Championship· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Sheffield Utd take on Lincoln on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), a Championship, matchday 9 fixture. Venue: Bramall Lane, Sheffield. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Sheffield Utd 30%, Lincoln 44% and the draw 26%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (12.5%), ahead of 0-1 (10.8%) and 1-2 (8.9%).
Over their last 5 matches, Sheffield Utd have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Lincoln have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 3 and conceding 5. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Sheffield Utd score 1.20 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Lincoln score 0.60 and concede 1.00. In the table, Sheffield Utd sit 18th with 9 points from 8 games, Lincoln 12th with 11 points from 8. 6 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Sheffield Utd have averaged 1.16 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.42 for Lincoln.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Sheffield Utd and Lincoln: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Sheffield Utd out or doubtful: H. Burrows, R. One and F. Seriki. Lincoln: T. Darikwa, T. Hamer and M. Melia. In double chance terms, "Sheffield Utd or draw" stands at 56%, "Lincoln or draw" at 70% and "no draw" at 74%.
In short : Lincoln are tipped by our AI model in this Sheffield Utd v Lincoln (44%). In the table, Sheffield Utd (18th, 9 pts) host Lincoln (12th, 11 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Sheffield Utd – Lincoln. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (12.5%); the 5 scores below add up to 49% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd 1-1 Lincoln | 12.5% |
| Sheffield Utd 0-1 Lincoln | 10.8% |
| Sheffield Utd 1-2 Lincoln | 8.9% |
| Sheffield Utd 1-0 Lincoln | 8.7% |
| Sheffield Utd 0-2 Lincoln | 7.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.58 goals in total (1.15 for Sheffield Utd, 1.43 for Lincoln): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 52%. Sheffield Utd keep a clean sheet in 24% of scenarios, Lincoln in 32%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd expected goals | 1.15 |
| Lincoln expected goals | 1.43 |
| Both teams to score | 52% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Sheffield Utd clean sheet | 24% |
| Lincoln clean sheet | 32% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Sheffield Utd
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 16, 2026 | Fleetwood Town · EFL Cup | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Wolves · Championship | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Blackburn · Championship | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Norwich · Championship | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bolton · Championship | 3-2 | W |
Lincoln
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Bristol City · Championship | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Preston · Championship | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bournemouth · EFL Cup | 0-4 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Southampton · Championship | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Blackburn · Championship | 0-0 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd | 18 | 9 | 8 |
| Lincoln | 12 | 11 | 8 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Sheffield Utd and Lincoln: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Sheffield Utd
- H. Burrows (out)
- R. One (out)
- F. Seriki (out)
Lincoln
- T. Darikwa (out)
- T. Hamer (out)
- M. Melia (out)
Most regular starters
Sheffield Utd
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Tanganga5/5
- M. Cooper5/5
- B. Brereton Diaz4/5
- H. Choudhury4/5
- R. Donovan4/5
- S. Peck4/5
- J. Riedewald3/5
- L. Kitching3/5
- M. McGuinness3/5
- P. Bamford3/5
- R. Norrington-Davies3/5
Lincoln
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Reach4/5
- C. McGrandles4/5
- D. Elerewe4/5
- G. Wickens4/5
- R. Towler4/5
- B. House3/5
- D. Jefferies3/5
- F. Draper3/5
- R. Hackett-Fairchild3/5
- R. Street3/5
- S. Bradley3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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- West Brom – BirminghamOct 10, 2026
- Charlton – Bristol CityOct 10, 2026
- Preston – MillwallOct 10, 2026
- Derby – WrexhamOct 10, 2026
- Middlesbrough – WolvesOct 10, 2026
- Blackburn – CardiffOct 10, 2026
- Bolton – Stoke CityOct 10, 2026
- Watford – BurnleyOct 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln prediction?
Our AI gives Sheffield Utd a 30% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Lincoln 44%. Lincoln are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln?
1-1 (12.5%), followed by 0-1 (10.8%), 1-2 (8.9%), 1-0 (8.7%) and 0-2 (7.7%).
Will both teams score in Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln?
The probability that both Sheffield Utd and Lincoln score is 52%. Sheffield Utd have a 24% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Lincoln 32%.
How many goals should we expect in Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln?
The model expects 2.58 goals (1.15 for Sheffield Utd, 1.43 for Lincoln). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Championship, matchday 9. Venue: Bramall Lane, Sheffield.
What form are Sheffield Utd and Lincoln in?
Sheffield Utd: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 8 conceded). Lincoln: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (3 scored, 5 conceded).
How is the Sheffield Utd vs Lincoln prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.15 for Sheffield Utd, 1.43 for Lincoln) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Sheffield Utd predictions
- All Lincoln predictions
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