4 points from 3. 10 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Inter have averaged 2.60 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.32 for Udinese.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Inter, 1 for Udinese and 0 draws. The most recent ended Udinese 0-1 Inter (Jan 17, 2026). Inter out or doubtful: F. Dimarco and D. Spence. Udinese: J. Arizala, M. Palma, J. Piotrowski, O. Solet and N. Zaniolo. In double chance terms, "Inter or draw" stands at 93%, "Udinese or draw" at 22% and "no draw" at 85%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Inter – Udinese. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (8.3%); the 5 scores below add up to 37% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Inter 3-0 Udinese | 8.3% |
| Inter 4-0 Udinese | 8.2% |
| Inter 3-1 Udinese | 7.2% |
| Inter 4-1 Udinese | 7.1% |
| Inter 5-0 Udinese | 6.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 4.83 goals in total (3.96 for Inter, 0.87 for Udinese): over 2.5 goals has a 86% probability and both teams to score 57%. Everything points to an open game. Inter keep a clean sheet in 42% of scenarios, Udinese in 2%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Inter expected goals | 3.96 |
| Udinese expected goals | 0.87 |
| Both teams to score | 57% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 95% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 86% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 71% |
| Inter clean sheet | 42% |
| Udinese clean sheet | 2% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Inter
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8, 2026 | Real Madrid · UEFA Champions League | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Napoli · Serie A | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Cagliari · Serie A | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Monza · Serie A | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Real Betis · Club Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
Udinese
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 7, 2026 | Lazio · Serie A | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Venezia · Coppa Italia | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Monza · Serie A | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Como · Serie A | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Padova · Coppa Italia | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Inter | 3 | 9 | 3 |
| Udinese | 13 | 4 | 3 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2026 | Udinese 0-1 Inter | Serie A |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Inter 1-2 Udinese | Serie A |
Out and doubtful
Inter
- F. Dimarco (out)
- D. Spence (out)
Udinese
- J. Arizala (out)
- M. Palma (out)
- J. Piotrowski (out)
- O. Solet (out)
- N. Zaniolo (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Venezia 2-4 FiorentinaSep 11, 2026
- Genoa 1-1 FrosinoneSep 12, 2026
- Lazio 2-2 AC MilanSep 12, 2026
- Atalanta 1-2 CagliariSep 12, 2026
- Lecce 3-2 MonzaSep 13, 2026
- Napoli 1-0 BolognaSep 13, 2026
- Sassuolo 3-2 JuventusSep 13, 2026
- Torino 0-2 AS RomaSep 14, 2026
- Como 2-1 ParmaSep 14, 2026
- Monza 2-1 SassuoloSep 18, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Inter vs Udinese prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Inter a 78% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Udinese 7%. Inter are therefore favourites. Final score: 5-3.
What is the most likely correct score for Inter vs Udinese?
3-0 (8.3%), followed by 4-0 (8.2%), 3-1 (7.2%), 4-1 (7.1%) and 5-0 (6.5%).
Will both teams score in Inter vs Udinese?
The probability that both Inter and Udinese score is 57%. Inter have a 42% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Udinese 2%.
How many goals should we expect in Inter vs Udinese?
The model expects 4.83 goals (3.96 for Inter, 0.87 for Udinese). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 95%, over 2.5 goals 86%, over 3.5 goals 71%.
When and where is Inter vs Udinese played?
Monday, September 14, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 4. Venue: San Siro/Giuseppe Meazza, Milano.
What form are Inter and Udinese in?
Inter: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 5 conceded). Udinese: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Inter and Udinese?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Inter, 1 for Udinese and 0 draws. The most recent ended Udinese 0-1 Inter (Jan 17, 2026).
What was the Inter vs Udinese result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Inter 5-3 Udinese. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Inter was the model's favourite outcome (78%). The model considered this score unlikely (0.7%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (57%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (86%): correct.
How is the Inter vs Udinese prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (3.96 for Inter, 0.87 for Udinese) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.