Championship· Kick-off : Saturday, October 31, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Wolves vs Cardiff: 3-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Wolves 3-0 Cardiff. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Wolves at 49%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (3.8%), behind 2-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (70%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (72%): correct.
Match analysis
Wolves and Cardiff met on Saturday, October 31, 2026, a Championship, matchday 13 fixture. Venue: Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton. Before kick-off, our model gave Wolves a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cardiff 30%. On the correct score, 2-1 comes out on top (8.7%), followed by 1-1 (8.3%) and 2-2 (7.0%).
Over their last 5 matches, Wolves have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 5 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Cardiff have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 12 and conceding 6. Cardiff therefore arrive in far better shape than Wolves. On average Wolves score 1.00 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Cardiff score 2.40 and concede 1.20. In the table, Wolves sit 4th with 21 points from 12 games, Cardiff 16th with 14 points from 12. 12 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Wolves have averaged 1.57 xG (expected goals) per match, against 2.15 for Cardiff.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Wolves, 2 for Cardiff and 0 draws. The most recent ended Wolves 2-0 Cardiff (Mar 2, 2019). Cardiff: C. Chambers, D. Lawlor and R. Colwill (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Wolves or draw" stands at 70%, "Cardiff or draw" at 51% and "no draw" at 79%.
In short : Wolves are tipped by our AI model in this Wolves v Cardiff (49%). On recent form, Wolves have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in 5 while Cardiff have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5. Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Wolves – Cardiff. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (8.7%); the 5 scores below add up to 37% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Wolves 2-1 Cardiff | 8.7% |
| Wolves 1-1 Cardiff | 8.3% |
| Wolves 2-2 Cardiff | 7.0% |
| Wolves 1-2 Cardiff | 6.7% |
| Wolves 3-1 Cardiff | 6.1% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.09 expected goals for Wolves and 1.61 for Cardiff, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 72% and "both teams to score" at 70%. Goals look likely in this one. Wolves keep a clean sheet in 20% of scenarios, Cardiff in 12%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Wolves expected goals | 2.09 |
| Cardiff expected goals | 1.61 |
| Both teams to score | 70% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 88% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 72% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 51% |
| Wolves clean sheet | 20% |
| Cardiff clean sheet | 12% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Wolves
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Watford · Championship | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Portsmouth · Championship | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Burnley · Championship | 2-1 | W |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Bolton · Championship | 1-3 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Middlesbrough · Championship | 0-1 | L |
Cardiff
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Birmingham · Championship | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Middlesbrough · Championship | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Watford · Championship | 5-1 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Blackburn · Championship | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Charlton · Championship | 3-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Wolves | 4 | 21 | 12 |
| Cardiff | 16 | 14 | 12 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 2, 2019 | Wolves 2-0 Cardiff | Premier League |
| Nov 30, 2018 | Cardiff 2-1 Wolves | Premier League |
| Apr 6, 2018 | Cardiff 0-1 Wolves | Championship |
| Aug 19, 2017 | Wolves 1-2 Cardiff | Championship |
| Apr 1, 2017 | Wolves 3-1 Cardiff | Championship |
Out and doubtful
Wolves
No absences reported.
Cardiff
- C. Chambers (out)
- D. Lawlor (out)
- R. Colwill (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Wolves
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- Andre5/5
- J. Sa5/5
- H. Bueno4/5
- M. Munetsi4/5
- N. Djiga4/5
- A. Armstrong3/5
- F. Lopez3/5
- J. Bellegarde3/5
- K. Trippier3/5
- L. Krejci3/5
- M. Mane3/5
Cardiff
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Robertson5/5
- J. Bagan5/5
- J. Colwill5/5
- J. Moylan5/5
- N. Trott5/5
- O. Tanner5/5
- C. Ashford4/5
- G. Osho4/5
- P. Ng4/5
- C. Willock3/5
- D. Lawlor2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Stoke City 2-0 PrestonOct 31, 2026
- Norwich 3-2 WatfordOct 31, 2026
- Lincoln 1-3 BirminghamOct 31, 2026
- Bolton 2-3 Bristol CityOct 31, 2026
- Southampton 4-1 QPROct 31, 2026
- West Ham 1-3 West BromOct 31, 2026
- Middlesbrough 3-0 CharltonOct 31, 2026
- Millwall 4-1 DerbyOct 31, 2026
- Swansea 4-0 BlackburnOct 31, 2026
- Burnley 0-0 PortsmouthOct 31, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Wolves vs Cardiff prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Wolves a 49% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cardiff 30%. Wolves are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Wolves vs Cardiff?
2-1 (8.7%), followed by 1-1 (8.3%), 2-2 (7.0%), 1-2 (6.7%) and 3-1 (6.1%).
Will both teams score in Wolves vs Cardiff?
The probability that both Wolves and Cardiff score is 70%. Wolves have a 20% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Cardiff 12%.
How many goals should we expect in Wolves vs Cardiff?
The model expects 3.70 goals (2.09 for Wolves, 1.61 for Cardiff). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 88%, over 2.5 goals 72%, over 3.5 goals 51%.
When and where is Wolves vs Cardiff played?
Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Championship, matchday 13. Venue: Molineux Stadium, Wolverhampton.
What form are Wolves and Cardiff in?
Wolves: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded). Cardiff: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (12 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Wolves and Cardiff?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Wolves, 2 for Cardiff and 0 draws. The most recent ended Wolves 2-0 Cardiff (Mar 2, 2019).
What was the Wolves vs Cardiff result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Wolves 3-0 Cardiff. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Wolves at 49%. The final score ranked 10th among the most likely scorelines (3.8%), behind 2-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (70%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (72%): correct.
How is the Wolves vs Cardiff prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.09 for Wolves, 1.61 for Cardiff) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Wolves predictions
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