Taça de Portugal· Kick-off : Sunday, October 18, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Lusitânia Lourosa vs Os Limianos prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Lusitânia Lourosa take on Os Limianos on Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), a Taça de Portugal fixture. With a 64% win probability, Lusitânia Lourosa go in as strong favourites against Os Limianos (15%), with the draw rated at 21%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (11.7%), ahead of 2-0 (11.7%) and 1-1 (9.9%).
Lusitânia Lourosa are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (4 wins, 1 draw), scoring 9 and conceding 4. Over their last 5 matches, Os Limianos have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 9. Recent momentum is clearly with Lusitânia Lourosa. On average Lusitânia Lourosa score 1.80 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Os Limianos score 2.40 and concede 1.80.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Lusitânia Lourosa and Os Limianos: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Lusitânia Lourosa or draw" stands at 85%, "Os Limianos or draw" at 36% and "no draw" at 79%.
In short : Lusitânia Lourosa are favourites for this Lusitânia Lourosa v Os Limianos, with a 64% win probability from our model. On recent form, Lusitânia Lourosa are in good shape (4 wins in 5) while Os Limianos have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Lusitânia Lourosa – Os Limianos. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Lusitânia Lourosa 1-0 Os Limianos | 11.7% |
| Lusitânia Lourosa 2-0 Os Limianos | 11.7% |
| Lusitânia Lourosa 1-1 Os Limianos | 9.9% |
| Lusitânia Lourosa 2-1 Os Limianos | 9.8% |
| Lusitânia Lourosa 3-0 Os Limianos | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.83 goals in total (1.99 for Lusitânia Lourosa, 0.84 for Os Limianos): over 2.5 goals has a 54% probability and both teams to score 49%. Lusitânia Lourosa keep a clean sheet in 43% of scenarios, Os Limianos in 14%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Lusitânia Lourosa expected goals | 1.99 |
| Os Limianos expected goals | 0.84 |
| Both teams to score | 49% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 54% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 32% |
| Lusitânia Lourosa clean sheet | 43% |
| Os Limianos clean sheet | 14% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Lusitânia Lourosa
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | Sporting CP B · Liga Portugal 2 | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 7, 2026 | AVS · Liga Portugal 2 | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Academica · Liga Portugal 2 | 2-0 | W |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Torreense · Liga Portugal 2 | 2-2 | D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Amarante · Liga Portugal 2 | 1-0 | W |
Os Limianos
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ponte da Barca · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | 3-2 | W |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Correlhã · Taça de Portugal | 4-1 | W |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Vila Meã · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Chaves II · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | 3-1 | W |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Vianense · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group A | 1-4 | L |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Lusitânia Lourosa and Os Limianos: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Lusitânia Lourosa
No absences reported.
Os Limianos
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Lusitânia Lourosa
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Arsenio5/5
- B. Faria5/5
- D. Paulo5/5
- F. Machado5/5
- Fabinho5/5
- J. Santos5/5
- Paulite5/5
- Ricardinho5/5
- S. Mandiang5/5
- D. Collard4/5
- Vitor Hugo3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Lusitânia Lourosa vs Os Limianos prediction?
Our AI gives Lusitânia Lourosa a 64% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Os Limianos 15%. Lusitânia Lourosa are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Lusitânia Lourosa vs Os Limianos?
1-0 (11.7%), followed by 2-0 (11.7%), 1-1 (9.9%), 2-1 (9.8%) and 3-0 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in Lusitânia Lourosa vs Os Limianos?
The probability that both Lusitânia Lourosa and Os Limianos score is 49%. Lusitânia Lourosa have a 43% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Os Limianos 14%.
How many goals should we expect in Lusitânia Lourosa vs Os Limianos?
The model expects 2.83 goals (1.99 for Lusitânia Lourosa, 0.84 for Os Limianos). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 54%, over 3.5 goals 32%.
When and where is Lusitânia Lourosa vs Os Limianos played?
Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Taça de Portugal.
What form are Lusitânia Lourosa and Os Limianos in?
Lusitânia Lourosa: 4 wins, 1 draw and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 4 conceded). Os Limianos: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 9 conceded).
How is the Lusitânia Lourosa vs Os Limianos prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.99 for Lusitânia Lourosa, 0.84 for Os Limianos) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Lusitânia Lourosa predictions
- All Os Limianos predictions
- Taça de Portugal predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology