UEFA Nations League· Kick-off : Thursday, October 1, 2026, 19:45 (UK time)
Israel vs Kosovo prediction: correct score and AI tips
Match analysis
UEFA Nations League: Israel vs Kosovo kicks off on Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time). The edge goes to Kosovo (59%), ahead of the draw (23%) and a Israel win (18%). The most likely correct score is 0-1 (11.9%), ahead of 1-1 (10.8%) and 0-2 (10.8%).
Over their last 5 matches, Israel have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat, scoring 8 and conceding 6. Over their last 5 matches, Kosovo have 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats, scoring 9 and conceding 6. On recent form, there is little to separate the two teams. On average Israel score 1.60 and concede 1.20 goals per game; Kosovo score 1.80 and concede 1.20. In the table, Israel sit 4th with 0 points from 1 games, Kosovo 2nd with 3 points from 1. The two teams are close in the standings.
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Israel and Kosovo: the prediction relies on each team's form and level. In double chance terms, "Israel or draw" stands at 41%, "Kosovo or draw" at 82% and "no draw" at 77%.
In short : Kosovo are favourites for this Israel v Kosovo, with a 59% win probability from our model. In the table, Israel (4th, 0 pts) host Kosovo (2nd, 3 pts). Our model's most likely scoreline: 0-1.
Outcome probabilities (1X2)
Double chance
Most likely correct scores
Scores shown as Israel – Kosovo. 0-1 is the single most likely scoreline (11.9%); the 5 scores below add up to 50% of all outcomes, which is why an exact score remains hard to call.
| Score | Probability |
|---|---|
| Israel 0-1 Kosovo | 11.9% |
| Israel 1-1 Kosovo | 10.8% |
| Israel 0-2 Kosovo | 10.8% |
| Israel 1-2 Kosovo | 9.8% |
| Israel 0-3 Kosovo | 6.6% |
Goals: both teams to score, over/under
The model expects 2.73 goals in total (0.91 for Israel, 1.82 for Kosovo): over 2.5 goals has a 51% probability and both teams to score 50%. Israel keep a clean sheet in 16% of scenarios, Kosovo in 40%.
| Probability | |
|---|---|
| Israel expected goals | 0.91 |
| Kosovo expected goals | 1.82 |
| Both teams to score | 50% |
| Over 1.5 goals | 76% |
| Over 2.5 goals | 51% |
| Over 3.5 goals | 29% |
| Israel clean sheet | 16% |
| Kosovo clean sheet | 40% |
Recent form
Latest matches in all competitions, at the time of the prediction.
Israel
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Austria · UEFA Nations League | 1-3 | L |
| Jun 3, 2026 | Albania · International Friendlies | 1-0 | W |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Georgia · International Friendlies | 2-2 | D |
| Nov 16, 2025 | Moldova · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 4-1 | W |
| Nov 13, 2025 | Lithuania · International Friendlies | 0-0 | D |
Kosovo
| Date | Opponent | Score | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 2026 | Ireland · UEFA Nations League | 1-0 | W |
| Jun 7, 2026 | Andorra · International Friendlies | 3-0 | W |
| May 31, 2026 | Czechia · International Friendlies | 1-2 | L |
| Mar 31, 2026 | Türkiye · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 0-1 | L |
| Mar 26, 2026 | Slovakia · World Cup - Qualification Europe | 4-3 | W |
Standings before the match
| Pos. | Points | Played | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Israel | 4 | 0 | 1 |
| Kosovo | 2 | 3 | 1 |
Head-to-head
Our data holds no recent head-to-head between Israel and Kosovo: the prediction relies on each team's form and level.
Out and doubtful
Israel
No absences reported.
Kosovo
No absences reported.
Most regular starters
Israel
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- D. Peretz4/5
- E. Peretz4/5
- O. Gloukh4/5
- R. Revivo4/5
- E. Dasa3/5
- G. Kanichowsky3/5
- N. Stoioanov3/5
- S. Lemkin3/5
- A. Khalaili2/5
- D. Turgeman2/5
- M. Solomon2/5
Kosovo
Starts over the last 5 matches (official line-ups).
- A. Hajdari5/5
- D. Gallapeni5/5
- M. Vojvoda5/5
- F. Asllani4/5
- A. Muric3/5
- E. Rexhbecaj3/5
- I. Krasniqi3/5
- L. Avdullahu3/5
- L. Dellova3/5
- V. Hodza3/5
- V. Muriqi3/5
First detailed prediction free, no card required.
See the full prediction (scenario, scorers, half-time)Other matches in this competition
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Frequently asked questions
What is the Israel vs Kosovo prediction?
Our AI gives Israel a 18% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Kosovo 59%. Kosovo are therefore favourites.
What is the most likely correct score for Israel vs Kosovo?
0-1 (11.9%), followed by 1-1 (10.8%), 0-2 (10.8%), 1-2 (9.8%) and 0-3 (6.6%).
Will both teams score in Israel vs Kosovo?
The probability that both Israel and Kosovo score is 50%. Israel have a 16% chance of keeping a clean sheet, Kosovo 40%.
How many goals should we expect in Israel vs Kosovo?
The model expects 2.73 goals (0.91 for Israel, 1.82 for Kosovo). Probabilities: over 1.5 goals 76%, over 2.5 goals 51%, over 3.5 goals 29%.
When and where is Israel vs Kosovo played?
Thursday, October 1, 2026 at 19:45 (UK time), UEFA Nations League.
What form are Israel and Kosovo in?
Israel: 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 defeat in their last 5 matches (8 scored, 6 conceded). Kosovo: 3 wins, 0 draws and 2 defeats in their last 5 matches (9 scored, 6 conceded).
How is the Israel vs Kosovo prediction calculated?
The model estimates each team's expected goals (0.91 for Israel, 1.82 for Kosovo) from recent form, xG and standings, then applies a Poisson distribution: every possible score gets a probability, from which the 1X2, correct score, both teams to score and total goals are derived. Every figure is calculated, none is made up.
Go further
- All Israel predictions
- All Kosovo predictions
- UEFA Nations League predictions
- Today’s predictions
- Our methodology