Championship· Kick-off : Saturday, October 31, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
West Ham vs West Brom: 1-3 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: West Ham 1-3 West Brom. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for West Ham (48%), while victory for West Brom was rated at only 31%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (3.8%), behind 2-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (72%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (73%): correct.
Match analysis
West Ham vs West Brom was played on Saturday, October 31, 2026 (Championship, matchday 13). Venue: London Stadium, London. Before kick-off, our model gave West Ham a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and West Brom 31%. The most likely correct score is 2-1 (8.4%), ahead of 1-1 (7.9%) and 2-2 (7.1%).
Over their last 5 matches, West Ham have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, West Brom have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average West Ham score 2.40 and concede 1.20 goals per game; West Brom score 1.20 and concede 1.20. In the table, West Ham sit 3rd with 22 points from 12 games, West Brom 5th with 21 points from 12. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, West Ham have averaged 1.83 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.97 for West Brom.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for West Ham, 1 for West Brom and 1 draw. The most recent ended West Brom 1-3 West Ham (May 19, 2021). West Ham out or doubtful: K. Mavropanos, K. Lamadrid (doubtful) and J. Veltman (doubtful). West Brom: T. Collyer, N. Galves and M. Johnston. In double chance terms, "West Ham or draw" stands at 69%, "West Brom or draw" at 52% and "no draw" at 79%.
In short : West Ham are favourites for this West Ham v West Brom, with a 48% win probability from our model. In the table, West Ham (3rd, 22 pts) host West Brom (5th, 21 pts). One to watch: West Ham will be without K. Mavropanos and K. Lamadrid.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as West Ham – West Brom. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (8.4%); the 5 scores below add up to 36% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| West Ham 2-1 West Brom | 8.4% |
| West Ham 1-1 West Brom | 7.9% |
| West Ham 2-2 West Brom | 7.1% |
| West Ham 1-2 West Brom | 6.7% |
| West Ham 3-1 West Brom | 5.9% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 3.82 goals in total (2.12 for West Ham, 1.70 for West Brom): over 2.5 goals has a 73% probability and both teams to score 72%. Everything points to an open game. West Ham keep a clean sheet in 18% of scenarios, West Brom in 12%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| West Ham expected goals | 2.12 |
| West Brom expected goals | 1.70 |
| Both teams to score | 72% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 89% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 53% |
| West Ham clean sheet | 18% |
| West Brom clean sheet | 12% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
West Ham
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Southampton · Championship | 2-3 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Swansea · Championship | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Lincoln · Championship | 6-0 | W |
| Oct 9, 2026 | QPR · Championship | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Millwall · Championship | 2-2 | D |
West Brom
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Preston · Championship | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Blackburn · Championship | 3-2 | W |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Wrexham · Championship | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Birmingham · Championship | 0-1 | L |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Wolves · Championship | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| West Ham | 3 | 22 | 12 |
| West Brom | 5 | 21 | 12 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 19, 2021 | West Brom 1-3 West Ham | Premier League |
| Jan 19, 2021 | West Ham 2-1 West Brom | Premier League |
| Jan 25, 2020 | West Ham 0-1 West Brom | FA Cup |
| Jan 2, 2018 | West Ham 2-1 West Brom | Premier League |
| Sep 16, 2017 | West Brom 0-0 West Ham | Premier League |
Out and doubtful
West Ham
- K. Mavropanos (out)
- K. Lamadrid (doubtful)
- J. Veltman (doubtful)
West Brom
- T. Collyer (out)
- N. Galves (out)
- M. Johnston (out)
Most regular starters
West Ham
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Engels5/5
- J. Bowen5/5
- K. Mavropanos5/5
- M. Hermansen5/5
- M. Kilman5/5
- M. Solomon5/5
- Morato5/5
- D. Mukasa4/5
- K. Walker-Peters3/5
- M. Kante3/5
- T. Castellanos3/5
West Brom
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Styles5/5
- M. O'Leary5/5
- B. Pereira4/5
- C. Mepham4/5
- G. Campbell4/5
- I. Price4/5
- J. Molumby4/5
- B. Stewart3/5
- H. Whitwell3/5
- J. Morgan3/5
- O. Diakite3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Stoke City 2-0 PrestonOct 31, 2026
- Norwich 3-2 WatfordOct 31, 2026
- Lincoln 1-3 BirminghamOct 31, 2026
- Bolton 2-3 Bristol CityOct 31, 2026
- Southampton 4-1 QPROct 31, 2026
- Wolves 3-0 CardiffOct 31, 2026
- Middlesbrough 3-0 CharltonOct 31, 2026
- Millwall 4-1 DerbyOct 31, 2026
- Swansea 4-0 BlackburnOct 31, 2026
- Burnley 0-0 PortsmouthOct 31, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the West Ham vs West Brom prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave West Ham a 48% chance of winning, the draw 21% and West Brom 31%. West Ham are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-3.
What is the most likely correct score for West Ham vs West Brom?
2-1 (8.4%), followed by 1-1 (7.9%), 2-2 (7.1%), 1-2 (6.7%) and 3-1 (5.9%).
Will both teams score in West Ham vs West Brom?
The probability that both West Ham and West Brom score is 72%. West Ham have a 18% chance of keeping a clean sheet, West Brom 12%.
How many goals should we expect in West Ham vs West Brom?
The model expects 3.82 goals (2.12 for West Ham, 1.70 for West Brom). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 89%, over 2.5 goals 73%, over 3.5 goals 53%.
When and where is West Ham vs West Brom played?
Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Championship, matchday 13. Venue: London Stadium, London.
What form are West Ham and West Brom in?
West Ham: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 6 conceded). West Brom: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between West Ham and West Brom?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for West Ham, 1 for West Brom and 1 draw. The most recent ended West Brom 1-3 West Ham (May 19, 2021).
What was the West Ham vs West Brom result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: West Ham 1-3 West Brom. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for West Ham (48%), while victory for West Brom was rated at only 31%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (3.8%), behind 2-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (72%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (73%): correct.
How is the West Ham vs West Brom prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.12 for West Ham, 1.70 for West Brom) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All West Ham predictions
- All West Brom predictions
- Championship predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology