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UEFA Champions LeagueUEFA Champions League· Kick-off : Wednesday, July 29, 2026, 19:00 (UK time)

FK Crvena Zvezda vs Larne: 5-0 result and AI prediction review

FK Crvena ZvezdaFK Crvena Zvezda5 – 0LarneLarne

Review: prediction vs result

1X2 outcome correctExact score missedMost likely score before kick-off : 1-1

Final score: FK Crvena Zvezda 5-0 Larne. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for FK Crvena Zvezda at 92%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

Match analysis

FK Crvena Zvezda and Larne met on Wednesday, July 29, 2026, a UEFA Champions League fixture. Venue: Stadium Rajko Mitić, Belgrade. Before kick-off, our model gave FK Crvena Zvezda a 92% chance of winning, the draw 6% and Larne 2%. On the correct score, 1-1 comes out on top (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%) and 2-1 (9.5%).

Over their last 5 matches, FK Crvena Zvezda have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 5. Over their last 5 matches, Larne have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 6 and conceding 6. Larne therefore arrive in far better shape than FK Crvena Zvezda. On average FK Crvena Zvezda score 1.80 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Larne score 1.20 and concede 1.20.

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for FK Crvena Zvezda, 0 for Larne and 0 draws. The most recent ended Larne 0-4 FK Crvena Zvezda (Jul 21, 2026). In double chance terms, "FK Crvena Zvezda or draw" stands at 98%, "Larne or draw" at 8% and "no draw" at 94%.

Outcome probabilities (1X2)

92%
FK Crvena Zvezda (Win)
6%
Draw
2%
Larne (Win)

Double chance

98%
FK Crvena Zvezda or draw
8%
Larne or draw
94%
No draw

Most likely correct scores

Scores shown as FK Crvena Zvezda – Larne. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.

ScoreProbability
FK Crvena Zvezda 1-1 Larne11.9%
FK Crvena Zvezda 1-0 Larne11.3%
FK Crvena Zvezda 2-1 Larne9.5%
FK Crvena Zvezda 2-0 Larne9.0%
FK Crvena Zvezda 0-1 Larne7.5%

Goals: both teams to score, over/under

With 1.59 expected goals for FK Crvena Zvezda and 1.05 for Larne, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 49% and "both teams to score" at 52%. FK Crvena Zvezda keep a clean sheet in 35% of scenarios, Larne in 20%.

Probability
FK Crvena Zvezda expected goals1.59
Larne expected goals1.05
Both teams to score52%
Over 1.5 goals74%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Over 3.5 goals27%
FK Crvena Zvezda clean sheet35%
Larne clean sheet20%

Recent form

Latest matches played before this game in the competitions Elofoot covers.

FK Crvena Zvezda

DateOpponentScore
Jul 21, 2026Larne · UEFA Champions League4-0W
Jul 3, 2026FC BW Linz · Club Friendlies2-2D
Jun 29, 2026Slovan Bratislava · Club Friendlies1-1D
Jun 25, 2026SKU Amstetten · Club Friendlies2-1W
Feb 26, 2026Lille · UEFA Europa League0-1L

Larne

DateOpponentScore
Jul 21, 2026FK Crvena Zvezda · UEFA Champions League0-4L
Jul 14, 2026Tre Fiori · UEFA Champions League2-1W
Jul 7, 2026Tre Fiori · UEFA Champions League1-0W
Jun 29, 2026H&W Welders · Club Friendlies2-1W
Jun 23, 2026GAP Connah S Quay FC · Club Friendlies1-0W

Head-to-head

DateScoreCompetition
Jul 21, 2026Larne 0-4 FK Crvena ZvezdaUEFA Champions League

Out and doubtful

FK Crvena Zvezda

No absences reported.

Larne

No absences reported.

Other matches in this competition

Frequently asked questions

What is the FK Crvena Zvezda vs Larne prediction?

Before the match, our AI gave FK Crvena Zvezda a 92% chance of winning, the draw 6% and Larne 2%. FK Crvena Zvezda are therefore favourites. Final score: 5-0.

What is the most likely correct score for FK Crvena Zvezda vs Larne?

1-1 (11.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.3%), 2-1 (9.5%), 2-0 (9.0%) and 0-1 (7.5%).

Will both teams score in FK Crvena Zvezda vs Larne?

The probability that both FK Crvena Zvezda and Larne score is 52%. FK Crvena Zvezda have a 35% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Larne 20%.

How many goals should we expect in FK Crvena Zvezda vs Larne?

The model expects 2.64 goals (1.59 for FK Crvena Zvezda, 1.05 for Larne). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 74%, over 2.5 goals 49%, over 3.5 goals 27%.

When and where is FK Crvena Zvezda vs Larne played?

Wednesday, July 29, 2026 at 19:00 (UK time), UEFA Champions League. Venue: Stadium Rajko Mitić, Belgrade.

What form are FK Crvena Zvezda and Larne in?

FK Crvena Zvezda: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 5 conceded). Larne: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded).

What is the head-to-head record between FK Crvena Zvezda and Larne?

In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for FK Crvena Zvezda, 0 for Larne and 0 draws. The most recent ended Larne 0-4 FK Crvena Zvezda (Jul 21, 2026).

What was the FK Crvena Zvezda vs Larne result, and was the prediction right?

Final score: FK Crvena Zvezda 5-0 Larne. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for FK Crvena Zvezda at 92%. The model considered this score unlikely (0.6%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (52%): missed; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (49%): missed.

How is the FK Crvena Zvezda vs Larne prediction calculated?

The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.59 for FK Crvena Zvezda, 1.05 for Larne) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.

Go further

Key terms explained