Serie A· Kick-off : Monday, September 14, 2026, 17:30 (UK time)
Torino vs AS Roma: 0-2 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Torino 0-2 AS Roma. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for AS Roma was the model's favourite outcome (62%). The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (7.1%), behind 0-3. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (50%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (85%): missed.
Match analysis
Torino vs AS Roma was played on Monday, September 14, 2026 (Serie A, matchday 4). Venue: Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin. Before kick-off, our model gave Torino a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AS Roma 62%. The most likely correct score is 0-3 (9.5%), ahead of 0-4 (9.5%) and 0-5 (7.6%).
Over their last 5 matches, Torino have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 6. AS Roma are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 13 and conceding 4. Recent momentum is clearly with AS Roma. On average Torino score 1.00 and concede 1.20 goals per game; AS Roma score 2.60 and concede 0.80. In the table, Torino sit 14th with 3 points from 3 games, AS Roma 2nd with 9 points from 3. 12 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Torino have averaged 1.04 xG (expected goals) per match, against 3.13 for AS Roma.
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Torino, 1 for AS Roma and 0 draws. The most recent ended Torino 0-2 AS Roma (Jan 18, 2026). Torino out or doubtful: S. Coco, F. Israel, P. Pellegri and C. Casadei. AS Roma: M. Bah and L. Pellegrini. In double chance terms, "Torino or draw" stands at 38%, "AS Roma or draw" at 85% and "no draw" at 77%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Torino – AS Roma. 0-3 is the single most likely scoreline (9.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 41% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Torino 0-3 AS Roma | 9.5% |
| Torino 0-4 AS Roma | 9.5% |
| Torino 0-5 AS Roma | 7.6% |
| Torino 0-2 AS Roma | 7.1% |
| Torino 1-3 AS Roma | 6.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 4.72 goals in total (0.72 for Torino, 4.00 for AS Roma): over 2.5 goals has a 85% probability and both teams to score 50%. Everything points to an open game. Torino keep a clean sheet in 2% of scenarios, AS Roma in 49%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Torino expected goals | 0.72 |
| AS Roma expected goals | 4.00 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 95% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 85% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 69% |
| Torino clean sheet | 2% |
| AS Roma clean sheet | 49% |
Recent form
Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.
Torino
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 2026 | Fiorentina · Serie A | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Monza · Coppa Italia | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Sassuolo · Serie A | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 23, 2026 | AC Milan · Serie A | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Carrarese · Coppa Italia | 1-0 | W |
AS Roma
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 10, 2026 | Fenerbahçe · UEFA Champions League | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Atalanta · Serie A | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Lecce · Serie A | 4-0 | W |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Fiorentina · Serie A | 4-0 | W |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Borussia Dortmund · Club Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Torino | 14 | 3 | 3 |
| AS Roma | 2 | 9 | 3 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 18, 2026 | Torino 0-2 AS Roma | Serie A |
| Jan 13, 2026 | AS Roma 2-3 Torino | Coppa Italia |
| Sep 14, 2025 | AS Roma 0-1 Torino | Serie A |
Out and doubtful
Torino
- S. Coco (out)
- F. Israel (out)
- P. Pellegri (out)
- C. Casadei (out)
AS Roma
- M. Bah (out)
- L. Pellegrini (out)
Other matches in this competition
- Venezia 2-4 FiorentinaSep 11, 2026
- Genoa 1-1 FrosinoneSep 12, 2026
- Lazio 2-2 AC MilanSep 12, 2026
- Atalanta 1-2 CagliariSep 12, 2026
- Lecce 3-2 MonzaSep 13, 2026
- Napoli 1-0 BolognaSep 13, 2026
- Sassuolo 3-2 JuventusSep 13, 2026
- Como 2-1 ParmaSep 14, 2026
- Inter 5-3 UdineseSep 14, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Torino vs AS Roma prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Torino a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AS Roma 62%. AS Roma are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-2.
What is the most likely correct score for Torino vs AS Roma?
0-3 (9.5%), followed by 0-4 (9.5%), 0-5 (7.6%), 0-2 (7.1%) and 1-3 (6.8%).
Will both teams score in Torino vs AS Roma?
The probability that both Torino and AS Roma score is 50%. Torino have a 2% chance of keeping a clean sheet, AS Roma 49%.
How many goals should we expect in Torino vs AS Roma?
The model expects 4.72 goals (0.72 for Torino, 4.00 for AS Roma). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 95%, over 2.5 goals 85%, over 3.5 goals 69%.
When and where is Torino vs AS Roma played?
Monday, September 14, 2026 at 17:30 (UK time), Serie A, matchday 4. Venue: Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino, Turin.
What form are Torino and AS Roma in?
Torino: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded). AS Roma: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 4 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Torino and AS Roma?
In the last 3 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Torino, 1 for AS Roma and 0 draws. The most recent ended Torino 0-2 AS Roma (Jan 18, 2026).
What was the Torino vs AS Roma result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Torino 0-2 AS Roma. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for AS Roma was the model's favourite outcome (62%). The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (7.1%), behind 0-3. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (50%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (85%): missed.
How is the Torino vs AS Roma prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.72 for Torino, 4.00 for AS Roma) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.