Championship· Kick-off : Saturday, October 31, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Swansea vs Blackburn: 4-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Swansea 4-0 Blackburn. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Swansea was the model's favourite outcome (60%). The model considered this score unlikely (3.0%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.
Match analysis
Swansea vs Blackburn was played on Saturday, October 31, 2026 (Championship, matchday 13). Venue: Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea. Before kick-off, our model gave Swansea a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Blackburn 17%. The most likely correct score is 1-0 (13.1%), ahead of 2-0 (11.6%) and 1-1 (10.9%).
Over their last 5 matches, Swansea have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 8. Over their last 5 matches, Blackburn have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 9 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Swansea score 1.00 and concede 1.60 goals per game; Blackburn score 1.80 and concede 1.20. In the table, Swansea sit 2nd with 23 points from 12 games, Blackburn 11th with 18 points from 12. 9 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Swansea have averaged 1.41 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.04 for Blackburn.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for Swansea, 1 for Blackburn and 0 draws. The most recent ended Swansea 3-1 Blackburn (Jan 20, 2026). Swansea out or doubtful: C. Burgess, Ronald and M. K. Yeo. Blackburn: A. Forshaw, M. Litherland, L. Miller, S. Morsy (suspended) and R. Morishita (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Swansea or draw" stands at 83%, "Blackburn or draw" at 40% and "no draw" at 77%.
In short : Our model backs Swansea to edge Blackburn (60% probability). In the table, Swansea (2nd, 23 pts) host Blackburn (11th, 18 pts). Both teams could find the net (BTTS at 47%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Swansea – Blackburn. 1-0 is the single most likely scoreline (13.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 53% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Swansea 1-0 Blackburn | 13.1% |
| Swansea 2-0 Blackburn | 11.6% |
| Swansea 1-1 Blackburn | 10.9% |
| Swansea 2-1 Blackburn | 9.7% |
| Swansea 0-0 Blackburn | 7.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.60 goals in total (1.77 for Swansea, 0.83 for Blackburn): over 2.5 goals has a 48% probability and both teams to score 47%. Swansea keep a clean sheet in 44% of scenarios, Blackburn in 17%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Swansea expected goals | 1.77 |
| Blackburn expected goals | 0.83 |
| Both teams to score | 47% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 73% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 48% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 26% |
| Swansea clean sheet | 44% |
| Blackburn clean sheet | 17% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Swansea
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | QPR · Championship | 0-5 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | West Ham · Championship | 0-1 | L |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Millwall · Championship | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Norwich · Championship | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Lincoln · Championship | 2-1 | W |
Blackburn
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Wrexham · Championship | 2-0 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | West Brom · Championship | 2-3 | L |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bristol City · Championship | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Cardiff · Championship | 2-1 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Portsmouth · Championship | 2-2 | D |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Swansea | 2 | 23 | 12 |
| Blackburn | 11 | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 20, 2026 | Swansea 3-1 Blackburn | Championship |
| Sep 30, 2025 | Blackburn 1-2 Swansea | Championship |
| Feb 22, 2025 | Swansea 3-0 Blackburn | Championship |
| Oct 19, 2024 | Blackburn 1-0 Swansea | Championship |
| Mar 2, 2024 | Swansea 2-1 Blackburn | Championship |
Out and doubtful
Swansea
- C. Burgess (out)
- Ronald (out)
- M. K. Yeo (out)
Blackburn
- A. Forshaw (out)
- M. Litherland (out)
- L. Miller (out)
- S. Morsy (suspended)
- R. Morishita (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Swansea
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Cabango5/5
- J. Tymon5/5
- L. Vigouroux5/5
- A. Idah4/5
- F. Lissah4/5
- J. Opoku4/5
- M. K. Yeo4/5
- M. Stamenic4/5
- S. Welsh4/5
- E. Just3/5
- J. Fulton3/5
Blackburn
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- B. Toth5/5
- H. Pickering5/5
- O. Afolayan5/5
- R. Alebiosu5/5
- S. McLoughlin5/5
- S. Morsy5/5
- T. Cantwell5/5
- H. Carter4/5
- K. Montgomery4/5
- R. Morishita4/5
- A. Gudjohnsen3/5
Other matches in this competition
- Stoke City 2-0 PrestonOct 31, 2026
- Norwich 3-2 WatfordOct 31, 2026
- Lincoln 1-3 BirminghamOct 31, 2026
- Bolton 2-3 Bristol CityOct 31, 2026
- Southampton 4-1 QPROct 31, 2026
- Wolves 3-0 CardiffOct 31, 2026
- West Ham 1-3 West BromOct 31, 2026
- Middlesbrough 3-0 CharltonOct 31, 2026
- Millwall 4-1 DerbyOct 31, 2026
- Burnley 0-0 PortsmouthOct 31, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Swansea vs Blackburn prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Swansea a 60% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Blackburn 17%. Swansea are therefore favourites. Final score: 4-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Swansea vs Blackburn?
1-0 (13.1%), followed by 2-0 (11.6%), 1-1 (10.9%), 2-1 (9.7%) and 0-0 (7.4%).
Will both teams score in Swansea vs Blackburn?
The probability that both Swansea and Blackburn score is 47%. Swansea have a 44% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Blackburn 17%.
How many goals should we expect in Swansea vs Blackburn?
The model expects 2.60 goals (1.77 for Swansea, 0.83 for Blackburn). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 73%, over 2.5 goals 48%, over 3.5 goals 26%.
When and where is Swansea vs Blackburn played?
Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Championship, matchday 13. Venue: Swansea.com Stadium, Swansea.
What form are Swansea and Blackburn in?
Swansea: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 8 conceded). Blackburn: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Swansea and Blackburn?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 4 wins for Swansea, 1 for Blackburn and 0 draws. The most recent ended Swansea 3-1 Blackburn (Jan 20, 2026).
What was the Swansea vs Blackburn result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Swansea 4-0 Blackburn. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Swansea was the model's favourite outcome (60%). The model considered this score unlikely (3.0%). On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (47%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (48%): missed.
How is the Swansea vs Blackburn prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.77 for Swansea, 0.83 for Blackburn) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Swansea predictions
- All Blackburn predictions
- Championship predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology