UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 1, 2026, 17:00 (UK time)
Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
Azerbaijan take on Liechtenstein on Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), a UEFA Nations League fixture. Our model makes Azerbaijan clear favourites: a 74% chance of winning, against 16% for the draw and 10% for Liechtenstein. On the correct score, 2-0 comes out on top (12.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.0%) and 3-0 (10.1%).
Over their last 5 matches, Azerbaijan have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat, scoring 10 and conceding 5. Liechtenstein have won just one of their last 5 matches (0 draws, 4 defeats), scoring 2 and conceding 10. Azerbaijan therefore arrive in far better shape than Liechtenstein. On average Azerbaijan score 2.00 and concede 1.00 goals per game; Liechtenstein score 0.40 and concede 2.00.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Azerbaijan and Liechtenstein: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Azerbaijan or draw" stands at 90%, "Liechtenstein or draw" at 26% and "no draw" at 84%.
In short : Azerbaijan are favourites for this Azerbaijan v Liechtenstein, with a 74% win probability from our model. On recent form, Azerbaijan have 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in 5 while Liechtenstein are struggling (4 losses in 5). Our model's most likely scoreline: 2-0.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Azerbaijan – Liechtenstein. 2-0 is the single most likely scoreline (12.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 51% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Azerbaijan 2-0 Liechtenstein | 12.9% |
| Azerbaijan 1-0 Liechtenstein | 11.0% |
| Azerbaijan 3-0 Liechtenstein | 10.1% |
| Azerbaijan 2-1 Liechtenstein | 9.2% |
| Azerbaijan 1-1 Liechtenstein | 7.8% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
With 2.35 expected goals for Azerbaijan and 0.71 for Liechtenstein, "over 2.5 goals" is rated at 59% and "both teams to score" at 46%. Goals look likely in this one. Azerbaijan keep a clean sheet in 49% of scenarios, Liechtenstein in 10%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Azerbaijan expected goals | 2.35 |
| Liechtenstein expected goals | 0.71 |
| Both teams to score | 46% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 81% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 59% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 37% |
| Azerbaijan clean sheet | 49% |
| Liechtenstein clean sheet | 10% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Azerbaijan
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 2026 | Tajikistan · International Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Jun 9, 2026 | San Marino · International Friendlies | 2-1 | W |
| Jun 5, 2026 | Malta · International Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
| Mar 30, 2026 | Sierra Leone · FIFA Series | 1-1 | D |
| Mar 27, 2026 | St. Lucia · FIFA Series | 6-1 | W |
Liechtenstein
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Lithuania · UEFA Nations League | 0-2 | L |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Cyprus · International Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
| Jun 4, 2026 | Andorra · International Friendlies | 0-2 | L |
| Mar 29, 2026 | Aruba · FIFA Series | 1-4 | L |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Tanzania · FIFA Series | 1-0 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Azerbaijan | 2 | 0 | 0 |
| Liechtenstein | 3 | 0 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Azerbaijan and Liechtenstein: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Azerbaijan
No absences reported.
Liechtenstein
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Azerbaijan
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- E. Badalov4/5
- E. Mahmudov4/5
- A. Isayev3/5
- B. Huseynov3/5
- E. Cafarquliyev3/5
- E. Safarov3/5
- M. Qurbanly3/5
- Q. Aliyev3/5
- R. Dadashov3/5
- R. Dashdamirov3/5
- A. Krivotsyuk2/5
Liechtenstein
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Hasler5/5
- L. Traber5/5
- M. Goppel5/5
- A. Sele4/5
- F. Saglam4/5
- J. Hofer4/5
- L. Meier4/5
- E. Zund3/5
- F. Luque-Notaro3/5
- M. Buchel3/5
- N. Hasler3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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- Malta – GibraltarOct 1, 2026
- Israel – KosovoOct 1, 2026
- Greece – NetherlandsOct 1, 2026
- Ireland – AustriaOct 1, 2026
- Germany – SerbiaOct 1, 2026
- Wales – NorwayOct 1, 2026
- Kazakhstan – MoldovaOct 2, 2026
- Cyprus – ArmeniaOct 2, 2026
- Latvia – MontenegroOct 2, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein prediction?
Our AI gives Azerbaijan a 74% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Liechtenstein 10%. Azerbaijan are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein?
2-0 (12.9%), followed by 1-0 (11.0%), 3-0 (10.1%), 2-1 (9.2%) and 1-1 (7.8%).
Will both teams score in Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein?
The probability that both Azerbaijan and Liechtenstein score is 46%. Azerbaijan have a 49% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Liechtenstein 10%.
How many goals should we expect in Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein?
The model expects 3.06 goals (2.35 for Azerbaijan, 0.71 for Liechtenstein). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 81%, over 2.5 goals 59%, over 3.5 goals 37%.
When and where is Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein played?
Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 17:00 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.
What form are Azerbaijan and Liechtenstein in?
Azerbaijan: 3 wins, 1 draw and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (10 scored, 5 conceded). Liechtenstein: 1 win, 0 draws and 4 defeats in their last 5 matches (2 scored, 10 conceded).
How is the Azerbaijan vs Liechtenstein prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (2.35 for Azerbaijan, 0.71 for Liechtenstein) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Azerbaijan predictions
- All Liechtenstein predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology