Taça de Portugal· Kick-off : Sunday, October 18, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Felgueiras 1932 vs Fafe prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Taça de Portugal: the Felgueiras 1932 vs Fafe match is scheduled on Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time). Venue: Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos, Felgueiras. The edge goes to Felgueiras 1932 (59%), ahead of the draw (23%) and a Fafe win (18%). The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.8%), ahead of 2-0 (10.8%) and 1-1 (10.7%).
Felgueiras 1932 have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Fafe have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 4. Recent momentum is clearly with Fafe. On average Felgueiras 1932 score 1.00 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Fafe score 1.80 and concede 0.80.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Felgueiras 1932 and Fafe: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Felgueiras 1932 or draw" stands at 82%, "Fafe or draw" at 41% and "no draw" at 77%.
In short : Felgueiras 1932 are tipped by our AI model in this Felgueiras 1932 v Fafe (59%). On recent form, Felgueiras 1932 have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5 while Fafe have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Felgueiras 1932 – Fafe. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.8%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Felgueiras 1932 1-0 Fafe | 11.8% |
| Felgueiras 1932 2-0 Fafe | 10.8% |
| Felgueiras 1932 1-1 Fafe | 10.7% |
| Felgueiras 1932 2-1 Fafe | 9.8% |
| Felgueiras 1932 3-0 Fafe | 6.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.75 goals in total (1.84 for Felgueiras 1932, 0.91 for Fafe): over 2.5 goals has a 52% probability and both teams to score 50%. Felgueiras 1932 keep a clean sheet in 40% of scenarios, Fafe in 16%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Felgueiras 1932 expected goals | 1.84 |
| Fafe expected goals | 0.91 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 52% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 30% |
| Felgueiras 1932 clean sheet | 40% |
| Fafe clean sheet | 16% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Felgueiras 1932
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Penafiel · Liga Portugal 2 | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Vizela · Liga Portugal 2 | 0-1 | L |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Chaves · Liga Portugal 2 | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 24, 2026 | Farense · Liga Portugal 2 | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 17, 2026 | AVS · Liga Portugal 2 | 1-1 | D |
Fafe
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Paredes · Liga 3 | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Leça · Liga 3 | 3-0 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Pacos Ferreira · Taça de Portugal | 1-0 | W |
| Aug 21, 2026 | Guimaraes B · Liga 3 | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | São João Ver · Liga 3 | 3-1 | W |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Felgueiras 1932 and Fafe: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Felgueiras 1932
No absences reported.
Fafe
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Felgueiras 1932
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Dudu Cruz5/5
- F. Cruz5/5
- M. Rivas5/5
- Mateus Pasinato5/5
- F. Franca4/5
- Landinho4/5
- Michel Costa4/5
- Ventura4/5
- A. Lopes3/5
- J. Pinto3/5
- T. Leite3/5
Fafe
Starts over the last 3 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Carvalho4/3
- J. Batista3/3
- L. Teixeira3/3
- M. Correia3/3
- O. Ribeiro3/3
- P. Kudakovskiy3/3
- T. Veiga3/3
- Breno2/3
- Mimito2/3
- Sequeira2/3
- Carlos Daniel1/3
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- CF Os Belenenses – AroucaOct 18, 2026
- Alcochetense – MaritimoOct 18, 2026
- Fátima – Academico ViseuOct 18, 2026
- Tondela – AlvercaOct 18, 2026
- Fazendense – EstrelaOct 18, 2026
- Mafra – Santa ClaraOct 18, 2026
- AVS – MoreirenseOct 18, 2026
- Alpendorada – Casa PiaOct 18, 2026
- Salgueiros – EstorilOct 18, 2026
- Lusitânia Lourosa – Os LimianosOct 18, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Felgueiras 1932 vs Fafe prediction?
Our AI gives Felgueiras 1932 a 59% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fafe 18%. Felgueiras 1932 are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Felgueiras 1932 vs Fafe?
1-0 (11.8%), followed by 2-0 (10.8%), 1-1 (10.7%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 3-0 (6.6%).
Will both teams score in Felgueiras 1932 vs Fafe?
The probability that both Felgueiras 1932 and Fafe score is 50%. Felgueiras 1932 have a 40% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Fafe 16%.
How many goals should we expect in Felgueiras 1932 vs Fafe?
The model expects 2.75 goals (1.84 for Felgueiras 1932, 0.91 for Fafe). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 76%, over 2.5 goals 52%, over 3.5 goals 30%.
When and where is Felgueiras 1932 vs Fafe played?
Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Taça de Portugal. Venue: Stadion Dr. Machado de Matos, Felgueiras.
What form are Felgueiras 1932 and Fafe in?
Felgueiras 1932: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded). Fafe: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 4 conceded).
How is the Felgueiras 1932 vs Fafe prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.84 for Felgueiras 1932, 0.91 for Fafe) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Felgueiras 1932 predictions
- All Fafe predictions
- Taça de Portugal predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology