Championship· Kick-off : Saturday, October 31, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Burnley vs Portsmouth: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Burnley 0-0 Portsmouth. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Portsmouth (44%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (6.0%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (56%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (53%): missed.
Match analysis
Burnley vs Portsmouth was played on Saturday, October 31, 2026 (Championship, matchday 13). Venue: Turf Moor, Burnley. Before kick-off, our model gave Burnley a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Portsmouth 44%. The most likely correct score is 1-1 (11.7%), ahead of 0-1 (9.4%) and 1-2 (9.2%).
Burnley have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 9 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Portsmouth have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Recent momentum is clearly with Portsmouth. On average Burnley score 1.80 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Portsmouth score 1.40 and concede 1.00. In the table, Burnley sit 22nd with 8 points from 12 games, Portsmouth 12th with 18 points from 12. 10 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Burnley have averaged 1.64 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.19 for Portsmouth.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Burnley and Portsmouth: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. Burnley out or doubtful: A. Ahmedhodzic, Z. Amdouni, B. Amos, J. Beyer, J. Bruun Larsen, B. Humphreys, H. Mejbri and M. Obafemi. Portsmouth: K. Anderson, B. Arthur, C. Bishop, L. Brooke-Smith, M. Kosznovszky, C. Ogilvie, J. Swift and J. Murphy (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Burnley or draw" stands at 56%, "Portsmouth or draw" at 69% and "no draw" at 75%.
In short : Portsmouth are tipped by our AI model in this Burnley v Portsmouth (44%). In the table, Burnley (22nd, 8 pts) host Portsmouth (12th, 18 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 1-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Burnley – Portsmouth. 1-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 45% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Burnley 1-1 Portsmouth | 11.7% |
| Burnley 0-1 Portsmouth | 9.4% |
| Burnley 1-2 Portsmouth | 9.2% |
| Burnley 1-0 Portsmouth | 7.5% |
| Burnley 2-1 Portsmouth | 7.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.81 goals in total (1.25 for Burnley, 1.56 for Portsmouth): over 2.5 goals has a 53% probability and both teams to score 56%. Burnley keep a clean sheet in 21% of scenarios, Portsmouth in 29%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Burnley expected goals | 1.25 |
| Portsmouth expected goals | 1.56 |
| Both teams to score | 56% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 77% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 53% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 31% |
| Burnley clean sheet | 21% |
| Portsmouth clean sheet | 29% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Burnley
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Lincoln · Championship | 1-4 | L |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Wolves · Championship | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Charlton · Championship | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Watford · Championship | 4-0 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Derby · Championship | 1-1 | D |
Portsmouth
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Millwall · Championship | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Wolves · Championship | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Norwich · Championship | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Sheffield Utd · Championship | 3-2 | W |
| Oct 11, 2026 | Southampton · Championship | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Burnley | 22 | 8 | 12 |
| Portsmouth | 12 | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Burnley and Portsmouth: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Burnley
- A. Ahmedhodzic (out)
- Z. Amdouni (out)
- B. Amos (out)
- J. Beyer (out)
- J. Bruun Larsen (out)
- B. Humphreys (out)
- H. Mejbri (out)
- M. Obafemi (out)
Portsmouth
- K. Anderson (out)
- B. Arthur (out)
- C. Bishop (out)
- L. Brooke-Smith (out)
- M. Kosznovszky (out)
- C. Ogilvie (out)
- J. Swift (out)
- J. Murphy (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Burnley
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- G. Coudert5/5
- Igor5/5
- J. Laurent5/5
- Lucas Pires5/5
- M. Alleyne5/5
- R. Hatate5/5
- J. Bruun Larsen4/5
- K. Walker4/5
- L. Ramazani4/5
- A. Ahmedhodzic3/5
- H. Ekdal2/5
Portsmouth
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Kamara5/5
- M. Dia5/5
- N. Schmid5/5
- R. Poole5/5
- A. Segecic4/5
- I. Mohamed4/5
- J. Meghoma4/5
- M. Pack4/5
- R. Kavuma McQueen4/5
- Z. Swanson4/5
- Marezi3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Stoke City 2-0 PrestonOct 31, 2026
- Norwich 3-2 WatfordOct 31, 2026
- Lincoln 1-3 BirminghamOct 31, 2026
- Bolton 2-3 Bristol CityOct 31, 2026
- Southampton 4-1 QPROct 31, 2026
- Wolves 3-0 CardiffOct 31, 2026
- West Ham 1-3 West BromOct 31, 2026
- Middlesbrough 3-0 CharltonOct 31, 2026
- Millwall 4-1 DerbyOct 31, 2026
- Swansea 4-0 BlackburnOct 31, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Burnley vs Portsmouth prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Burnley a 31% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Portsmouth 44%. Portsmouth are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Burnley vs Portsmouth?
1-1 (11.7%), followed by 0-1 (9.4%), 1-2 (9.2%), 1-0 (7.5%) and 2-1 (7.3%).
Will both teams score in Burnley vs Portsmouth?
The probability that both Burnley and Portsmouth score is 56%. Burnley have a 21% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Portsmouth 29%.
How many goals should we expect in Burnley vs Portsmouth?
The model expects 2.81 goals (1.25 for Burnley, 1.56 for Portsmouth). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 77%, over 2.5 goals 53%, over 3.5 goals 31%.
When and where is Burnley vs Portsmouth played?
Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Championship, matchday 13. Venue: Turf Moor, Burnley.
What form are Burnley and Portsmouth in?
Burnley: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 9 conceded). Portsmouth: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 5 conceded).
What was the Burnley vs Portsmouth result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Burnley 0-0 Portsmouth. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Portsmouth (44%), while a draw was rated at only 25%. The final score ranked 7th among the most likely scorelines (6.0%), behind 1-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (56%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (53%): missed.
How is the Burnley vs Portsmouth prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.25 for Burnley, 1.56 for Portsmouth) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Burnley predictions
- All Portsmouth predictions
- Championship predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology