Championship· Kick-off : Friday, October 9, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
West Ham vs QPR prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Championship, matchday 9: the West Ham vs QPR match is scheduled on Friday, October 9, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time). Venue: London Stadium, London. With a 69% win probability, West Ham go in as strong favourites against QPR (15%), with the draw rated at 16%. The most likely correct score is 2-1 (8.7%), ahead of 3-1 (7.9%) and 2-0 (7.0%).
Over their last 5 matches, West Ham have 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 18 and conceding 7. QPR have won just one of their last 5 matches (3 draws, 1 defeat), scoring 5 and conceding 5. Recent momentum is clearly with West Ham. On average West Ham score 3.60 and concede 1.40 goals per game; QPR score 1.00 and concede 1.00. In the table, West Ham sit 2nd with 15 points from 8 games, QPR 6th with 13 points from 8. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, West Ham have averaged 2.13 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.59 for QPR.
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for West Ham, 0 for QPR and 0 draws. The most recent ended West Ham 2-1 QPR (Jan 11, 2026). West Ham out or doubtful: A. Areola, T. Soucek and J. Veltman. QPR: I. Chair, K. Dembele, B. Kemper, R. Kone and T. Lamptey. In double chance terms, "West Ham or draw" stands at 85%, "QPR or draw" at 31% and "no draw" at 84%.
In short : Our model backs West Ham to edge QPR (69% probability). On recent form, West Ham are in good shape (4 wins in 5) while QPR have 1 win, 3 draws and 1 loss in 5. The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 76%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as West Ham – QPR. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (8.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 36% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| West Ham 2-1 QPR | 8.7% |
| West Ham 3-1 QPR | 7.9% |
| West Ham 2-0 QPR | 7.0% |
| West Ham 1-1 QPR | 6.4% |
| West Ham 3-0 QPR | 6.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.97 goals in total (2.72 for West Ham, 1.25 for QPR): over 2.5 goals has a 76% probability and both teams to score 67%. Everything points to an open game. West Ham keep a clean sheet in 29% of scenarios, QPR in 7%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| West Ham expected goals | 2.72 |
| QPR expected goals | 1.25 |
| Both teams to score | 67% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 91% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 76% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 56% |
| West Ham clean sheet | 29% |
| QPR clean sheet | 7% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
West Ham
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 15, 2026 | Fulham · EFL Cup | 2-3 | L |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Wrexham · Championship | 6-0 | W |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Bolton · Championship | 3-2 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Derby · Championship | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Wolves · Championship | 4-2 | W |
QPR
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Preston · Championship | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | West Brom · Championship | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 9, 2026 | Charlton · Championship | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Middlesbrough · Championship | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 2, 2026 | Cardiff · Championship | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | 2 | 15 | 8 |
| QPR | 6 | 13 | 8 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 11, 2026 | West Ham 2-1 QPR | FA Cup |
Out and doubtful
West Ham
- A. Areola (out)
- T. Soucek (out)
- J. Veltman (out)
QPR
- I. Chair (out)
- K. Dembele (out)
- B. Kemper (out)
- R. Kone (out)
- T. Lamptey (out)
Most regular starters
West Ham
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Engels5/5
- D. Mukasa5/5
- K. Mavropanos5/5
- M. Kilman5/5
- J. Bowen4/5
- M. Hermansen4/5
- J. Piroe3/5
- K. Walker-Peters3/5
- M. Solomon3/5
- O. Scarles3/5
- Pablo3/5
QPR
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- P. Charles5/5
- R. Edwards5/5
- H. Vale4/5
- J. Dunne4/5
- N. Madsen4/5
- R. Burrell4/5
- A. S. Mbengue3/5
- D. Cirkin3/5
- G. Kamara3/5
- K. Poku3/5
- P. Smyth3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Swansea – NorwichOct 10, 2026
- West Brom – BirminghamOct 10, 2026
- Charlton – Bristol CityOct 10, 2026
- Preston – MillwallOct 10, 2026
- Sheffield Utd – LincolnOct 10, 2026
- Derby – WrexhamOct 10, 2026
- Middlesbrough – WolvesOct 10, 2026
- Blackburn – CardiffOct 10, 2026
- Bolton – Stoke CityOct 10, 2026
- Watford – BurnleyOct 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the West Ham vs QPR prediction?
Our AI gives West Ham a 69% chance of winning, the draw 16% and QPR 15%. West Ham are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for West Ham vs QPR?
2-1 (8.7%), followed by 3-1 (7.9%), 2-0 (7.0%), 1-1 (6.4%) and 3-0 (6.3%).
Will both teams score in West Ham vs QPR?
The probability that both West Ham and QPR score is 67%. West Ham have a 29% chance of keeping a clean sheet, QPR 7%.
How many goals should we expect in West Ham vs QPR?
The model expects 3.97 goals (2.72 for West Ham, 1.25 for QPR). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 91%, over 2.5 goals 76%, over 3.5 goals 56%.
When and where is West Ham vs QPR played?
Friday, October 9, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), Championship, matchday 9. Venue: London Stadium, London.
What form are West Ham and QPR in?
West Ham: 4 wins, 0 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (18 scored, 7 conceded). QPR: 1 win, 3 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 5 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between West Ham and QPR?
In the last 1 meeting between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for West Ham, 0 for QPR and 0 draws. The most recent ended West Ham 2-1 QPR (Jan 11, 2026).
How is the West Ham vs QPR prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.72 for West Ham, 1.25 for QPR) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All West Ham predictions
- All QPR predictions
- Championship predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology