Championship· Kick-off : Friday, October 30, 2026, 20:00 (UK time)
Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham: 1-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Sheffield Utd 1-0 Wrexham. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Sheffield Utd at 58%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (8.6%), behind 2-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (59%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (61%): missed.
Match analysis
Sheffield Utd and Wrexham met on Friday, October 30, 2026, a Championship, matchday 13 fixture. Venue: Bramall Lane, Sheffield. Before kick-off, our model gave Sheffield Utd a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Wrexham 21%. On the correct score, 2-1 comes out on top (9.9%), followed by 1-1 (9.7%) and 2-0 (8.7%).
Over their last 5 matches, Sheffield Utd have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Wrexham have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 7. Both sides come in with similar form. On average Sheffield Utd score 1.60 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Wrexham score 1.60 and concede 1.40. In the table, Sheffield Utd sit 12th with 16 points from 12 games, Wrexham 17th with 14 points from 12. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Sheffield Utd have averaged 1.70 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.35 for Wrexham.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Sheffield Utd, 2 for Wrexham and 1 draw. The most recent ended Sheffield Utd 1-2 Wrexham (Mar 21, 2026). Sheffield Utd out or doubtful: M. Doherty, R. One, J. Shackleton and P. Bamford (doubtful). Wrexham: N. Broadhead, L. Cacace, M. Cleworth, J. Windass, S. Revan (doubtful) and G. Thomason (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Sheffield Utd or draw" stands at 79%, "Wrexham or draw" at 42% and "no draw" at 79%.
In short : Our model backs Sheffield Utd to edge Wrexham (58% probability). In the table, Sheffield Utd (12th, 16 pts) host Wrexham (17th, 14 pts). The model expects goals (over 2.5 at 61%).
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Sheffield Utd – Wrexham. 2-1 is the single most likely scoreline (9.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 44% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd 2-1 Wrexham | 9.9% |
| Sheffield Utd 1-1 Wrexham | 9.7% |
| Sheffield Utd 2-0 Wrexham | 8.7% |
| Sheffield Utd 1-0 Wrexham | 8.6% |
| Sheffield Utd 3-1 Wrexham | 6.7% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.04 expected goals for Sheffield Utd and 1.13 for Wrexham, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 61% and "both teams to score" at 59%. Goals look likely in this one. Sheffield Utd keep a clean sheet in 32% of scenarios, Wrexham in 13%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd expected goals | 2.04 |
| Wrexham expected goals | 1.13 |
| Both teams to score | 59% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 83% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 61% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 39% |
| Sheffield Utd clean sheet | 32% |
| Wrexham clean sheet | 13% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Sheffield Utd
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Derby · Championship | 1-1 | D |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bristol City · Championship | 1-0 | W |
| Oct 14, 2026 | Portsmouth · Championship | 2-3 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lincoln · Championship | 3-0 | W |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Stoke City · Championship | 1-2 | L |
Wrexham
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 24, 2026 | Blackburn · Championship | 0-2 | L |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Preston · Championship | 4-1 | W |
| Oct 13, 2026 | West Brom · Championship | 1-2 | L |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Derby · Championship | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Southampton · Championship | 2-1 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sheffield Utd | 12 | 16 | 12 |
| Wrexham | 17 | 14 | 12 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Sheffield Utd 1-2 Wrexham | Championship |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Wrexham 5-3 Sheffield Utd | Championship |
| Aug 13, 2024 | Sheffield Utd 4-2 Wrexham | EFL Cup |
| Feb 7, 2023 | Sheffield Utd 3-1 Wrexham | FA Cup |
| Jan 29, 2023 | Wrexham 3-3 Sheffield Utd | FA Cup |
Out and doubtful
Sheffield Utd
- M. Doherty (out)
- R. One (out)
- J. Shackleton (out)
- P. Bamford (doubtful)
Wrexham
- N. Broadhead (out)
- L. Cacace (out)
- M. Cleworth (out)
- J. Windass (out)
- S. Revan (doubtful)
- G. Thomason (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Sheffield Utd
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- J. Tanganga5/5
- L. Kitching5/5
- M. Cooper5/5
- B. Brereton Diaz4/5
- H. Choudhury4/5
- P. Bamford4/5
- T. Cannon4/5
- T. Chong4/5
- K. Phillips3/5
- O. Arblaster3/5
- S. Peck3/5
Wrexham
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Patterson5/5
- B. Whiteman5/5
- C. O'Hare5/5
- D. Hyam5/5
- J. Ekomie5/5
- K. Moore5/5
- C. Doyle4/5
- I. Kabore4/5
- J. Worrall3/5
- Z. Vyner3/5
- J. Windass2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Stoke City 2-0 PrestonOct 31, 2026
- Norwich 3-2 WatfordOct 31, 2026
- Lincoln 1-3 BirminghamOct 31, 2026
- Bolton 2-3 Bristol CityOct 31, 2026
- Southampton 4-1 QPROct 31, 2026
- Wolves 3-0 CardiffOct 31, 2026
- West Ham 1-3 West BromOct 31, 2026
- Middlesbrough 3-0 CharltonOct 31, 2026
- Millwall 4-1 DerbyOct 31, 2026
- Swansea 4-0 BlackburnOct 31, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Sheffield Utd a 58% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Wrexham 21%. Sheffield Utd are therefore favourites. Final score: 1-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham?
2-1 (9.9%), followed by 1-1 (9.7%), 2-0 (8.7%), 1-0 (8.6%) and 3-1 (6.7%).
Will both teams score in Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham?
The probability that both Sheffield Utd and Wrexham score is 59%. Sheffield Utd have a 32% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Wrexham 13%.
How many goals should we expect in Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham?
The model expects 3.17 goals (2.04 for Sheffield Utd, 1.13 for Wrexham). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 83%, over 2.5 goals 61%, over 3.5 goals 39%.
When and where is Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham played?
Friday, October 30, 2026 at 20:00 (UK time), Championship, matchday 13. Venue: Bramall Lane, Sheffield.
What form are Sheffield Utd and Wrexham in?
Sheffield Utd: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 6 conceded). Wrexham: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 7 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Sheffield Utd and Wrexham?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 2 wins for Sheffield Utd, 2 for Wrexham and 1 draw. The most recent ended Sheffield Utd 1-2 Wrexham (Mar 21, 2026).
What was the Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Sheffield Utd 1-0 Wrexham. The AI called the outcome correctly: it rated victory for Sheffield Utd at 58%. The final score ranked 4th among the most likely scorelines (8.6%), behind 2-1. On goals, the model expected both teams to score (59%): missed; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (61%): missed.
How is the Sheffield Utd vs Wrexham prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.04 for Sheffield Utd, 1.13 for Wrexham) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Sheffield Utd predictions
- All Wrexham predictions
- Championship predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology