Championship· Kick-off : Saturday, October 10, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Preston vs Millwall prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Championship, matchday 9: Preston vs Millwall kicks off on Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time). Venue: Deepdale, Preston. Nothing is settled in advance: the AI gives Preston 35%, Millwall 44% and the draw 21%. The most likely correct score is 1-2 (8.0%), ahead of 1-1 (7.9%) and 2-2 (7.3%).
Preston have won just one of their last 5 matches (1 draw, 3 defeats), scoring 6 and conceding 9. Millwall have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 8. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Preston score 1.20 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Millwall score 1.80 and concede 1.60. In the table, Preston sit 23rd with 4 points from 8 games, Millwall 11th with 11 points from 8. 12 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Preston have averaged 2.18 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.69 for Millwall.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Preston, 2 for Millwall and 3 draws. The most recent ended Preston 0-2 Millwall (Feb 28, 2026). Preston out or doubtful: T. Carroll, A. McCann and B. Potts. Millwall: J. Coburn, T. Crama, C. De Norre, R. Esse, M. Ivanovic, L. Jensen, R. Leonard and M. Luongo. In double chance terms, "Preston or draw" stands at 56%, "Millwall or draw" at 65% and "no draw" at 79%.
In short : Our model backs Millwall to edge Preston (44% probability). On recent form, Preston have 1 win, 1 draw and 3 losses in 5 while Millwall have 1 win, 2 draws and 2 losses in 5. The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 74%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Preston – Millwall. 1-2 is the single most likely scoreline (8.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 36% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Preston 1-2 Millwall | 8.0% |
| Preston 1-1 Millwall | 7.9% |
| Preston 2-2 Millwall | 7.3% |
| Preston 2-1 Millwall | 7.1% |
| Preston 1-3 Millwall | 5.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.85 goals in total (1.81 for Preston, 2.04 for Millwall): over 2.5 goals has a 74% probability and both teams to score 73%. Everything points to an open game. Preston keep a clean sheet in 13% of scenarios, Millwall in 16%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Preston expected goals | 1.81 |
| Millwall expected goals | 2.04 |
| Both teams to score | 73% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 90% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 74% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 54% |
| Preston clean sheet | 13% |
| Millwall clean sheet | 16% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Preston
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | QPR · Championship | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Lincoln · Championship | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Watford · Championship | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Blackburn · Championship | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Bristol City · Championship | 1-3 | L |
Millwall
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | West Ham · Championship | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 15, 2026 | Middlesbrough · Championship | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Blackburn · Championship | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Newcastle · EFL Cup | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Bolton · Championship | 4-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Preston | 23 | 4 | 8 |
| Millwall | 11 | 11 | 8 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 28, 2026 | Preston 0-2 Millwall | Championship |
| Nov 8, 2025 | Millwall 1-1 Preston | Championship |
| Feb 18, 2025 | Preston 1-1 Millwall | Championship |
| Sep 28, 2024 | Millwall 3-1 Preston | Championship |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Millwall 1-1 Preston | Championship |
Out and doubtful
Preston
- T. Carroll (out)
- A. McCann (out)
- B. Potts (out)
Millwall
- J. Coburn (out)
- T. Crama (out)
- C. De Norre (out)
- R. Esse (out)
- M. Ivanovic (out)
- L. Jensen (out)
- R. Leonard (out)
- M. Luongo (out)
Most regular starters
Preston
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Devine5/5
- D. Iversen5/5
- H. Clarke5/5
- J. Thompson5/5
- C. Lang4/5
- J. Storey4/5
- L. Leroy4/5
- S. Mills4/5
- J. Kenny3/5
- L. Gibson3/5
- A. Vukcevic2/5
Millwall
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Neghli5/5
- C. Taylor5/5
- J. Cooper5/5
- J. Osei-Tutu5/5
- L. Dykes5/5
- D. Mazou-Sacko4/5
- J. Metcalfe4/5
- T. Arconte4/5
- M. Crocombe3/5
- R. Esse3/5
- Z. Sturge3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- West Ham – QPROct 9, 2026
- Swansea – NorwichOct 10, 2026
- West Brom – BirminghamOct 10, 2026
- Charlton – Bristol CityOct 10, 2026
- Sheffield Utd – LincolnOct 10, 2026
- Derby – WrexhamOct 10, 2026
- Middlesbrough – WolvesOct 10, 2026
- Blackburn – CardiffOct 10, 2026
- Bolton – Stoke CityOct 10, 2026
- Watford – BurnleyOct 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Preston vs Millwall prediction?
Our AI gives Preston a 35% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Millwall 44%. Millwall are therefore slight favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Preston vs Millwall?
1-2 (8.0%), followed by 1-1 (7.9%), 2-2 (7.3%), 2-1 (7.1%) and 1-3 (5.4%).
Will both teams score in Preston vs Millwall?
The probability that both Preston and Millwall score is 73%. Preston have a 13% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Millwall 16%.
How many goals should we expect in Preston vs Millwall?
The model expects 3.85 goals (1.81 for Preston, 2.04 for Millwall). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 90%, over 2.5 goals 74%, over 3.5 goals 54%.
When and where is Preston vs Millwall played?
Saturday, October 10, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Championship, matchday 9. Venue: Deepdale, Preston.
What form are Preston and Millwall in?
Preston: 1 win, 1 draw and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 9 conceded). Millwall: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 8 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Preston and Millwall?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Preston, 2 for Millwall and 3 draws. The most recent ended Preston 0-2 Millwall (Feb 28, 2026).
How is the Preston vs Millwall prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.81 for Preston, 2.04 for Millwall) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Preston predictions
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