Championship· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Middlesbrough vs Wolves prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Middlesbrough take on Wolves on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), a Championship, matchday 9 fixture. Venue: Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough. The edge goes to Middlesbrough (46%), ahead of the draw (24%) and a Wolves win (30%). The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.2%), ahead of 2-1 (9.3%) and 1-0 (8.5%).
Over their last 5 matches, Middlesbrough have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 10. Over their last 5 matches, Wolves have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 7. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Middlesbrough score 1.80 and concede 2.00 goals per game; Wolves score 1.20 and concede 1.40. In the table, Middlesbrough sit 3rd with 15 points from 8 games, Wolves 4th with 14 points from 7. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Middlesbrough have averaged 1.52 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.44 for Wolves.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Middlesbrough, 2 for Wolves and 0 draws. The most recent ended Middlesbrough 1-2 Wolves (Mar 30, 2018). Middlesbrough out or doubtful: A. Jones. Wolves: R. Jimenez, L. Krejci, Y. Mosquera and R. Said. In double chance terms, "Middlesbrough or draw" stands at 70%, "Wolves or draw" at 54% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Middlesbrough are favourites for this Middlesbrough v Wolves, with a 46% win probability from our model. On recent form, Middlesbrough have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in 5 while Wolves have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5. One to watch: Wolves will be without R. Jimenez and L. Krejci.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Middlesbrough – Wolves. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 43% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Middlesbrough 1-1 Wolves | 11.2% |
| Middlesbrough 2-1 Wolves | 9.3% |
| Middlesbrough 1-0 Wolves | 8.5% |
| Middlesbrough 1-2 Wolves | 7.3% |
| Middlesbrough 2-0 Wolves | 7.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.97 goals in total (1.66 for Middlesbrough, 1.31 for Wolves): over 2.5 goals has a 57% probability and both teams to score 59%. Middlesbrough keep a clean sheet in 27% of scenarios, Wolves in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Middlesbrough expected goals | 1.66 |
| Wolves expected goals | 1.31 |
| Both teams to score | 59% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 35% |
| Middlesbrough clean sheet | 27% |
| Wolves clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Middlesbrough
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Birmingham · Championship | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Millwall · Championship | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Norwich · Championship | 4-3 | W |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Crystal Palace · EFL Cup | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | QPR · Championship | 1-0 | W |
Wolves
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2026 | West Brom · Championship | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 16, 2026 | Everton · EFL Cup | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Sheffield Utd · Championship | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Birmingham · Championship | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 1, 2026 | West Ham · Championship | 2-4 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | 3 | 15 | 8 |
| Wolves | 4 | 14 | 7 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 30, 2018 | Middlesbrough 1-2 Wolves | Championship |
| Aug 5, 2017 | Wolves 1-0 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Mar 4, 2016 | Middlesbrough 2-1 Wolves | Championship |
| Oct 24, 2015 | Wolves 1-3 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Sep 22, 2015 | Middlesbrough 3-0 Wolves | EFL Cup |
Out and doubtful
Middlesbrough
- A. Jones (out)
Wolves
- R. Jimenez (out)
- L. Krejci (out)
- Y. Mosquera (out)
- R. Said (out)
Most regular starters
Middlesbrough
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Morris5/5
- C. Brittain5/5
- A. Cozier-Duberry4/5
- A. Malanda4/5
- R. McGree4/5
- W. Lankshear4/5
- A. Phillips3/5
- L. Ayling3/5
- Neto Borges3/5
- R. Vitek3/5
- S. Berhalter3/5
Wolves
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Tchatchoua4/5
- M. Munetsi4/5
- N. Djiga4/5
- A. Armstrong3/5
- Andre3/5
- F. Lopez3/5
- H. Bueno3/5
- J. Sa3/5
- M. Mane3/5
- R. Gomes3/5
- L. Krejci2/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Middlesbrough vs Wolves prediction?
Our AI gives Middlesbrough a 46% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Wolves 30%. Middlesbrough are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Middlesbrough vs Wolves?
1-1 (11.2%), followed by 2-1 (9.3%), 1-0 (8.5%), 1-2 (7.3%) and 2-0 (7.1%).
Will both teams score in Middlesbrough vs Wolves?
The probability that both Middlesbrough and Wolves score is 59%. Middlesbrough have a 27% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Wolves 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Middlesbrough vs Wolves?
The model expects 2.97 goals (1.66 for Middlesbrough, 1.31 for Wolves). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 80%, over 2.5 goals 57%, over 3.5 goals 35%.
When and where is Middlesbrough vs Wolves played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Championship, matchday 9. Venue: Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough.
What form are Middlesbrough and Wolves in?
Middlesbrough: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 10 conceded). Wolves: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Middlesbrough and Wolves?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Middlesbrough, 2 for Wolves and 0 draws. The most recent ended Middlesbrough 1-2 Wolves (Mar 30, 2018).
How is the Middlesbrough vs Wolves prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.66 for Middlesbrough, 1.31 for Wolves) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Middlesbrough predictions
- All Wolves predictions
- Championship predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology