Championship· Kick-off : Saturday, October 31, 2026, 15:00 (UK time)
Middlesbrough vs Charlton: 3-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Middlesbrough 3-0 Charlton. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Middlesbrough was the model's favourite outcome (89%). The exact score 3-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (7.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (58%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (87%): correct.
Match analysis
Middlesbrough vs Charlton was played on Saturday, October 31, 2026 (Championship, matchday 13). Venue: Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough. Before kick-off, our model gave Middlesbrough a 89% chance of winning, the draw 7% and Charlton 4%. The most likely correct score is 3-0 (7.9%), ahead of 4-0 (7.9%) and 3-1 (7.1%).
Middlesbrough are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (3 wins, 2 draws), scoring 13 and conceding 7. Charlton have not won any of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 3 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 11. Recent momentum is clearly with Middlesbrough. On average Middlesbrough score 2.60 and concede 1.40 goals per game; Charlton score 1.00 and concede 2.20. In the table, Middlesbrough sit 1st with 25 points from 12 games, Charlton 19th with 14 points from 12. 18 places separate the two sides. Over their recent games, Middlesbrough have averaged 2.60 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.48 for Charlton.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Middlesbrough, 2 for Charlton and 0 draws. The most recent ended Middlesbrough 0-1 Charlton (Mar 11, 2026). Middlesbrough out or doubtful: A. Jones, R. Pukstas (doubtful) and D. Strelec (doubtful). Charlton: R. Apter, C. Sichenje, N. Chalobah (doubtful) and M. Godden (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Middlesbrough or draw" stands at 96%, "Charlton or draw" at 11% and "no draw" at 93%.
In short : Middlesbrough are tipped by our AI model in this Middlesbrough v Charlton (89%). In the table, Middlesbrough (1st, 25 pts) host Charlton (19th, 14 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 3-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Middlesbrough – Charlton. 3-0 is the single most likely scoreline (7.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 36% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Middlesbrough 3-0 Charlton | 7.9% |
| Middlesbrough 4-0 Charlton | 7.9% |
| Middlesbrough 3-1 Charlton | 7.1% |
| Middlesbrough 4-1 Charlton | 7.1% |
| Middlesbrough 5-0 Charlton | 6.4% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 4.90 goals in total (4.00 for Middlesbrough, 0.90 for Charlton): over 2.5 goals has a 87% probability and both teams to score 58%. Everything points to an open game. Middlesbrough keep a clean sheet in 41% of scenarios, Charlton in 2%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Middlesbrough expected goals | 4.00 |
| Charlton expected goals | 0.90 |
| Both teams to score | 58% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 96% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 87% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 72% |
| Middlesbrough clean sheet | 41% |
| Charlton clean sheet | 2% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Middlesbrough
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2026 | Bolton · Championship | 5-1 | W |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Cardiff · Championship | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Stoke City · Championship | 3-2 | W |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Wolves · Championship | 1-0 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Birmingham · Championship | 2-2 | D |
Charlton
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Norwich · Championship | 1-3 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Watford · Championship | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Burnley · Championship | 2-2 | D |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Bristol City · Championship | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cardiff · Championship | 1-3 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Middlesbrough | 1 | 25 | 12 |
| Charlton | 19 | 14 | 12 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 11, 2026 | Middlesbrough 0-1 Charlton | Championship |
| Dec 9, 2025 | Charlton 1-2 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Mar 7, 2020 | Charlton 0-1 Middlesbrough | Championship |
| Dec 7, 2019 | Middlesbrough 1-0 Charlton | Championship |
| Mar 13, 2016 | Charlton 2-0 Middlesbrough | Championship |
Out and doubtful
Middlesbrough
- A. Jones (out)
- R. Pukstas (doubtful)
- D. Strelec (doubtful)
Charlton
- R. Apter (out)
- C. Sichenje (out)
- N. Chalobah (doubtful)
- M. Godden (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Middlesbrough
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Cozier-Duberry5/5
- A. Malanda5/5
- A. Morris5/5
- A. Phillips5/5
- C. Brittain5/5
- R. Vitek5/5
- Neto Borges4/5
- R. McGree4/5
- W. Lankshear4/5
- L. Ayling3/5
- S. Berhalter3/5
Charlton
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Okonkwo5/5
- C. Coventry5/5
- K. Grant5/5
- L. Jones5/5
- T. Campbell5/5
- B. Koumetio4/5
- D. McNamara4/5
- M. Leaburn4/5
- O. Skipp4/5
- K. Ramsay3/5
- I. Mesik2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Stoke City 2-0 PrestonOct 31, 2026
- Norwich 3-2 WatfordOct 31, 2026
- Lincoln 1-3 BirminghamOct 31, 2026
- Bolton 2-3 Bristol CityOct 31, 2026
- Southampton 4-1 QPROct 31, 2026
- Wolves 3-0 CardiffOct 31, 2026
- West Ham 1-3 West BromOct 31, 2026
- Millwall 4-1 DerbyOct 31, 2026
- Swansea 4-0 BlackburnOct 31, 2026
- Burnley 0-0 PortsmouthOct 31, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Middlesbrough vs Charlton prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Middlesbrough a 89% chance of winning, the draw 7% and Charlton 4%. Middlesbrough are therefore favourites. Final score: 3-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Middlesbrough vs Charlton?
3-0 (7.9%), followed by 4-0 (7.9%), 3-1 (7.1%), 4-1 (7.1%) and 5-0 (6.4%).
Will both teams score in Middlesbrough vs Charlton?
The probability that both Middlesbrough and Charlton score is 58%. Middlesbrough have a 41% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Charlton 2%.
How many goals should we expect in Middlesbrough vs Charlton?
The model expects 4.90 goals (4.00 for Middlesbrough, 0.90 for Charlton). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 96%, over 2.5 goals 87%, over 3.5 goals 72%.
When and where is Middlesbrough vs Charlton played?
Saturday, October 31, 2026 at 15:00 (UK time), Championship, matchday 13. Venue: Riverside Stadium, Middlesbrough.
What form are Middlesbrough and Charlton in?
Middlesbrough: 3 wins, 2 draws and 0 defeats in their last 5 matches (13 scored, 7 conceded). Charlton: 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 11 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Middlesbrough and Charlton?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 3 wins for Middlesbrough, 2 for Charlton and 0 draws. The most recent ended Middlesbrough 0-1 Charlton (Mar 11, 2026).
What was the Middlesbrough vs Charlton result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Middlesbrough 3-0 Charlton. The 1X2 prediction came good: victory for Middlesbrough was the model's favourite outcome (89%). The exact score 3-0 was the most likely scoreline in our grid (7.9%). On goals, the model expected both teams to score (58%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (87%): correct.
How is the Middlesbrough vs Charlton prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (4.00 for Middlesbrough, 0.90 for Charlton) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Middlesbrough predictions
- All Charlton predictions
- Championship predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology