Championship· Kick-off : Sunday, October 11, 2026, 12:00 (UK time)
Southampton vs Portsmouth prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Southampton take on Portsmouth on Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 12:00 (UK time), a Championship, matchday 9 fixture. Venue: St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton. Our model makes Southampton clear favourites: a 62% chance of winning, against 22% for the draw and 16% for Portsmouth.
Over their last 5 matches, Southampton have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 6. Portsmouth have won just one of their last 5 matches (2 draws, 2 defeats), scoring 5 and conceding 6. Southampton therefore arrive in far better shape than Portsmouth. On average Southampton score 2.00 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Portsmouth score 1.00 and concede 1.20. In the table, Southampton sit 16th with 10 points from 8 games, Portsmouth 19th with 8 points from 7. The two teams are close in the standings. Over their recent games, Southampton have averaged 1.08 xG (expected goals) per match, against 1.10 for Portsmouth.
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Southampton, 0 for Portsmouth and 4 draws. The most recent ended Portsmouth 1-1 Southampton (Jan 25, 2026). Southampton out or doubtful: C. Jander (doubtful). Portsmouth: L. Brooke-Smith, M. Kosznovszky, J. Murphy, C. Ogilvie, F. Umeh, T. Waddingham, K. Anderson (doubtful) and Marezi (doubtful). In double chance terms, "Southampton or draw" stands at 84%, "Portsmouth or draw" at 38% and "no draw" at 78%.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Exact score and goal markets 🔒
The most likely exact score, the top 5 scorelines, expected goals and the both-teams-to-score and over/under probabilities are part of the full prediction. They will be published here as a review once the match is over.
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Southampton
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Wrexham · Championship | 1-2 | L |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Bristol City · Championship | 4-1 | W |
| Sep 8, 2026 | Swansea · Championship | 3-1 | W |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Lincoln · Championship | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Birmingham · Championship | 1-1 | D |
Portsmouth
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 19, 2026 | Blackburn · Championship | 2-2 | D |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Charlton · Championship | 0-0 | D |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Cardiff · Championship | 2-0 | W |
| Sep 1, 2026 | Derby · Championship | 0-2 | L |
| Aug 29, 2026 | Bristol City · Championship | 1-2 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton | 16 | 10 | 8 |
| Portsmouth | 19 | 8 | 7 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2026 | Portsmouth 1-1 Southampton | Championship |
| Sep 14, 2025 | Southampton 0-0 Portsmouth | Championship |
| Sep 24, 2019 | Portsmouth 0-4 Southampton | EFL Cup |
| Apr 7, 2012 | Southampton 2-2 Portsmouth | Championship |
| Dec 18, 2011 | Portsmouth 1-1 Southampton | Championship |
Out and doubtful
Southampton
- C. Jander (doubtful)
Portsmouth
- L. Brooke-Smith (out)
- M. Kosznovszky (out)
- J. Murphy (out)
- C. Ogilvie (out)
- F. Umeh (out)
- T. Waddingham (out)
- K. Anderson (doubtful)
- Marezi (doubtful)
Most regular starters
Southampton
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- C. Larin5/5
- F. Azaz5/5
- F. Downes5/5
- J. Bree5/5
- K. Schlotterbeck5/5
- D. Peretz4/5
- J. Ward-Prowse4/5
- L. Scienza4/5
- R. Manning4/5
- K. Matsuki3/5
- N. Wood3/5
Portsmouth
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Kamara5/5
- A. Segecic5/5
- M. Pack5/5
- B. Arthur4/5
- C. Shaughnessy4/5
- D. Bielica4/5
- R. R. Shein4/5
- T. Devlin4/5
- J. Meghoma3/5
- R. Kavuma McQueen3/5
- T. Shade3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
- Swansea 2-1 NorwichOct 10, 2026
- West Brom 0-1 BirminghamOct 10, 2026
- Charlton 1-1 Bristol CityOct 10, 2026
- Preston 0-1 MillwallOct 10, 2026
- Sheffield Utd 3-0 LincolnOct 10, 2026
- Derby 1-1 WrexhamOct 10, 2026
- Middlesbrough 1-0 WolvesOct 10, 2026
- Blackburn 2-1 CardiffOct 10, 2026
- Bolton 1-2 Stoke CityOct 10, 2026
- Watford 0-4 BurnleyOct 10, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Southampton vs Portsmouth prediction?
Our AI gives Southampton a 62% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Portsmouth 16%. Southampton are therefore favourites.
When and where is Southampton vs Portsmouth played?
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 12:00 (UK time), Championship, matchday 9. Venue: St. Mary's Stadium, Southampton.
What form are Southampton and Portsmouth in?
Southampton: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 6 conceded). Portsmouth: 1 win, 2 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Southampton and Portsmouth?
In the last 5 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 1 win for Southampton, 0 for Portsmouth and 4 draws. The most recent ended Portsmouth 1-1 Southampton (Jan 25, 2026).
Go further
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