Championship· Kick-off : Saturday, October 31, 2026, 12:30 (UK time)
Stoke City vs Preston: 2-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Stoke City 2-0 Preston. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Stoke City at 57%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (11.2%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (47%): correct.
Match analysis
Stoke City and Preston met on Saturday, October 31, 2026, a Championship, matchday 13 fixture. Venue: bet365 Stadium, Stoke-On-Trent. Before kick-off, our model gave Stoke City a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Preston 19%. On the correct score, 1-0 comes out on top (13.2%), followed by 1-1 (11.3%) and 2-0 (11.2%).
Over their last 5 matches, Stoke City have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 7 and conceding 5. Preston have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 4 and conceding 12. Stoke City therefore arrive in far better shape than Preston. On average Stoke City score 1.40 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Preston score 0.80 and concede 2.40. In the table, Stoke City sit 9th with 20 points from 12 games, Preston 24th with 5 points from 12. 15 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Stoke City have averaged 0.76 xG (expected goals) per match, against 0.93 for Preston.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Stoke City, 1 for Preston and 3 draws. The most recent ended Preston 3-1 Stoke City (Mar 20, 2026). Stoke City out or doubtful: A. Ampah, E. Bocat, A. Cresswell, S. Gallagher and S. Ingelsson. Preston: H. Clarke, L. Gibbs, L. Gibson, A. McCann, T. Carroll (doubtful) and L. Lindsay (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Stoke City or draw" stands at 81%, "Preston or draw" at 43% and "no draw" at 76%.
In short : Stoke City are favourites for this Stoke City v Preston, with a 57% win probability from our model. In the table, Stoke City (9th, 20 pts) host Preston (24th, 5 pts). One to watch: Preston will be without H. Clarke and L. Gibbs.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Stoke City – Preston. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.2%); the 5 scores below add up to 53% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Stoke City 1-0 Preston | 13.2% |
| Stoke City 1-1 Preston | 11.3% |
| Stoke City 2-0 Preston | 11.2% |
| Stoke City 2-1 Preston | 9.6% |
| Stoke City 0-0 Preston | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 1.69 expected goals for Stoke City and 0.86 for Preston, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 47% and "both teams to score" at 47%. Stoke City keep a clean sheet in 42% of scenarios, Preston in 19%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Stoke City expected goals | 1.69 |
| Preston expected goals | 0.86 |
| Both teams to score | 47% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 72% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 47% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 25% |
| Stoke City clean sheet | 42% |
| Preston clean sheet | 19% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Stoke City
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bristol City · Championship | 0-0 | D |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Derby · Championship | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Middlesbrough · Championship | 2-3 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bolton · Championship | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Sheffield Utd · Championship | 2-1 | W |
Preston
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | West Brom · Championship | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Wrexham · Championship | 1-4 | L |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Birmingham · Championship | 0-4 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Millwall · Championship | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 19, 2026 | QPR · Championship | 2-2 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stoke City | 9 | 20 | 12 |
| Preston | 24 | 5 | 12 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 20, 2026 | Preston 3-1 Stoke City | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Stoke City 0-0 Preston | Championship |
| Apr 5, 2025 | Preston 1-1 Stoke City | Championship |
| Nov 26, 2024 | Stoke City 0-0 Preston | Championship |
| Mar 9, 2024 | Preston 1-2 Stoke City | Championship |
Out and doubtful
Stoke City
- A. Ampah (out)
- E. Bocat (out)
- A. Cresswell (out)
- S. Gallagher (out)
- S. Ingelsson (out)
Preston
- H. Clarke (out)
- L. Gibbs (out)
- L. Gibson (out)
- A. McCann (out)
- T. Carroll (doubtful)
- L. Lindsay (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Stoke City
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Johnson5/5
- B. Wilmot5/5
- D. Soumare5/5
- E. Galbraith5/5
- J. McGlynn5/5
- L. Cisse5/5
- L. Graham5/5
- V. Johansson5/5
- E. Bocat4/5
- J. Devenny4/5
- B. Lawal2/5
Preston
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Devine5/5
- A. Hughes5/5
- D. Iversen5/5
- J. Storey5/5
- L. Leroy5/5
- A. Vukcevic4/5
- C. Lang4/5
- J. Thompson4/5
- O. Offiah4/5
- J. Kenny3/5
- S. Mills3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Norwich 3-2 WatfordOct 31, 2026
- Lincoln 1-3 BirminghamOct 31, 2026
- Bolton 2-3 Bristol CityOct 31, 2026
- Southampton 4-1 QPROct 31, 2026
- Wolves 3-0 CardiffOct 31, 2026
- West Ham 1-3 West BromOct 31, 2026
- Middlesbrough 3-0 CharltonOct 31, 2026
- Millwall 4-1 DerbyOct 31, 2026
- Swansea 4-0 BlackburnOct 31, 2026
- Burnley 0-0 PortsmouthOct 31, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Stoke City vs Preston prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Stoke City a 57% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Preston 19%. Stoke City are therefore favourites. Final score: 2-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Stoke City vs Preston?
1-0 (13.2%), followed by 1-1 (11.3%), 2-0 (11.2%), 2-1 (9.6%) and 0-0 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in Stoke City vs Preston?
The probability that both Stoke City and Preston score is 47%. Stoke City have a 42% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Preston 19%.
How many goals should we expect in Stoke City vs Preston?
The model expects 2.55 goals (1.69 for Stoke City, 0.86 for Preston). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 72%, over 2.5 goals 47%, over 3.5 goals 25%.
When and where is Stoke City vs Preston played?
Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 12:30 (UK time), Championship, matchday 13. Venue: bet365 Stadium, Stoke-On-Trent.
What form are Stoke City and Preston in?
Stoke City: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (7 scored, 5 conceded). Preston: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (4 scored, 12 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Stoke City and Preston?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Stoke City, 1 for Preston and 3 draws. The most recent ended Preston 3-1 Stoke City (Mar 20, 2026).
What was the Stoke City vs Preston result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Stoke City 2-0 Preston. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Stoke City at 57%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (11.2%), behind 1-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (47%): correct.
How is the Stoke City vs Preston prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.69 for Stoke City, 0.86 for Preston) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Stoke City predictions
- All Preston predictions
- Championship predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology