Taça de Portugal· Kick-off : Sunday, October 18, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Salgueiros vs Estoril prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Salgueiros take on Estoril on Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), a Taça de Portugal fixture. Salgueiros start as favourites with a 50% chance of victory; Estoril are given 22% and the draw 28%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (15.1%), followed by 1-1 (12.6%) and 0-0 (11.0%).
Salgueiros are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws), scoring 6 and conceding 4. Estoril have not won any of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 4 defeats), scoring 1 and conceding 7. Salgueiros therefore arrive in far better shape than Estoril. On average Salgueiros score 1.20 and concede 0.80 goals per game; Estoril score 0.20 and concede 1.40.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Salgueiros and Estoril: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Salgueiros or draw" stands at 78%, "Estoril or draw" at 50% and "no draw" at 72%.
In short : Salgueiros are favourites for this Salgueiros v Estoril, with a 50% win probability from our model. On recent form, Salgueiros have 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 losses in 5 while Estoril are struggling (4 losses in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Salgueiros – Estoril. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (15.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 58% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Salgueiros 1-0 Estoril | 15.1% |
| Salgueiros 1-1 Estoril | 12.6% |
| Salgueiros 0-0 Estoril | 11.0% |
| Salgueiros 2-0 Estoril | 10.4% |
| Salgueiros 0-1 Estoril | 9.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.38 expected goals for Salgueiros and 0.83 for Estoril, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 38% and "both teams to score" at 42%. Few goals are expected here. Salgueiros keep a clean sheet in 44% of scenarios, Estoril in 25%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Salgueiros expected goals | 1.38 |
| Estoril expected goals | 0.83 |
| Both teams to score | 42% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 65% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 38% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 18% |
| Salgueiros clean sheet | 44% |
| Estoril clean sheet | 25% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Salgueiros
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 13, 2026 | Cinfães · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Machico · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Sousense · Taça de Portugal | 2-1 | W |
| Aug 23, 2026 | Sanjoanense · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | 1-1 | D |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Camacha · Campeonato de Portugal Prio - Group B | 1-1 | D |
Estoril
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 14, 2026 | SC Braga · Primeira Liga | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 7, 2026 | Arouca · Primeira Liga | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 31, 2026 | Benfica · Primeira Liga | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rio Ave · Primeira Liga | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nacional · Primeira Liga | 0-2 | L |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Salgueiros and Estoril: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Salgueiros
No absences reported.
Estoril
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Estoril
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Ferro5/5
- Y. Begraoui5/5
- A. Lacximicant4/5
- A. Tsoungui4/5
- F. Medrano4/5
- I. Sierra4/5
- J. Carvalho4/5
- J. Robles4/5
- R. Sanchez4/5
- J. Holsgrove2/5
- R. Guitane2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Salgueiros vs Estoril prediction?
Our AI gives Salgueiros a 50% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Estoril 22%. Salgueiros are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Salgueiros vs Estoril?
1-0 (15.1%), followed by 1-1 (12.6%), 0-0 (11.0%), 2-0 (10.4%) and 0-1 (9.1%).
Will both teams score in Salgueiros vs Estoril?
The probability that both Salgueiros and Estoril score is 42%. Salgueiros have a 44% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Estoril 25%.
How many goals should we expect in Salgueiros vs Estoril?
The model expects 2.21 goals (1.38 for Salgueiros, 0.83 for Estoril). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 65%, over 2.5 goals 38%, over 3.5 goals 18%.
When and where is Salgueiros vs Estoril played?
Sunday, October 18, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Taça de Portugal.
What form are Salgueiros and Estoril in?
Salgueiros: 2 wins, 3 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 4 conceded). Estoril: 0 wins, 1 draw and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (1 scored, 7 conceded).
How is the Salgueiros vs Estoril prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.38 for Salgueiros, 0.83 for Estoril) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Salgueiros predictions
- All Estoril predictions
- Taça de Portugal predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology