Championship· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Blackburn vs Cardiff prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Championship, matchday 9: Blackburn vs Cardiff kicks off on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time). Venue: Ewood Park, Blackburn. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Blackburn 32%, Cardiff 43% and the draw 25%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.1%), ahead of 0-1 (9.7%) and 1-2 (8.9%).
Blackburn have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 7. Cardiff have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 8. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Blackburn score 1.20 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Cardiff score 0.80 and concede 1.60. In the table, Blackburn sit 16th with 9 points from 8 games, Cardiff 21st with 7 points from 8. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Blackburn have averaged 0.96 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.92 for Cardiff.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Blackburn and Cardiff: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Blackburn out or doubtful: A. Forshaw, M. Jorgensen, A. Kargbo, M. Litherland, L. Miller, Y. Ohashi, Y. Ribeiro and S. Wharton. Cardiff: C. Chambers, R. Colwill, I. Davies and W. Fish. In double chance terms, "Blackburn or draw" stands at 57%, "Cardiff or draw" at 68% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Cardiff are tipped by our AI model in this Blackburn v Cardiff (43%). On recent form, Blackburn have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Cardiff have 0 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Blackburn – Cardiff. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 46% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Blackburn 1-1 Cardiff | 12.1% |
| Blackburn 0-1 Cardiff | 9.7% |
| Blackburn 1-2 Cardiff | 8.9% |
| Blackburn 1-0 Cardiff | 8.2% |
| Blackburn 2-1 Cardiff | 7.5% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.73 goals in total (1.25 for Blackburn, 1.48 for Cardiff): over 2.5 goals has a 51% probability and both teams to score 55%. Blackburn keep a clean sheet in 23% of scenarios, Cardiff in 29%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Blackburn expected goals | 1.25 |
| Cardiff expected goals | 1.48 |
| Both teams to score | 55% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Blackburn clean sheet | 23% |
| Cardiff clean sheet | 29% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Blackburn
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Millwall · Championship | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Sheffield Utd · Championship | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Preston · Championship | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Lincoln · Championship | 0-0 | D |
| Aug 29, 2026 | QPR · Championship | 1-2 | L |
Cardiff
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bolton · Championship | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Stoke City · Championship | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Portsmouth · Championship | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 2, 2026 | QPR · Championship | 1-2 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Sheffield Utd · Championship | 2-2 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Blackburn | 16 | 9 | 8 |
| Cardiff | 21 | 7 | 8 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Blackburn and Cardiff: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Blackburn
- A. Forshaw (out)
- M. Jorgensen (out)
- A. Kargbo (out)
- M. Litherland (out)
- L. Miller (out)
- Y. Ohashi (out)
- Y. Ribeiro (out)
- S. Wharton (out)
Cardiff
- C. Chambers (out)
- R. Colwill (out)
- I. Davies (out)
- W. Fish (out)
Most regular starters
Blackburn
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- K. Montgomery5/5
- O. Afolayan5/5
- R. Alebiosu5/5
- R. Morishita5/5
- S. McLoughlin5/5
- T. Cantwell5/5
- Y. Ribeiro5/5
- S. Morsy4/5
- T. Atcheson4/5
- A. Gudjohnsen3/5
- A. Pears3/5
Cardiff
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Robertson5/5
- G. Osho5/5
- J. Bagan5/5
- J. Moylan5/5
- N. Trott5/5
- O. Tanner5/5
- P. Ng5/5
- Y. Salech5/5
- K. Bielik4/5
- C. Willock3/5
- C. Ashford2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- West Ham – QPROct 9, 2026
- Swansea – NorwichOct 10, 2026
- West Brom – BirminghamOct 10, 2026
- Charlton – Bristol CityOct 10, 2026
- Preston – MillwallOct 10, 2026
- Sheffield Utd – LincolnOct 10, 2026
- Derby – WrexhamOct 10, 2026
- Middlesbrough – WolvesOct 10, 2026
- Bolton – Stoke CityOct 10, 2026
- Watford – BurnleyOct 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Blackburn vs Cardiff prediction?
Our AI gives Blackburn a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Cardiff 43%. Cardiff are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Blackburn vs Cardiff?
1-1 (12.1%), followed by 0-1 (9.7%), 1-2 (8.9%), 1-0 (8.2%) and 2-1 (7.5%).
Will both teams score in Blackburn vs Cardiff?
The probability that both Blackburn and Cardiff score is 55%. Blackburn have a 23% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Cardiff 29%.
How many goals should we expect in Blackburn vs Cardiff?
The model expects 2.73 goals (1.25 for Blackburn, 1.48 for Cardiff). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 76%, over 2.5 goals 51%, over 3.5 goals 29%.
When and where is Blackburn vs Cardiff played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Championship, matchday 9. Venue: Ewood Park, Blackburn.
What form are Blackburn and Cardiff in?
Blackburn: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 7 conceded). Cardiff: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 8 conceded).
How is the Blackburn vs Cardiff prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.25 for Blackburn, 1.48 for Cardiff) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Blackburn predictions
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