UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 1, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Israel vs Kosovo: 0-0 result and AI prediction review
Review: prediction vs result
Final score: Israel 0-0 Kosovo. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Kosovo (42%), while a draw was rated at only 28%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (10.4%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (39%): correct.
Match analysis
Israel vs Kosovo was played on Thursday, October 1, 2026 (UEFA Nations League). Venue: Nagyerdei Stadion, Debrecen. Before kick-off, our model gave Israel a 29% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Kosovo 42%. The most likely correct score is 0-1 (13.1%), ahead of 1-1 (13.1%) and 0-0 (10.4%).
Over their last 5 matches, Israel have 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats, scoring 8 and conceding 9. Over their last 5 matches, Kosovo have 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats, scoring 6 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Israel score 1.60 and concede 1.80 goals per game; Kosovo score 1.20 and concede 1.20. In the table, Israel sit 4th with 0 points from 2 games, Kosovo 2nd with 3 points from 2. The two teams are close in the standings.
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Israel, 1 for Kosovo and 1 draw. The most recent ended Kosovo 1-0 Israel (Nov 12, 2023). In double chance terms, "Israel or draw" stands at 58%, "Kosovo or draw" at 71% and "no draw" at 72%.
In short : Kosovo are favourites for this Israel v Kosovo, with a 42% win probability from our model. In the table, Israel (4th, 0 pts) host Kosovo (2nd, 3 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Israel – Kosovo. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (13.1%); the 5 scores below add up to 55% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Israel 0-1 Kosovo | 13.1% |
| Israel 1-1 Kosovo | 13.1% |
| Israel 0-0 Kosovo | 10.4% |
| Israel 1-0 Kosovo | 10.4% |
| Israel 0-2 Kosovo | 8.3% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.26 goals in total (1.00 for Israel, 1.26 for Kosovo): over 2.5 goals has a 39% probability and both teams to score 45%. A tight, low-scoring game is on the cards. Israel keep a clean sheet in 28% of scenarios, Kosovo in 37%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Israel expected goals | 1.00 |
| Kosovo expected goals | 1.26 |
| Both teams to score | 45% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 66% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 39% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 19% |
| Israel clean sheet | 28% |
| Kosovo clean sheet | 37% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Israel
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Ireland · UEFA Nations League | 0-3 | L |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Austria · UEFA Nations League | 1-3 | L |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Albania · International Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Georgia · International Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Moldova · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 4-1 | W |
Kosovo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2026 | Austria · UEFA Nations League | 1-3 | L |
| Sep 24, 2026 | Ireland · UEFA Nations League | 1-0 | W |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Andorra · International Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| May 31, 2026 | Czechia · International Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Türkiye · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 0-1 | L |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Israel | 4 | 0 | 2 |
| Kosovo | 2 | 3 | 2 |
Head-to-head
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2023 | Kosovo 1-0 Israel | Euro Championship - Qualification |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Israel 1-1 Kosovo | Euro Championship - Qualification |
Out and doubtful
Israel
No absences reported.
Kosovo
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Israel
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- E. Peretz5/5
- O. Gloukh5/5
- R. Revivo5/5
- D. Peretz4/5
- G. Kanichowsky4/5
- N. Stoioanov4/5
- A. Khalaili3/5
- D. Turgeman3/5
- E. Dasa3/5
- M. Solomon3/5
- S. Lemkin3/5
Kosovo
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Gallapeni5/5
- M. Vojvoda5/5
- A. Hajdari4/5
- I. Krasniqi4/5
- L. Avdullahu4/5
- F. Asllani3/5
- L. Dellova3/5
- V. Muriqi3/5
- A. Muric2/5
- A. Murić2/5
- A. Rrahmani2/5
Other matches in this competition
- Azerbaijan 0-0 LiechtensteinOct 1, 2026
- Denmark 2-4 PortugalOct 1, 2026
- Malta 1-1 GibraltarOct 1, 2026
- Greece 2-2 NetherlandsOct 1, 2026
- Ireland 2-2 AustriaOct 1, 2026
- Germany 2-0 SerbiaOct 1, 2026
- Wales 2-1 NorwayOct 1, 2026
- Kazakhstan 1-2 MoldovaOct 2, 2026
- Cyprus 2-0 ArmeniaOct 2, 2026
- Latvia 1-2 MontenegroOct 2, 2026
Frequently asked questions
What is the Israel vs Kosovo prediction?
Before the match, our AI gave Israel a 29% chance of winning, the draw 28% and Kosovo 42%. Kosovo are therefore slight favourites. Final score: 0-0.
What is the most likely correct score for Israel vs Kosovo?
0-1 (13.1%), followed by 1-1 (13.1%), 0-0 (10.4%), 1-0 (10.4%) and 0-2 (8.3%).
Will both teams score in Israel vs Kosovo?
The probability that both Israel and Kosovo score is 45%. Israel have a 28% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Kosovo 37%.
How many goals should we expect in Israel vs Kosovo?
The model expects 2.26 goals (1.00 for Israel, 1.26 for Kosovo). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 66%, over 2.5 goals 39%, over 3.5 goals 19%.
When and where is Israel vs Kosovo played?
Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League. Venue: Nagyerdei Stadion, Debrecen.
What form are Israel and Kosovo in?
Israel: 2 wins, 1 draw and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 9 conceded). Kosovo: 2 wins, 0 draws and 3 defeats in their last 5 matches (6 scored, 6 conceded).
What is the head-to-head record between Israel and Kosovo?
In the last 2 meetings between the two sides, the record reads 0 wins for Israel, 1 for Kosovo and 1 draw. The most recent ended Kosovo 1-0 Israel (Nov 12, 2023).
What was the Israel vs Kosovo result, and was the prediction right?
Final score: Israel 0-0 Kosovo. The outcome was missed: the model favoured victory for Kosovo (42%), while a draw was rated at only 28%. The final score ranked 3rd among the most likely scorelines (10.4%), behind 0-1. On goals, the model did not expect both teams to score (45%): correct; it pointed to under 2.5 goals (39%): correct.
How is the Israel vs Kosovo prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (1.00 for Israel, 1.26 for Kosovo) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Israel predictions
- All Kosovo predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology