UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 1, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Azerbaijan 0-0 Liechtenstein. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Azerbaijan (84%), while a draw was rated at only 12%. The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (5.2%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (30%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (57%): missed.
Match analysis
Azerbaijan and Liechtenstein met on Thursday, October 1, 2026, a UEFA Nations League fixture. Venue: Tofiq Bəhramov, Baku. Before kick-off, our model gave Azerbaijan a 84% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Liechtenstein 4%. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (17.0%), followed by 3-0 (14.5%) and 1-0 (13.3%).
Over their last 5 matches, Azerbaijan have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 5 and conceding 5. Liechtenstein have not won any of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 5 defeats), scoring 1 and conceding 12. Azerbaijan therefore arrive in far better shape than Liechtenstein. On average Azerbaijan score 1.00 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Liechtenstein score 0.20 and concede 2.40. In the table, Azerbaijan sit 2nd with 1 points from 1 games, Liechtenstein 3rd with 0 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Azerbaijan and Liechtenstein: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Azerbaijan or draw" stands at 96%, "Liechtenstein or draw" at 16% and "no draw" at 88%.
In short : Azerbaijan are favourites for this Azerbaijan v Liechtenstein, with a 84% win probability from our model. In the table, Azerbaijan (2nd, 1 pts) host Liechtenstein (3rd, 0 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Azerbaijan – Liechtenstein. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (17.0%); the 5 scores below add up to 61% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Azerbaijan 2-0 Liechtenstein | 17.0% |
| Azerbaijan 3-0 Liechtenstein | 14.5% |
| Azerbaijan 1-0 Liechtenstein | 13.3% |
| Azerbaijan 4-0 Liechtenstein | 9.3% |
| Azerbaijan 2-1 Liechtenstein | 6.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.56 expected goals for Azerbaijan and 0.40 for Liechtenstein, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 57% and "both teams to score" at 30%. Azerbaijan keep a clean sheet in 67% of scenarios, Liechtenstein in 8%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Azerbaijan expected goals | 2.56 |
| Liechtenstein expected goals | 0.40 |
| Both teams to score | 30% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 80% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 57% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 34% |
| Azerbaijan clean sheet | 67% |
| Liechtenstein clean sheet | 8% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Azerbaijan
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Lithuania · UEFA Nations League | 1-1 | D |
| Sep 23, 2026 | Tajikistan · International Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Jun 9, 2026 | San Marino · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Malta · International Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Sierra Leone · FIFA Series | 1-1 | D |
Liechtenstein
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Malta · International Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Lithuania · UEFA Nations League | 0-2 | L |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Cyprus · International Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Andorra · International Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Aruba · FIFA Series | 1-4 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Azerbaijan | 2 | 1 | 1 |
| Liechtenstein | 3 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Azerbaijan and Liechtenstein: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Azerbaijan
No absences reported.
Liechtenstein
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Azerbaijan
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- R. Dadashov3/5
- Aleksey Isayev2/5
- E. Mahmudov2/5
- Elvin Badalov2/5
- Emil Balayev2/5
- R. Abbasov2/5
- Toral Bayramov2/5
- A. Bayramov1/5
- A. Guseynov1/5
- A. Isaev1/5
- A. Isayev1/5
Liechtenstein
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- L. Traber5/5
- M. Goppel5/5
- A. Hasler4/5
- J. Hofer4/5
- L. Meier4/5
- M. Buchel4/5
- A. Sele3/5
- F. Saglam3/5
- J. Ospelt3/5
- N. Hasler3/5
- E. Zund2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Denmark 2-4 PortugalOct 1, 2026
- Malta 1-1 GibraltarOct 1, 2026
- Israel 0-0 KosovoOct 1, 2026
- Greece 2-2 NetherlandsOct 1, 2026
- Ireland 2-2 AustriaOct 1, 2026
- Germany 2-0 SerbiaOct 1, 2026
- Wales 2-1 NorwayOct 1, 2026
- Kazakhstan 1-2 MoldovaOct 2, 2026
- Cyprus 2-0 ArmeniaOct 2, 2026
- Latvia 1-2 MontenegroOct 2, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Azerbaijan a 84% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Liechtenstein 4%. Azerbaijan are therefore favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein?
2-0 (17.0%), followed by 3-0 (14.5%), 1-0 (13.3%), 4-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (6.8%).
Will both teams score in Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein?
The probability that both Azerbaijan and Liechtenstein score is 30%. Azerbaijan have a 67% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Liechtenstein 8%.
How many goals should we expect in Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein?
The model expects 2.96 goals (2.56 for Azerbaijan, 0.40 for Liechtenstein). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 80%, over 2.5 goals 57%, over 3.5 goals 34%.
When and where is Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein played?
Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Nations League. Venue: Tofiq Bəhramov, Baku.
What form are Azerbaijan and Liechtenstein in?
Azerbaijan: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (5 scored, 5 conceded). Liechtenstein: 0 wins, 0 draws and 5 defeats in their last 5 matches (1 scored, 12 conceded).
What was the Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Azerbaijan 0-0 Liechtenstein. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Azerbaijan (84%), while a draw was rated at only 12%. The final score ranked 8th among the most likely scorelines (5.2%), behind 2-0. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (30%): correct; it pointed to over 2.5 goals (57%): missed.
How is the Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.56 for Azerbaijan, 0.40 for Liechtenstein) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Azerbaijan predictions
- All Liechtenstein predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology